ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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ROCK
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#701 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:25 pm

lonelymike wrote:
TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:so is only the gfs running now? when does the euro and the rest run?



Euros out around 2am CDT. If you stay up that late you can listen to play by play and expert analysis from Ivan and Rock.


:lol: :lol: nah heading in after this....WX Warrior and Ivan can take over... :D
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#702 Postby BigB0882 » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:25 pm

Now the cut off low is down to MS? Really?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#703 Postby paintplaye » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:27 pm

Main vort stays stationary and it seems like another system is what moves NE:

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Re: Re:

#704 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:27 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:
Vortex wrote:frontal passage through tallahassee at h132


If I'm thinking correctly on 9/24/2010 at 12:24AM anyone who is behind the front should be safe from 95L then...Right?

SFT


lol :lol:
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Re:

#705 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:27 pm

BigB0882 wrote:Now the cut off low is down to MS? Really?


hard to imagine huh? but thats what its saying..... :D
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#706 Postby JTD » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:27 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _150.shtml

Approaching west/central Cuba
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#707 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:27 pm

lonelymike wrote:
TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:so is only the gfs running now? when does the euro and the rest run?



Euros out around 2am CDT. If you stay up that late you can listen to play by play and expert analysis from Ivan and Rock.


and they sure do give some darn good play by play and expert analysis. :wink: trust me, its worth staying up for.
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#708 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:28 pm

H150 strenthening and riding 80w to the north..amazing to be on the spot for the 4th straight run


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_150l.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#709 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:29 pm

156hr...still there.....you know that thingy in the back of your throat...kinda looks like that doesnt it... :lol:

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#710 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:29 pm

Nope..I'm out as well..PT in the wee hours and long day tomorrow :D
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#711 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:29 pm

wouldnt be surprised if this comes due N then nnw as a result of the upper low...
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Re:

#712 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:30 pm

Vortex wrote:H150 strenthening and riding 80w to the north..amazing to be on the spot for the 4th straight run


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_150l.gif


The Hurricane King analogy comes to mind again...If this plays out I think it will be fair to say that 2010 and 1950 are for all intents and purposes identical...

SFT
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#713 Postby lonelymike » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:30 pm

Of course Ivan has that pesky pt thing at 515am but that won't stop him :P
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#714 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:30 pm

156hr 850mb

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#715 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:32 pm

So much for the operational following the ensembles... :roll:

SFT
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#716 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:33 pm

weird...looking.

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#717 Postby Vortex » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:33 pm

345Z sat image...coming together nicely now..convection firing right over center...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#718 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:33 pm

Hmmm in the Gulf along the west coast of Florida as the cut off low backs NW

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#719 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:34 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:So much for the operational following the ensembles... :roll:

SFT


ensembles were split..GFS has been south of its ensemble the entire time...I also think its suffering from some feedback issues.....bad case of it.....looks like two lows merge there...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#720 Postby WeatherEmperor » Wed Sep 22, 2010 11:35 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:So much for the operational following the ensembles... :roll:

SFT


That is a question that I always wanted to ask. Does the operation usually follow the ensembles or do the ensembles follow the operational?
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