Certainly they are taking thier time issuing the updates thats for sure, but giving the EPAC is behind as well, probably doesn't mean much at all in that case.
edit---near 0...not all that surprising relaly given its inland.
ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION
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ozonepete
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION
0 to 60 to 0 in a few hours. That was one wild ride!!!
Wonder if it will go back up to 60 again.
Wonder if it will go back up to 60 again.
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hockeytim19
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION
...I just don't get it. Seriously, what is the point of doing that?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION
It was very bizarre what they did with this system, yesterday it looked like a tropical cyclone and they did nothing, today it looked less organized than yesterday and they went to 60% just to go back to near 0%. Let's wait for the post season re-analysis.
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Raising to 60% was probably just a way to cover themselves just in case there was some undeniable evidence that this was a TC came in from a SHIP/Ob.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION
If you have any question about this for the NHC folks,you cam email them.
nhc.public.affairs@noaa.gov
nhc.public.affairs@noaa.gov
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ozonepete
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION
It also looks like there is going to be a considerable flare-up of convection overnight. Just a very difficult system/situation to forecast.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION
A SMALL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS MOVED INLAND OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL
LOUISIANA ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MORGAN CITY. NOW THAT THE
SYSTEM IS OVER LAND AND WILL MOVE FARTHER INLAND TONIGHT...TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAINFALL
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. INTERESTS SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES
AND ANY WATCHES OR WARNINGS.
I love Stewart's TWO's but, Goggle it, lot more water than land. But I get the gist of it along the "coast"
LOUISIANA ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MORGAN CITY. NOW THAT THE
SYSTEM IS OVER LAND AND WILL MOVE FARTHER INLAND TONIGHT...TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAINFALL
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. INTERESTS SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES
AND ANY WATCHES OR WARNINGS.
I love Stewart's TWO's but, Goggle it, lot more water than land. But I get the gist of it along the "coast"
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brunota2003
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION
tailgater wrote: Does someone here know what those numbers and letters mean? Explain please!
To answer your question...those are individual storm cells the radar is detecting...the arrow is the forecast path of each cell...all part of wunderunderground's radar images and loops.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION
brunota2003 wrote:tailgater wrote: Does someone here know what those numbers and letters mean? Explain please!
To answer your question...those are individual storm cells the radar is detecting...the arrow is the forecast path of each cell...all part of wunderunderground's radar images and loops.
But do the numbers and letters have any meaning or are they just designation figures?
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brunota2003
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION
tailgater wrote:brunota2003 wrote:tailgater wrote: Does someone here know what those numbers and letters mean? Explain please!
To answer your question...those are individual storm cells the radar is detecting...the arrow is the forecast path of each cell...all part of wunderunderground's radar images and loops.
But do the numbers and letters have any meaning or are they just designation figures?
http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=MSY
Scroll down under the radar and you'll see them.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION
Now what is this?
Best Track had this as a TD this morning?
AL, 95, 2010070512, , BEST, 0, 284N, 909W, 30, 1009, TD
ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest
Best Track had this as a TD this morning?
AL, 95, 2010070512, , BEST, 0, 284N, 909W, 30, 1009, TD
ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest
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Hmmm that is odd Cycloneye, I wonder why they had that then because it didn't really look at all good at that point, I have to imagine thats an error on thier part?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION
Scroll down under the radar and you'll see them.
Thanks brunota.
This little invest continues to look a little better IMHO.
Thanks brunota.
This little invest continues to look a little better IMHO.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION
Looks like center is trying to nudge a little west and move back over water. Could it be that NHC give up hope on this again!
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION
Apart from the 12z TD designation that I posted above,at 18z, Best Track increased the winds to 35kts. For sure they will look at this system at post season.
AL, 95, 2010070518, , BEST, 0, 287N, 910W, 35, 1008, DB
ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest
AL, 95, 2010070518, , BEST, 0, 287N, 910W, 35, 1008, DB
ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest
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