218
WHXX01 KWBC 031205
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1205 UTC SAT JUL 3 2010
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952010) 20100703 1200 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
100703 1200 100704 0000 100704 1200 100705 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 27.4N 87.6W 27.7N 89.3W 28.5N 90.9W 29.5N 92.2W
BAMD 27.4N 87.6W 26.7N 89.2W 26.4N 90.7W 26.5N 92.2W
BAMM 27.4N 87.6W 27.3N 89.2W 27.6N 90.5W 28.1N 91.7W
LBAR 27.4N 87.6W 27.0N 89.4W 27.0N 91.3W 27.3N 92.8W
SHIP 20KTS 20KTS 23KTS 25KTS
DSHP 20KTS 20KTS 23KTS 25KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
100705 1200 100706 1200 100707 1200 100708 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 30.7N 93.2W 32.9N 94.6W 34.5N 97.1W 35.7N 99.4W
BAMD 26.7N 93.6W 26.9N 96.2W 26.7N 98.9W 26.3N 101.7W
BAMM 28.7N 92.6W 29.7N 94.6W 30.8N 97.6W 32.0N 100.3W
LBAR 28.0N 94.0W 29.5N 95.5W 31.2N 97.1W 32.8N 96.9W
SHIP 24KTS 26KTS 33KTS 37KTS
DSHP 24KTS 24KTS 26KTS 27KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 27.4N LONCUR = 87.6W DIRCUR = 235DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 28.8N LONM12 = 85.1W DIRM12 = 238DEG SPDM12 = 9KT
LATM24 = 29.8N LONM24 = 84.0W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1013MB OUTPRS = 1015MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
$$
NNNN
ATL : INVEST 95L - MODELS
Moderator: S2k Moderators
- KFDM Meteorologist
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- KFDM Meteorologist
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 1314
- Joined: Tue May 16, 2006 9:52 pm
- Location: Upper Texas Coast/Orange County
Re:
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:GFS 144 Hours South of the TX Coast.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_144l.gif
1007 MBs? This thing has to be developed based on the GFS Model. Maybe we really can see Bonnie from this? Heading west again!
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- KFDM Meteorologist
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- Joined: Tue May 16, 2006 9:52 pm
- Location: Upper Texas Coast/Orange County
- KFDM Meteorologist
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 1314
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680
WHXX01 KWBC 031810
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1810 UTC SAT JUL 3 2010
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952010) 20100703 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
100703 1800 100704 0600 100704 1800 100705 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 27.4N 87.6W 27.9N 89.2W 28.9N 90.2W 29.9N 91.2W
BAMD 27.4N 87.6W 26.8N 89.0W 26.7N 90.3W 26.9N 91.5W
BAMM 27.4N 87.6W 27.4N 89.1W 27.9N 90.2W 28.5N 91.1W
LBAR 27.4N 87.6W 27.0N 89.1W 27.1N 90.6W 27.4N 92.0W
SHIP 25KTS 28KTS 31KTS 32KTS
DSHP 25KTS 28KTS 31KTS 29KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
100705 1800 100706 1800 100707 1800 100708 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 31.0N 91.9W 33.4N 93.2W 35.0N 95.6W 36.3N 98.4W
BAMD 27.3N 92.6W 28.2N 94.8W 29.1N 97.3W 29.4N 100.5W
BAMM 29.1N 91.9W 30.7N 93.7W 32.2N 96.4W 33.2N 99.0W
LBAR 28.0N 93.1W 29.1N 95.2W 30.7N 97.3W 32.8N 97.7W
SHIP 34KTS 34KTS 38KTS 36KTS
DSHP 28KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 27.4N LONCUR = 87.6W DIRCUR = 235DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 28.2N LONM12 = 86.3W DIRM12 = 240DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 29.2N LONM24 = 84.5W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1013MB OUTPRS = 1015MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
$$
NNNN
WHXX01 KWBC 031810
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1810 UTC SAT JUL 3 2010
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952010) 20100703 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
100703 1800 100704 0600 100704 1800 100705 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 27.4N 87.6W 27.9N 89.2W 28.9N 90.2W 29.9N 91.2W
BAMD 27.4N 87.6W 26.8N 89.0W 26.7N 90.3W 26.9N 91.5W
BAMM 27.4N 87.6W 27.4N 89.1W 27.9N 90.2W 28.5N 91.1W
LBAR 27.4N 87.6W 27.0N 89.1W 27.1N 90.6W 27.4N 92.0W
SHIP 25KTS 28KTS 31KTS 32KTS
DSHP 25KTS 28KTS 31KTS 29KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
100705 1800 100706 1800 100707 1800 100708 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 31.0N 91.9W 33.4N 93.2W 35.0N 95.6W 36.3N 98.4W
BAMD 27.3N 92.6W 28.2N 94.8W 29.1N 97.3W 29.4N 100.5W
BAMM 29.1N 91.9W 30.7N 93.7W 32.2N 96.4W 33.2N 99.0W
LBAR 28.0N 93.1W 29.1N 95.2W 30.7N 97.3W 32.8N 97.7W
SHIP 34KTS 34KTS 38KTS 36KTS
DSHP 28KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 27.4N LONCUR = 87.6W DIRCUR = 235DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 28.2N LONM12 = 86.3W DIRM12 = 240DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 29.2N LONM24 = 84.5W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1013MB OUTPRS = 1015MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
$$
NNNN
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Code: Select all
* ATLANTIC SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST *
* GOES DATA AVAILABLE *
* OHC DATA AVAILABLE *
* INVEST AL952010 07/03/10 18 UTC *
TIME (HR) 0 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120
V (KT) NO LAND 25 26 28 29 31 32 34 33 34 35 38 37 36
V (KT) LAND 25 26 28 29 31 29 28 27 27 27 27 27 27
V (KT) LGE mod 25 27 28 29 29 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27
SHEAR (KT) 21 20 34 28 20 22 21 16 10 3 4 3 17
SHEAR ADJ (KT) 1 2 -4 1 1 0 -2 3 0 1 -2 -1 -3
SHEAR DIR 9 5 10 21 26 39 38 39 87 292 331 52 191
SST (C) 30.1 30.1 30.2 30.3 30.4 30.7 29.7 27.9 26.8 25.8 25.2 24.6 23.6
POT. INT. (KT) 170 170 170 170 169 170 162 134 121 111 107 103 96
ADJ. POT. INT. 146 147 147 148 149 156 136 112 102 94 91 89 84
200 MB T (C) -51.3 -50.5 -50.5 -50.4 -50.3 -49.9 -49.9 -50.2 -50.7 -51.0 -51.8 -52.3 -52.9
TH_E DEV (C) 9 11 8 7 9 7 10 7 9 6 9 4 6
700-500 MB RH 57 53 53 54 54 50 54 55 53 53 48 46 53
GFS VTEX (KT) 6 6 6 7 7 5 5 3 4 4 9 8 10
850 MB ENV VOR -84 -87 -93 -94 -63 -67 -10 -25 7 -24 -27 -56 -48
200 MB DIV 0 -7 -4 1 23 5 38 27 21 8 20 17 16
LAND (KM) 251 203 178 132 77 -14 -89 -222 -283 -392 -500 -624 -570
LAT (DEG N) 27.4 27.5 27.5 28.0 28.4 29.3 30.6 31.8 32.9 34.0 35.2 36.4 37.8
LONG(DEG W) 87.6 88.4 89.2 89.7 90.1 90.7 92.0 91.9 90.7 89.5 87.7 85.4 82.8
STM SPEED (KT) 6 7 6 6 5 7 7 7 7 8 10 12 12
HEAT CONTENT 46 44 42 53 43 2 32 0 0 0 0 0 0
FORECAST TRACK FROM OFCI INITIAL HEADING/SPEED (DEG/KT):235/ 10 CX,CY: -7/ -5
T-12 MAX WIND: 20 PRESSURE OF STEERING LEVEL (MB): 536 (MEAN=624)
GOES IR BRIGHTNESS TEMP. STD DEV. 50-200 KM RAD: 23.2 (MEAN=14.5)
% GOES IR PIXELS WITH T < -20 C 50-200 KM RAD: 33.0 (MEAN=65.0)
INDIVIDUAL CONTRIBUTIONS TO INTENSITY CHANGE
6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120
----------------------------------------------------------
SAMPLE MEAN CHANGE 1. 2. 3. 4. 6. 8. 9. 11. 11. 12. 13. 13.
SST POTENTIAL 0. 0. 0. 2. 6. 13. 20. 24. 27. 28. 28. 28.
VERTICAL SHEAR MAG 1. 4. 5. 7. 8. 6. 3. 1. 2. 3. 4. 4.
VERTICAL SHEAR ADJ 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 1.
VERTICAL SHEAR DIR 0. 0. 0. 0. -1. -1. -2. -3. -3. -3. -4. -3.
PERSISTENCE 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 1. 1. 0. 0.
200/250 MB TEMP. -1. -1. -2. -3. -5. -7. -8. -9. -10. -11. -12. -12.
THETA_E EXCESS 0. 0. 0. -1. -1. -2. -2. -3. -4. -6. -7. -9.
700-500 MB RH 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
GFS VORTEX TENDENCY 0. 0. 0. 0. -1. -2. -3. -3. -3. 0. -1. 1.
850 MB ENV VORTICITY -1. -2. -2. -3. -4. -5. -6. -6. -6. -7. -7. -8.
200 MB DIVERGENCE 0. 0. -1. -1. -1. -1. -1. -1. -1. -1. -1. -1.
ZONAL STORM MOTION 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1.
STEERING LEVEL PRES 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1.
DAYS FROM CLIM. PEAK 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. -1. -1. -1. -1. -1. 0. -1.
GOES PREDICTORS -1. -1. -2. -2. -3. -4. -4. -4. -4. -4. -3. -3.
OCEAN HEAT CONTENT 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
----------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL CHANGE 1. 3. 4. 6. 7. 9. 8. 9. 10. 13. 12. 11.
** 2010 ATLANTIC RI INDEX AL952010 INVEST 07/03/10 18 UTC **
( 30 KT OR MORE MAX WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24 HR)
12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT): 5.0 Range:-45.0 to 30.0 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.7/ 1.4
850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) : 24.6 Range: 26.2 to 3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.1/ 0.1
D200 (10**7s-1) : 2.6 Range:-21.0 to 140.0 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.1/ 0.2
POT = MPI-VMAX (KT) : 122.5 Range: 33.5 to 126.5 Scaled/Wgted Val: 1.0/ 0.7
850-700 MB REL HUM (%): 68.0 Range: 56.0 to 85.0 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.4/ 0.2
% area w/pixels <-30 C: 26.0 Range: 17.0 to 100.0 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.1/ 0.0
STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP : 23.2 Range: 30.6 to 3.2 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.3/ 0.5
Heat content (KJ/cm2) : 45.6 Range: 0.0 to 130.0 Scaled/Wgted Val: 0.4/ 0.0
Prob of RI for 25 kt RI threshold= 16% is 1.2 times the sample mean(12.6%)
Prob of RI for 30 kt RI threshold= 10% is 1.2 times the sample mean( 8.1%)
Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold= 1% is 0.3 times the sample mean( 4.8%)
Prob of RI for 40 kt RI threshold= 1% is 0.3 times the sample mean( 3.4%)
## ANNULAR HURRICANE INDEX (AHI) AL952010 INVEST 07/03/10 18 UTC ##
## STORM NOT ANNULAR, SCREENING STEP FAILED, NPASS=4 NFAIL=3 ##
## AHI= 0 (AHI OF 100 IS BEST FIT TO ANN. STRUC., 1 IS MARGINAL, 0 IS NOT ANNULAR) ##
## ANNULAR INDEX RAN NORMALLY
** PROBLTY OF AT LEAST 1 SCNDRY EYEWL FORMTN EVENT AL952010 INVEST 07/03/2010 18 UTC **
TIME(HR) 0-12 12-24(0-24) 24-36(0-36) 36-48(0-48)
CLIMO(%) 0 0( 0) 0( 0) 0( 0) <-- PROB BASED ON INTENSITY ONLY
PROB(%) 0 0( 0) 0( 0) 0( 0) <-- FULL MODEL PROB (RAN NORMALLY)
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374
WHXX01 KWBC 040027
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0027 UTC SUN JUL 4 2010
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952010) 20100704 0000 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
100704 0000 100704 1200 100705 0000 100705 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 27.6N 88.4W 28.4N 90.1W 29.5N 91.5W 30.7N 92.9W
BAMD 27.6N 88.4W 27.3N 89.9W 27.4N 91.4W 27.7N 92.8W
BAMM 27.6N 88.4W 27.9N 89.8W 28.5N 91.0W 29.2N 92.0W
LBAR 27.6N 88.4W 27.7N 89.8W 28.1N 91.1W 28.5N 92.1W
SHIP 25KTS 27KTS 29KTS 29KTS
DSHP 25KTS 27KTS 29KTS 26KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
100706 0000 100707 0000 100708 0000 100709 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 31.9N 93.9W 33.4N 95.7W 33.5N 98.7W 33.4N 102.9W
BAMD 28.1N 94.3W 29.0N 97.2W 29.5N 100.5W 29.4N 104.2W
BAMM 30.1N 93.1W 31.7N 95.3W 32.5N 98.4W 32.8N 101.9W
LBAR 29.3N 92.8W 31.0N 94.5W 33.3N 95.6W 34.6N 95.6W
SHIP 30KTS 32KTS 36KTS 34KTS
DSHP 26KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 27.6N LONCUR = 88.4W DIRCUR = 255DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATM12 = 27.8N LONM12 = 87.0W DIRM12 = 243DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 28.8N LONM24 = 85.1W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
WHXX01 KWBC 040027
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0027 UTC SUN JUL 4 2010
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952010) 20100704 0000 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
100704 0000 100704 1200 100705 0000 100705 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 27.6N 88.4W 28.4N 90.1W 29.5N 91.5W 30.7N 92.9W
BAMD 27.6N 88.4W 27.3N 89.9W 27.4N 91.4W 27.7N 92.8W
BAMM 27.6N 88.4W 27.9N 89.8W 28.5N 91.0W 29.2N 92.0W
LBAR 27.6N 88.4W 27.7N 89.8W 28.1N 91.1W 28.5N 92.1W
SHIP 25KTS 27KTS 29KTS 29KTS
DSHP 25KTS 27KTS 29KTS 26KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
100706 0000 100707 0000 100708 0000 100709 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 31.9N 93.9W 33.4N 95.7W 33.5N 98.7W 33.4N 102.9W
BAMD 28.1N 94.3W 29.0N 97.2W 29.5N 100.5W 29.4N 104.2W
BAMM 30.1N 93.1W 31.7N 95.3W 32.5N 98.4W 32.8N 101.9W
LBAR 29.3N 92.8W 31.0N 94.5W 33.3N 95.6W 34.6N 95.6W
SHIP 30KTS 32KTS 36KTS 34KTS
DSHP 26KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 27.6N LONCUR = 88.4W DIRCUR = 255DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATM12 = 27.8N LONM12 = 87.0W DIRM12 = 243DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 28.8N LONM24 = 85.1W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0625 UTC SUN JUL 4 2010
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952010) 20100704 0600 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
100704 0600 100704 1800 100705 0600 100705 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 27.2N 89.6W 28.1N 91.4W 29.2N 92.9W 30.5N 94.3W
BAMD 27.2N 89.6W 27.1N 91.1W 27.4N 92.5W 27.8N 93.9W
BAMM 27.2N 89.6W 27.7N 91.1W 28.4N 92.5W 29.2N 93.8W
LBAR 27.2N 89.6W 27.3N 90.9W 27.8N 91.9W 28.2N 92.9W
SHIP 25KTS 24KTS 26KTS 29KTS
DSHP 25KTS 24KTS 26KTS 29KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
100706 0600 100707 0600 100708 0600 100709 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 31.3N 95.3W 32.3N 97.3W 32.7N 100.8W 32.8N 104.5W
BAMD 28.3N 95.2W 29.2N 97.8W 29.8N 101.3W 29.6N 105.4W
BAMM 30.0N 94.9W 31.2N 97.3W 32.0N 100.8W 32.4N 104.2W
LBAR 28.9N 93.6W 30.9N 95.6W 33.3N 96.3W 35.2N 95.5W
SHIP 29KTS 32KTS 36KTS 35KTS
DSHP 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 27.2N LONCUR = 89.6W DIRCUR = 255DEG SPDCUR = 8KT
LATM12 = 27.6N LONM12 = 87.6W DIRM12 = 257DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 28.2N LONM24 = 86.3W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 100NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0625 UTC SUN JUL 4 2010
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952010) 20100704 0600 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
100704 0600 100704 1800 100705 0600 100705 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 27.2N 89.6W 28.1N 91.4W 29.2N 92.9W 30.5N 94.3W
BAMD 27.2N 89.6W 27.1N 91.1W 27.4N 92.5W 27.8N 93.9W
BAMM 27.2N 89.6W 27.7N 91.1W 28.4N 92.5W 29.2N 93.8W
LBAR 27.2N 89.6W 27.3N 90.9W 27.8N 91.9W 28.2N 92.9W
SHIP 25KTS 24KTS 26KTS 29KTS
DSHP 25KTS 24KTS 26KTS 29KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
100706 0600 100707 0600 100708 0600 100709 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 31.3N 95.3W 32.3N 97.3W 32.7N 100.8W 32.8N 104.5W
BAMD 28.3N 95.2W 29.2N 97.8W 29.8N 101.3W 29.6N 105.4W
BAMM 30.0N 94.9W 31.2N 97.3W 32.0N 100.8W 32.4N 104.2W
LBAR 28.9N 93.6W 30.9N 95.6W 33.3N 96.3W 35.2N 95.5W
SHIP 29KTS 32KTS 36KTS 35KTS
DSHP 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 27.2N LONCUR = 89.6W DIRCUR = 255DEG SPDCUR = 8KT
LATM12 = 27.6N LONM12 = 87.6W DIRM12 = 257DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 28.2N LONM24 = 86.3W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 100NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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- TheEuropean
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Mon Jul 5 02:34:32 EDT 2010
WHXX01 KWBC 050623
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0623 UTC MON JUL 5 2010
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952010) 20100705 0600 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
100705 0600 100705 1800 100706 0600 100706 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 28.0N 90.9W 29.1N 92.4W 29.9N 93.8W 30.8N 95.2W
BAMD 28.0N 90.9W 28.2N 92.3W 28.6N 93.5W 29.0N 94.8W
BAMM 28.0N 90.9W 28.6N 92.3W 29.3N 93.6W 30.0N 94.9W
LBAR 28.0N 90.9W 28.7N 91.4W 29.5N 92.1W 30.5N 92.8W
SHIP 25KTS 27KTS 31KTS 36KTS
DSHP 25KTS 27KTS 31KTS 29KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
100707 0600 100708 0600 100709 0600 100710 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 31.3N 96.6W 31.7N 99.6W 31.3N 103.1W 31.5N 106.6W
BAMD 29.5N 96.2W 30.5N 99.4W 31.2N 102.2W 31.6N 104.7W
BAMM 30.6N 96.3W 31.7N 99.2W 32.1N 101.9W 32.5N 104.3W
LBAR 31.8N 93.8W 34.7N 94.7W 37.9N 92.6W 39.9N 86.3W
SHIP 42KTS 50KTS 50KTS 46KTS
DSHP 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 28.0N LONCUR = 90.9W DIRCUR = 315DEG SPDCUR = 4KT
LATM12 = 27.4N LONM12 = 90.1W DIRM12 = 319DEG SPDM12 = 3KT
LATM24 = 27.3N LONM24 = 89.5W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 60NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
WHXX01 KWBC 050623
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0623 UTC MON JUL 5 2010
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952010) 20100705 0600 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
100705 0600 100705 1800 100706 0600 100706 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 28.0N 90.9W 29.1N 92.4W 29.9N 93.8W 30.8N 95.2W
BAMD 28.0N 90.9W 28.2N 92.3W 28.6N 93.5W 29.0N 94.8W
BAMM 28.0N 90.9W 28.6N 92.3W 29.3N 93.6W 30.0N 94.9W
LBAR 28.0N 90.9W 28.7N 91.4W 29.5N 92.1W 30.5N 92.8W
SHIP 25KTS 27KTS 31KTS 36KTS
DSHP 25KTS 27KTS 31KTS 29KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
100707 0600 100708 0600 100709 0600 100710 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 31.3N 96.6W 31.7N 99.6W 31.3N 103.1W 31.5N 106.6W
BAMD 29.5N 96.2W 30.5N 99.4W 31.2N 102.2W 31.6N 104.7W
BAMM 30.6N 96.3W 31.7N 99.2W 32.1N 101.9W 32.5N 104.3W
LBAR 31.8N 93.8W 34.7N 94.7W 37.9N 92.6W 39.9N 86.3W
SHIP 42KTS 50KTS 50KTS 46KTS
DSHP 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 28.0N LONCUR = 90.9W DIRCUR = 315DEG SPDCUR = 4KT
LATM12 = 27.4N LONM12 = 90.1W DIRM12 = 319DEG SPDM12 = 3KT
LATM24 = 27.3N LONM24 = 89.5W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 60NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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