ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - RECON DISCUSSION

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Re: ATL : HURRICANE ALEX - RECON DISCUSSION

#361 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Jun 30, 2010 6:32 pm

Chris_in_Tampa wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:One last shot at the center?
Since there does not seem to be enough time for another flight to get out there before landfall, however long this flight can stay out is probably all the additional reconnaissance we will get.


That's correct. Even if a flight left Biloxi now it wouldn't make it.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE ALEX - RECON DISCUSSION

#362 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 30, 2010 6:42 pm

106kt FL
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#363 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Jun 30, 2010 6:43 pm

To get a Cat 3 on FL winds at this level requires 123 kt.
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#364 Postby KWT » Wed Jun 30, 2010 6:47 pm

Despite the pressur and presentation, I think to get 123kts is a big ask, but could find winds to justify 90kts though.
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#365 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Jun 30, 2010 6:53 pm

KWT wrote:Despite the pressur and presentation, I think to get 123kts is a big ask, but could find winds to justify 90kts though.


If they left the storm now, Dvorak estimates would probably raise the landfall intensity to at least 90 kt.
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#366 Postby Cyclenall » Wed Jun 30, 2010 7:14 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Dropsonde: 948mb. Missed Audrey by 2 millibars. Now being July in UTC time, needs to get to 928mb to set that record.

Hurricane Alex has proven itself as worthy :eek: .
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#367 Postby KWT » Wed Jun 30, 2010 7:15 pm

Eyewall open now on the SW side as you'd expect as the system starts to clip land...W.Eyewall should be heading for land soon.

I can't imagine recon can stay much longer surely?
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#368 Postby KWT » Wed Jun 30, 2010 7:34 pm

It looks like they may take one more core punch then up through the NE quadrant and probably home from there I'd have to think...

Probably seeing if we can get a center pressure below 946mbs and whether the winds have increased any further.
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#369 Postby Cyclenall » Wed Jun 30, 2010 7:39 pm

Cool, they are making another pass attempt! Lets see what the final reading for Alex is.
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#370 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Jun 30, 2010 7:40 pm

Just incredible these guys/gals on this mission flight. What will this make...like 7 passes into the eye this mission? Just amazing.
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#371 Postby KWT » Wed Jun 30, 2010 7:42 pm

Yep the recon team is really earning thier money with this mission, its very impressive!

I'd imagine pressure is about the same as last time, but its a close run thing, it only needs to drop 2mbs to match Audrey so we may see history...though offically it is July in the records, it is still June in EST.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE ALEX - RECON DISCUSSION

#372 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 30, 2010 7:53 pm

Yes,impressive mission. Ok here we go.Can Alex beat Audrey or not?
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#373 Postby KWT » Wed Jun 30, 2010 7:56 pm

Going to find out in the next 5-15 mins, may even find out in that timeframe whether Alex is a little stronger then the 85kts its at right now.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE ALEX - RECON DISCUSSION

#374 Postby tolakram » Wed Jun 30, 2010 7:58 pm

I expect a sharp right turn in the eye and exit NE and out. Gutsy folks.

Where did Pojo go anyway?
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE ALEX - RECON DISCUSSION

#375 Postby littlevince » Wed Jun 30, 2010 8:00 pm

Incredibly, they takeoff around 14:43z
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#376 Postby KWT » Wed Jun 30, 2010 8:01 pm

Wow really, so they've been flying now for about 10hrs, wow thats pretty insane if thats the case!

Should see any moment now where Alex is, I personally think we may match Audrey with 946mbs.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE ALEX - RECON DISCUSSION

#377 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 30, 2010 8:03 pm

Where did Pojo go anyway?


Good question. For sure.she has been in one or more of these missions.
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#378 Postby brunota2003 » Wed Jun 30, 2010 8:04 pm

That is a good question...there are just some things here, about the aircraft/Recon in general, that have been asked that I or anyone else have trouble answering.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE ALEX - RECON DISCUSSION

#379 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 30, 2010 8:05 pm

948 mbs

Did not surpass Audrey.
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#380 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Jun 30, 2010 8:08 pm

Nice job ALEX!
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