000
WTNT31 KNHC 301750
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
100 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010
...LARGE HURRICANE ALEX...A LITTLE STRONGER...AIMS AT THE NORTHERN
MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST...
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 96.2W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM ENE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SSE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...135 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...18 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
GRANDE
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR
* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BROWNSVILLE RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.2 WEST.
ALEX HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST A LITTLE FASTER...NEAR 12
MPH...18 KM/HR DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...THE HURRICANE
SHOULD TURN MORE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR WEST LATER TODAY. THE
CENTER OF ALEX WILL PROBABLY MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO
WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...135
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE BUT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. A GRADUAL WEAKENING
SHOULD BEGIN AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES THE COASTLINE.
ALEX IS A LARGE CYCLONE AND THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM PRIMARILY TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. OBSERVATIONS FROM THE MEXICAN NAVY HAVE
BEEN VERY USEFUL IN TRACKING ALEX DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS. THE
AUTOMATIC STATION IN MATAMOROS MEXICO RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST
OF 60 MPH...96 KM/HR.
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE
WAS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR
SHOWS NUMEROUS RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX AFFECTING THE
SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COASTS.
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM WINDS
ARE ALREADY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE COULD
PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH
GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE COAST...
THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - ADVISORIES
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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cycloneye
- Admin
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Re: ATL: HURRICANE ALEX - ADVISORIES
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
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548
WTNT31 KNHC 302036
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
400 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010
...ALEX HEADING TOWARD NORTHEAST MEXICO WITH 90 MPH WINDS...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.5N 96.8W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
GRANDE
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR
* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR FROM
BROWNSVILLE NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.8 WEST. ALEX
HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR
13 MPH...20 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
UNTIL LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL. A GRADUAL
WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES THE COASTLINE.
ALEX IS A LARGE CYCLONE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM PRIMARILY TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATED STATION IN
MATAMOROS JUST REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 64 MPH...103 KM/HR.
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR
SHOWS NUMEROUS RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX AFFECTING THE
SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COASTS.
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM WINDS
ARE ALREADY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE WATER COULD
PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH
GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE STORM TIDE MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS TONIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...600 PM CDT AND 800 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
WTNT31 KNHC 302036
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
400 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010
...ALEX HEADING TOWARD NORTHEAST MEXICO WITH 90 MPH WINDS...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.5N 96.8W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
GRANDE
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR
* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR FROM
BROWNSVILLE NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.8 WEST. ALEX
HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR
13 MPH...20 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
UNTIL LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL. A GRADUAL
WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES THE COASTLINE.
ALEX IS A LARGE CYCLONE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM PRIMARILY TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATED STATION IN
MATAMOROS JUST REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 64 MPH...103 KM/HR.
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR
SHOWS NUMEROUS RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX AFFECTING THE
SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COASTS.
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM WINDS
ARE ALREADY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE WATER COULD
PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH
GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE STORM TIDE MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS TONIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...600 PM CDT AND 800 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
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- Contact:
122
WTNT41 KNHC 302036
TCDAT1
HURRICANE ALEX DISCUSSION NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
400 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010
AFTER A FEW HOURS OF A TRACK BETWEEN NORTH-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST
EARLIER TODAY...AIRCRAFT...SATELLITE AND RADAR FIXES INDICATE THAT
ALEX HAS TURNED BACK TO THE WEST AT AN AVERAGE SPEED OF ABOUT 11
KNOTS. THE RIDGE THAT WAS ANTICIPATED TO BUILD NORTH OF THE
HURRICANE HAS MATERIALIZED AND IS NOW FORCING ALEX TO TAKE A LEFT
TURN DIRECTLY TOWARD THE COAST OF MEXICO. THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO
PERSIST AND ALEX SHOULD MAINTAIN THIS GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK FOR
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO UNTIL DISSIPATION OVER MEXICO.
ALEX IS A LARGE HURRICANE AND BOTH HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND A GREAT DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER. ONLY A SMALL
DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THE TRACK...LIKE THE ONE THAT OCCURRED
THIS MORNING...WILL BRING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO THE SOUTHERN
TEXAS COAST. THEREFORE...WE WOULD RATHER KEEP THE HURRICANE
WARNINGS FOR THIS PORTION OF THE TEXAS COAST AT THIS TIME.
SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT ALEX IS BETTER ORGANIZED...AND THAT THE
WINDS HAVE INCREASED. THE MAXIMUM FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS REPORTED SO FAR
ARE 96 KNOTS AND SFMR REPORTED 81 KNOTS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
CENTER. IN ADDITION...THE EYE HAS BECOME DISTINCT ON VISIBLE IMAGES
AND IS SURROUNDED BY A CIRCULAR AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. BASED ON
THESE DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 80 KNOTS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD ALLOW ALEX TO BECOME A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 30/2100Z 24.5N 96.8W 80 KT
12HR VT 01/0600Z 24.5N 98.0W 60 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 01/1800Z 24.5N 100.0W 30 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 02/0600Z 24.5N 102.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
48HR VT 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
WTNT41 KNHC 302036
TCDAT1
HURRICANE ALEX DISCUSSION NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
400 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010
AFTER A FEW HOURS OF A TRACK BETWEEN NORTH-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST
EARLIER TODAY...AIRCRAFT...SATELLITE AND RADAR FIXES INDICATE THAT
ALEX HAS TURNED BACK TO THE WEST AT AN AVERAGE SPEED OF ABOUT 11
KNOTS. THE RIDGE THAT WAS ANTICIPATED TO BUILD NORTH OF THE
HURRICANE HAS MATERIALIZED AND IS NOW FORCING ALEX TO TAKE A LEFT
TURN DIRECTLY TOWARD THE COAST OF MEXICO. THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO
PERSIST AND ALEX SHOULD MAINTAIN THIS GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK FOR
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO UNTIL DISSIPATION OVER MEXICO.
ALEX IS A LARGE HURRICANE AND BOTH HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND A GREAT DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER. ONLY A SMALL
DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THE TRACK...LIKE THE ONE THAT OCCURRED
THIS MORNING...WILL BRING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO THE SOUTHERN
TEXAS COAST. THEREFORE...WE WOULD RATHER KEEP THE HURRICANE
WARNINGS FOR THIS PORTION OF THE TEXAS COAST AT THIS TIME.
SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT ALEX IS BETTER ORGANIZED...AND THAT THE
WINDS HAVE INCREASED. THE MAXIMUM FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS REPORTED SO FAR
ARE 96 KNOTS AND SFMR REPORTED 81 KNOTS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
CENTER. IN ADDITION...THE EYE HAS BECOME DISTINCT ON VISIBLE IMAGES
AND IS SURROUNDED BY A CIRCULAR AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. BASED ON
THESE DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 80 KNOTS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD ALLOW ALEX TO BECOME A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 30/2100Z 24.5N 96.8W 80 KT
12HR VT 01/0600Z 24.5N 98.0W 60 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 01/1800Z 24.5N 100.0W 30 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 02/0600Z 24.5N 102.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
48HR VT 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139771
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: HURRICANE ALEX - ADVISORIES
010100
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
800 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010
...ALEX ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM CDT...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.3N 97.5W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NNE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...27.99 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
GRANDE
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR
* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO
THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE TEXAS COAST WILL LIKELY BE CHANGED TO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING LATER THIS EVENING.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM CDT...0100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR FROM
BROWNSVILLE NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.5 WEST OR ABOUT
15 MILES...25 KM...EAST OF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ALEX
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO IN A COUPLE OF HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX WILL BE
MOVING OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. WEAKENING IS LIKELY AFTER THE CENTER
CROSSES THE COASTLINE...AND ALEX IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER
MEXICO WITHIN 1 TO 2 DAYS.
ALEX IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM PRIMARILY
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS HAVE REACHED THE COAST WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE WATER COULD
PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH
GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE STORM TIDE MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS OVERNIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
800 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010
...ALEX ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM CDT...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.3N 97.5W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NNE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...27.99 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
GRANDE
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR
* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO
THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE TEXAS COAST WILL LIKELY BE CHANGED TO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING LATER THIS EVENING.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM CDT...0100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR FROM
BROWNSVILLE NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.5 WEST OR ABOUT
15 MILES...25 KM...EAST OF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ALEX
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO IN A COUPLE OF HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX WILL BE
MOVING OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. WEAKENING IS LIKELY AFTER THE CENTER
CROSSES THE COASTLINE...AND ALEX IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER
MEXICO WITHIN 1 TO 2 DAYS.
ALEX IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM PRIMARILY
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS HAVE REACHED THE COAST WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE WATER COULD
PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH
GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE STORM TIDE MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS OVERNIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139771
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: HURRICANE ALEX - ADVISORIES
TCUAT1
HURRICANE ALEX TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
900 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010
...ALEX MAKES LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR FROM BROWNSVILLE TEXAS AND
AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT
THE EYE OF HURRICANE ALEX MADE LANDFALL AROUND 9 PM CDT...0200 UTC
ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE MUNICIPALITY OF SOTO LA MARINA...
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS AT LANDFALL WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...A
CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.
SUMMARY OF 900 PM CDT...0200 UTC...INFORMATION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.3N 97.7W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM N OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.96 INCHES
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
HURRICANE ALEX TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
900 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010
...ALEX MAKES LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR FROM BROWNSVILLE TEXAS AND
AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT
THE EYE OF HURRICANE ALEX MADE LANDFALL AROUND 9 PM CDT...0200 UTC
ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE MUNICIPALITY OF SOTO LA MARINA...
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS AT LANDFALL WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...A
CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.
SUMMARY OF 900 PM CDT...0200 UTC...INFORMATION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.3N 97.7W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM N OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.96 INCHES
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139771
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: HURRICANE ALEX - ADVISORIES
000
WTNT31 KNHC 010237
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010
...ALEX MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.3N 97.8W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM N OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.96 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE HURRICANE WARNING IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO PORT
OCONNOR
* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.8 WEST. THIS POSITION IS
JUST INLAND OF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO IN THE MUNICIPALITY
OF SOTO LA MARINA. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR
SO. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL MOVE FARTHER INLAND
OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE MOVES OVER LAND...AND ALEX IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER
MEXICO WITHIN 1 TO 2 DAYS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 947 MB...27.96 INCHES...JUST BEFORE LANDFALL.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE SPREADING INLAND OVER A PORTION OF
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE WINDS
WILL DECREASE ON THURSDAY.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER HAS MADE LANDFALL. THE WATER COULD
PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH
GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE STORM TIDE MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES. THE STORM TIDE AND WAVES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH ON
THURSDAY.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS OVERNIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
000
WTNT41 KNHC 010239
TCDAT1
HURRICANE ALEX DISCUSSION NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010
OBSERVATIONS FROM THE BROWNSVILLE WSR-88D RADAR AND THE AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE THAT THE EYE OF ALEX
CROSSED THE COAST IN A SPARSELY-POPULATED AREA OF NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AROUND 0200 UTC. JUST BEFORE LANDFALL...THE AIRCRAFT
MEASURED SURFACE WINDS OF 87 KT FROM THE SFMR INSTRUMENT AND A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 947 MB. ASSUMING THAT THE PEAK WINDS
WERE NOT SAMPLED...AND OUT OF RESPECT FOR THE CONTINUED DROP IN
CENTRAL PRESSURE...THE LANDFALL INTENSITY WAS SET AT 90 KT. THE
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 85 KT IS BASED ON AN ASSUMED SLIGHT
DECREASE SINCE LANDFALL. CONTINUED WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS ALEX
MOVES OVER LAND...AND THE WEAKENING IS LIKELY TO BE RATHER RAPID
AFTER THE TROPICAL CYCLONE REACHES THE VERY HIGH AND RUGGED TERRAIN
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO.
DISSIPATION IS LIKELY WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER.
INITIAL MOTION IS ABOUT 260/9...JUST A TAD SOUTH OF DUE WEST.
MID-LEVEL RIDGING TO THE NORTH OF ALEX IS PREDICTED TO BE MORE OR
LESS MAINTAINED FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THIS WOULD MOVE THE
CYCLONE ON A MAINLY WESTWARD TRACK UNTIL DISSIPATION.
AS THE WINDS DECREASE AND THE SURGE AND WAVES ALONG THE COAST
GRADUALLY DIMINISH...THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM ALEX WILL BE
TORRENTIAL RAINS TOTALING AS HIGH AS 20 INCHES...WHICH WOULD LIKELY
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER THE
MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS OF MEXICO. ALSO...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT WITHIN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION OF ALEX.
IT MAY BE OF INTEREST THAT ALEX WAS THE FIRST CATEGORY TWO...AND THE
STRONGEST...HURRICANE TO OCCUR IN JUNE SINCE ALMA OF 1966.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 01/0300Z 24.3N 97.8W 85 KT
12HR VT 01/1200Z 24.3N 99.4W 60 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 02/0000Z 24.3N 101.6W 30 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 02/1200Z 24.8N 103.8W 20 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
WTNT31 KNHC 010237
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010
...ALEX MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.3N 97.8W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM N OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.96 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE HURRICANE WARNING IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO PORT
OCONNOR
* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.8 WEST. THIS POSITION IS
JUST INLAND OF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO IN THE MUNICIPALITY
OF SOTO LA MARINA. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR
SO. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL MOVE FARTHER INLAND
OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE MOVES OVER LAND...AND ALEX IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER
MEXICO WITHIN 1 TO 2 DAYS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 947 MB...27.96 INCHES...JUST BEFORE LANDFALL.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE SPREADING INLAND OVER A PORTION OF
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE WINDS
WILL DECREASE ON THURSDAY.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER HAS MADE LANDFALL. THE WATER COULD
PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH
GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE STORM TIDE MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES. THE STORM TIDE AND WAVES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH ON
THURSDAY.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS OVERNIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
000
WTNT41 KNHC 010239
TCDAT1
HURRICANE ALEX DISCUSSION NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010
OBSERVATIONS FROM THE BROWNSVILLE WSR-88D RADAR AND THE AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE THAT THE EYE OF ALEX
CROSSED THE COAST IN A SPARSELY-POPULATED AREA OF NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AROUND 0200 UTC. JUST BEFORE LANDFALL...THE AIRCRAFT
MEASURED SURFACE WINDS OF 87 KT FROM THE SFMR INSTRUMENT AND A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 947 MB. ASSUMING THAT THE PEAK WINDS
WERE NOT SAMPLED...AND OUT OF RESPECT FOR THE CONTINUED DROP IN
CENTRAL PRESSURE...THE LANDFALL INTENSITY WAS SET AT 90 KT. THE
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 85 KT IS BASED ON AN ASSUMED SLIGHT
DECREASE SINCE LANDFALL. CONTINUED WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS ALEX
MOVES OVER LAND...AND THE WEAKENING IS LIKELY TO BE RATHER RAPID
AFTER THE TROPICAL CYCLONE REACHES THE VERY HIGH AND RUGGED TERRAIN
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO.
DISSIPATION IS LIKELY WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER.
INITIAL MOTION IS ABOUT 260/9...JUST A TAD SOUTH OF DUE WEST.
MID-LEVEL RIDGING TO THE NORTH OF ALEX IS PREDICTED TO BE MORE OR
LESS MAINTAINED FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THIS WOULD MOVE THE
CYCLONE ON A MAINLY WESTWARD TRACK UNTIL DISSIPATION.
AS THE WINDS DECREASE AND THE SURGE AND WAVES ALONG THE COAST
GRADUALLY DIMINISH...THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM ALEX WILL BE
TORRENTIAL RAINS TOTALING AS HIGH AS 20 INCHES...WHICH WOULD LIKELY
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER THE
MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS OF MEXICO. ALSO...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT WITHIN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION OF ALEX.
IT MAY BE OF INTEREST THAT ALEX WAS THE FIRST CATEGORY TWO...AND THE
STRONGEST...HURRICANE TO OCCUR IN JUNE SINCE ALMA OF 1966.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 01/0300Z 24.3N 97.8W 85 KT
12HR VT 01/1200Z 24.3N 99.4W 60 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 02/0000Z 24.3N 101.6W 30 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 02/1200Z 24.8N 103.8W 20 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
284
WTNT31 KNHC 010538
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
100 AM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
...ALEX WEAKENS...BUT IS STILL A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.1N 98.2W
ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM NW OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SSW OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO PORT
OCONNOR
* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES
...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST. FOR THE PAST FEW
HOURS ALEX HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH
...17 KM/HR...BUT A GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME
AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF
ALEX WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING WILL
OCCUR AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES INLAND...AND ALEX IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY AND DISSIPATE OVER MEXICO
BY FRIDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. AN AUTOMATED
MEXICAN NAVY STATION AT LA PESCA RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND
OF 35 MPH...57 KM/HR...AND A GUST TO 53 MPH...86 KM/HR.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE SPREADING INLAND OVER A PORTION OF
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS
OVER SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE WINDS WILL
DECREASE LATER TODAY.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER HAS MADE LANDFALL. THE WATER COULD
PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH
GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE STORM TIDE MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES. THE STORM TIDE AND WAVES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER
TODAY.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS OVERNIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
WTNT31 KNHC 010538
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
100 AM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
...ALEX WEAKENS...BUT IS STILL A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.1N 98.2W
ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM NW OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SSW OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO PORT
OCONNOR
* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES
...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST. FOR THE PAST FEW
HOURS ALEX HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH
...17 KM/HR...BUT A GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME
AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF
ALEX WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING WILL
OCCUR AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES INLAND...AND ALEX IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY AND DISSIPATE OVER MEXICO
BY FRIDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. AN AUTOMATED
MEXICAN NAVY STATION AT LA PESCA RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND
OF 35 MPH...57 KM/HR...AND A GUST TO 53 MPH...86 KM/HR.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE SPREADING INLAND OVER A PORTION OF
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS
OVER SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE WINDS WILL
DECREASE LATER TODAY.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER HAS MADE LANDFALL. THE WATER COULD
PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH
GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE STORM TIDE MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES. THE STORM TIDE AND WAVES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER
TODAY.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS OVERNIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
0 likes
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139771
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
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Re: ATL: HURRICANE ALEX - ADVISORIES
WTNT31 KNHC 010833
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
400 AM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
...ALEX CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BECOME THE MAJOR
THREAT LATER TODAY...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.0N 99.0W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM N OF CIUDAD VICTORIA MEXICO
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SW OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.67 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM THE MOUTH OF
THE RIO GRANDE TO PORT OCONNOR HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO TO THE MOUTH
OF THE RIO GRANDE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO TO LA CRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO AND NORTH OF RIO
SAN FERNANDO TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX
WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR
...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS ALEX
CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND. ALEX IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
STORM LATER TODAY AND DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. A
MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATED STATION IN LA PESCA RECENTLY REPORTED A
SUSTAINED WIND OF 48 MPH...77 KM/HR...AND A WIND GUST TO 73 MPH...
118 KM/HR.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS AROUND 10 INCHES. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE SPREADING INLAND NEAR THE CENTER OF
ALEX OVER A PORTION OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS.
THESE WINDS WILL DECREASE LATER TODAY.
STORM SURGE...THE STORM TIDE AND WAVES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER
TODAY.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS THROUGH TODAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
400 AM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
...ALEX CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BECOME THE MAJOR
THREAT LATER TODAY...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.0N 99.0W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM N OF CIUDAD VICTORIA MEXICO
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SW OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.67 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM THE MOUTH OF
THE RIO GRANDE TO PORT OCONNOR HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO TO THE MOUTH
OF THE RIO GRANDE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO TO LA CRUZ
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO AND NORTH OF RIO
SAN FERNANDO TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX
WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR
...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS ALEX
CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND. ALEX IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
STORM LATER TODAY AND DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. A
MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATED STATION IN LA PESCA RECENTLY REPORTED A
SUSTAINED WIND OF 48 MPH...77 KM/HR...AND A WIND GUST TO 73 MPH...
118 KM/HR.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS AROUND 10 INCHES. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE SPREADING INLAND NEAR THE CENTER OF
ALEX OVER A PORTION OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS.
THESE WINDS WILL DECREASE LATER TODAY.
STORM SURGE...THE STORM TIDE AND WAVES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER
TODAY.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS THROUGH TODAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139771
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM ALEX - ADVISORIES
000
WTNT31 KNHC 011130
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
700 AM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
...ALEX WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES NEAR THE HIGH
MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 99.8W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM W OF CIUDAD VICTORIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN
FERNANDO TO LA CRUZ.
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO AND NORTH OF
RIO SAN FERNANDO TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO TO LA CRUZ
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.8 WEST. ALEX IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...ALEX WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO
TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR
...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS ALEX
CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND. ALEX IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION LATER TODAY AND DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335
KM...MAINLY TO EAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS AROUND 10 INCHES. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AREAS AND INLAND NEAR THE CENTER. THESE WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY.
STORM SURGE...THE STORM TIDE AND WAVES ARE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
WTNT31 KNHC 011130
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
700 AM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
...ALEX WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES NEAR THE HIGH
MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 99.8W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM W OF CIUDAD VICTORIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN
FERNANDO TO LA CRUZ.
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO AND NORTH OF
RIO SAN FERNANDO TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO TO LA CRUZ
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.8 WEST. ALEX IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...ALEX WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO
TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR
...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS ALEX
CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND. ALEX IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION LATER TODAY AND DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335
KM...MAINLY TO EAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS AROUND 10 INCHES. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AREAS AND INLAND NEAR THE CENTER. THESE WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY.
STORM SURGE...THE STORM TIDE AND WAVES ARE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139771
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM ALEX - ADVISORIES
WTNT31 KNHC 011431
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 AM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
...ALEX PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS AS IT
CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 100.3W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM WSW OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM E OF ZACATECAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
NONE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.3 WEST. ALEX IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS...AND ALEX WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF
MEXICO OVERNIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS AROUND 10 INCHES. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN A SMALL AREA
INLAND NEAR THE CENTER. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY.
STORM SURGE...THE STORM TIDE AND WAVES NEAR THE COAST WILL CONTINUE
TO DIMINISH.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
TROPICAL STORM ALEX DISCUSSION NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 AM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
INFRARED SATELLITE SHOWS THAT CLOUD TOPS CONTINUE TO WARM NEAR THE
CENTER OF ALEX. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 45 KT FOR THIS
ADVISORY...AND ALEX SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TODAY. THE LOW-LEVEL
CENTER WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT DUE TO THE HIGH TERRAIN OF
MEXICO.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS SOUTH OF DUE WEST...260/11.
A GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK IS LIKELY UNTIL DISSIPATION OVERNIGHT...
THEN THE REMNANTS OF ALEX SHOULD MOVE TO THE WEST OR WEST-
NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM...ALONG WITH AN ACCOMPANYING SURGE OF
MOISTURE...WILL LIKELY KEEP A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT IN NORTHERN
MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF THE FAR SOUTH-CENTRAL U.S. FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 01/1500Z 23.1N 100.3W 45 KT...INLAND
12HR VT 02/0000Z 23.0N 102.0W 30 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 AM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
...ALEX PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS AS IT
CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 100.3W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM WSW OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM E OF ZACATECAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
NONE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.3 WEST. ALEX IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS...AND ALEX WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF
MEXICO OVERNIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS AROUND 10 INCHES. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN A SMALL AREA
INLAND NEAR THE CENTER. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY.
STORM SURGE...THE STORM TIDE AND WAVES NEAR THE COAST WILL CONTINUE
TO DIMINISH.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
TROPICAL STORM ALEX DISCUSSION NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 AM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
INFRARED SATELLITE SHOWS THAT CLOUD TOPS CONTINUE TO WARM NEAR THE
CENTER OF ALEX. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 45 KT FOR THIS
ADVISORY...AND ALEX SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TODAY. THE LOW-LEVEL
CENTER WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT DUE TO THE HIGH TERRAIN OF
MEXICO.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS SOUTH OF DUE WEST...260/11.
A GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK IS LIKELY UNTIL DISSIPATION OVERNIGHT...
THEN THE REMNANTS OF ALEX SHOULD MOVE TO THE WEST OR WEST-
NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM...ALONG WITH AN ACCOMPANYING SURGE OF
MOISTURE...WILL LIKELY KEEP A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT IN NORTHERN
MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF THE FAR SOUTH-CENTRAL U.S. FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 01/1500Z 23.1N 100.3W 45 KT...INLAND
12HR VT 02/0000Z 23.0N 102.0W 30 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139771
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM ALEX - ADVISORIES
000
WTNT31 KNHC 012033
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
400 PM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
...ALEX MOVING OVER CENTRAL MEXICO...LARGE AREA OF HEAVY RAIN
OCCURRING...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 101.2W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM W OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM ENE OF ZACATECAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.2 WEST. ALEX IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES OVERNIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ALEX IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE HIGH
TERRAIN OF MEXICO OVERNIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL MEXICO. ISOLATED STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS OF AROUND 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN A SMALL AREA
INLAND NEAR THE CENTER. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS THROUGH TONIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
TROPICAL STORM ALEX DISCUSSION NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
400 PM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
THE LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW THAT ALEX HAS BECOME SOMEWHAT
RAGGED WITH WARMING CLOUD TOPS NEAR THE CENTER. IN ADDITION...
THE LOW- AND UPPER-LEVEL CENTERS OF ALEX HAVE DECOUPLED WITH THE
UPPER-LEVEL CENTER MOVING SOUTHWEST AND THE LOWER-LEVEL CIRCULATION
FARTHER TO THE NORTH. ZACATECAS RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...SO ALEX WILL STAY A 35-KT TROPICAL
STORM FOR THIS ADVISORY. ALEX WILL FURTHER WEAKEN...THEN PROBABLY
DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT DUE TO THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/11. THIS GENERAL TRACK IS LIKELY
UNTIL DISSIPATION OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM HAS A LARGE
AREA OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT AND THE REMNANTS OF ALEX ARE
EXPECTED TO KEEP A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT IN NORTHERN MEXICO AND
PORTIONS OF THE FAR SOUTH-CENTRAL U.S. FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 01/2100Z 23.2N 101.2W 35 KT...INLAND
12HR VT 02/0600Z 23.5N 102.9W 25 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
24HR VT 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
WTNT31 KNHC 012033
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
400 PM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
...ALEX MOVING OVER CENTRAL MEXICO...LARGE AREA OF HEAVY RAIN
OCCURRING...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 101.2W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM W OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM ENE OF ZACATECAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.2 WEST. ALEX IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES OVERNIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ALEX IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE HIGH
TERRAIN OF MEXICO OVERNIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL MEXICO. ISOLATED STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS OF AROUND 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN A SMALL AREA
INLAND NEAR THE CENTER. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS THROUGH TONIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
TROPICAL STORM ALEX DISCUSSION NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
400 PM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
THE LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW THAT ALEX HAS BECOME SOMEWHAT
RAGGED WITH WARMING CLOUD TOPS NEAR THE CENTER. IN ADDITION...
THE LOW- AND UPPER-LEVEL CENTERS OF ALEX HAVE DECOUPLED WITH THE
UPPER-LEVEL CENTER MOVING SOUTHWEST AND THE LOWER-LEVEL CIRCULATION
FARTHER TO THE NORTH. ZACATECAS RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...SO ALEX WILL STAY A 35-KT TROPICAL
STORM FOR THIS ADVISORY. ALEX WILL FURTHER WEAKEN...THEN PROBABLY
DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT DUE TO THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/11. THIS GENERAL TRACK IS LIKELY
UNTIL DISSIPATION OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM HAS A LARGE
AREA OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT AND THE REMNANTS OF ALEX ARE
EXPECTED TO KEEP A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT IN NORTHERN MEXICO AND
PORTIONS OF THE FAR SOUTH-CENTRAL U.S. FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 01/2100Z 23.2N 101.2W 35 KT...INLAND
12HR VT 02/0600Z 23.5N 102.9W 25 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
24HR VT 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139771
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - ADVISORIES
Last Advisory
MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 PM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
...ALEX DISSIPATES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.3N 102.4W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM...NNE OF ZACATECAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF ALEX WERE CENTERED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.4 WEST. THE REMNANTS ARE MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ALEX WILL CONTINUE TO
DECREASE OVERNIGHT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF ALEX ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL MEXICO. ISOLATED STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
THE REMNANTS OF ALEX ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS OF AROUND 12
INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AND LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
NNNN
MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 PM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
...ALEX DISSIPATES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.3N 102.4W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM...NNE OF ZACATECAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF ALEX WERE CENTERED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.4 WEST. THE REMNANTS ARE MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ALEX WILL CONTINUE TO
DECREASE OVERNIGHT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF ALEX ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL MEXICO. ISOLATED STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
THE REMNANTS OF ALEX ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS OF AROUND 12
INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AND LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
NNNN
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