ATL: INVEST 95L - DISCUSSION

[Florida1118]

Wunderground.com:
Hi all,

Dr. Rob Carver, filling in for Jeff this week.

Invest 95L is making landfall now in southern Louisiana near Terrebonne Bay. A CMAN station in Terrebonne Bay is currently reporting winds from the SE at 21 mph and the pressure is 1009 mb. Looking at the radar data, Invest 95L never had a closed center of circulation. I believe soaking rains for southern Lousisana are going to be Invest 95L's main legacy. It's already produced 5+ inches of rain in some offshore locations according to radar-derived rainfall estimates.

[cycloneye]

For those who may have missed the best track updates earlier,they had 95L as a TD at 12z this morning and the winds increased to 35kts at 18z this afternoon.

AL, 95, 2010070512, , BEST, 0, 284N, 909W, 30, 1009, TD

AL, 95, 2010070518, , BEST, 0, 287N, 910W, 35, 1008, DB

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest

[Stormcenter]

Is 95L skimming the LA. coastline or not?

It sure doesn't look inland yet.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[Cyclone1]

It appears to have jolted west at the last minute, yes.

[canes101]

They kept it 95L the whole time huh?

[redfish1]

They kept it 95L the whole time huh?

they may change it now

[HURAKAN]

Track

[Stormcenter]

I'm curious to see what the next TWO has to say......maybe something like oops!!!!

[Ivanhater]

Quite a blowup over the center

[redfish1]

what are the coordinates of the center?

[brunota2003]

Actually...I think the center is to the west of that convection (south of the island/peninsula thingy that juts out!). Watch the radar, and you can see it trying to pull some of the showers and storms around itself (apparently it doesn't like streaking too much!)

[LaBreeze]

Actually...I think the center is to the west of that convection (south of the island/peninsula thingy that juts out!). Watch the radar, and you can see it trying to pull some of the showers and storms around itself (apparently it doesn't like streaking too much!)

The island/peninsula thingy is Marsh Island. I'm just to the northwest of Vermilion Bay and Marsh Island and I've seen a couple of flashes of lightning in the distance. Nice easterly breeze blowing right now.

[MONTEGUT_LA]

Actually...I think the center is to the west of that convection (south of the island/peninsula thingy that juts out!). Watch the radar, and you can see it trying to pull some of the showers and storms around itself (apparently it doesn't like streaking too much!)

The island/peninsula thingy is Marsh Island. I'm just to the northwest of Vermilion Bay and Marsh Island and I've seen a couple of flashes of lightning in the distance. Nice easterly breeze blowing right now.

Same here, some lightning, rain and a nice breeze. Also noticed the bayou a little choppy today.

[brunota2003]

Actually...I think the center is to the west of that convection (south of the island/peninsula thingy that juts out!). Watch the radar, and you can see it trying to pull some of the showers and storms around itself (apparently it doesn't like streaking too much!)

The island/peninsula thingy is Marsh Island. I'm just to the northwest of Vermilion Bay and Marsh Island and I've seen a couple of flashes of lightning in the distance. Nice easterly breeze blowing right now.

Okay! Now I can put a name to it...don't you love my wonderful, scientific terminology, though?

[Macrocane]

Its appearence has improved tonight, I don't think that the NHC will upgrade it anytime soon, but who knows they are more unpredictable than the storms themselves

[LaBreeze]

Actually...I think the center is to the west of that convection (south of the island/peninsula thingy that juts out!). Watch the radar, and you can see it trying to pull some of the showers and storms around itself (apparently it doesn't like streaking too much!)

The island/peninsula thingy is Marsh Island. I'm just to the northwest of Vermilion Bay and Marsh Island and I've seen a couple of flashes of lightning in the distance. Nice easterly breeze blowing right now.

Okay! Now I can put a name to it...don't you love my wonderful, scientific terminology, though?

Not a problem there, brunota2003.

[redfish1]

what do you think about this KFDM Meteorologist is this headed in our general direction?

[ozonepete]

Don't know what to make of this, but the center is definitely over water and moving westward, and there is that blowup of convection just to the east of the center. The northwest to westerly shear is keeping the convection from getting over the center, but it is lessening tonight.

[MGC]

Center must be reforming off shore. Pretty good convective blow up on the eastern side of the system. If it looks like a duck????.......MGC

[Ivanhater]

Interesting