ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - DISCUSSION

[Kludge]

In the past, I have always enjoyed watching storms form, and tracking them as they move through the Atlantic, Caribbean and GOM. This year, All I feel is dread. I rode out to the beach today, cried all the way home thinking about how all the oil/sludge MESS looked on the beautiful pristine sand, and how many lives will be disrupted because of it. Before things get too hectic with 93l/Alex/hurricane, whatever it becomes...I'd just like to wish everyone living along the coast good luck this hurricane season, be prepared and hope for the best.

It just seems like dreadful issues come in a series sometimes, Sunny... our prayers are certainly with you that weather doesn't complicate the already disastrous oil situation. Maybe our prayers are working... this wave could've already been a storm based on some projections, and it's not...so let's hope it just poofs and fades into the Pacific.

[Ikester]

Well, I can see why. The Euro acts as if there is no trough at all. Clearly I think there will be one, but not nearly as deep as the gfs advertises.

[ozonepete]

For the Accuwx track...Left arrow near Galveston...The center of that "area" is almost right on NO, and the right arrow is near Pensacola...HM. Just an observation.

Hmmm. Quite a large range...

[Ikester]

For the Accuwx track...Left arrow near Galveston...The center of that "area" is almost right on NO, and the right arrow is near Pensacola...HM. Just an observation.

Hmmm. Quite a large range...

I highly doubt that is a cone of any kind. It shows two of the more likely tracks. Either the ridge will be stronger with a not so deep trough, ie Galveston or vicinity or stronger trough and Florida vicinity. We'll see.

[Kludge]

In the past, I have always enjoyed watching storms form, and tracking them as they move through the Atlantic, Caribbean and GOM. This year, All I feel is dread. I rode out to the beach today, cried all the way home thinking about how all the oil/sludge MESS looked on the beautiful pristine sand, and how many lives will be disrupted because of it. Before things get too hectic with 93l/Alex/hurricane, whatever it becomes...I'd just like to wish everyone living along the coast good luck this hurricane season, be prepared and hope for the best.

It just seems like dreadful issues come in a series sometimes, Sunny... our prayers are certainly with you that weather doesn't complicate the already disastrous oil situation. Maybe our prayers are working... this wave could've already been a storm based on some projections, and it's not...so let's hope it just poofs and fades into the Pacific.

[Ivanhater]

In the past, I have always enjoyed watching storms form, and tracking them as they move through the Atlantic, Caribbean and GOM. This year, All I feel is dread. I rode out to the beach today, cried all the way home thinking about how all the oil/sludge MESS looked on the beautiful pristine sand, and how many lives will be disrupted because of it. Before things get too hectic with 93l/Alex/hurricane, whatever it becomes...I'd just like to wish everyone living along the coast good luck this hurricane season, be prepared and hope for the best.

Bit off topic while we wait, but this scene on Pensacola beach today was heartbreaking. Hopefully a storm in the gulf wont add more heartbreak.

Once the whitest beaches in the world, now...

[StarmanHDB]

Accuwx's take

"THE SKY IS FALLING!"
Was it Chicken Little or Joe Bastardi who SCREAMED that?

[Ivanhater]

[ozonepete]

In the past, I have always enjoyed watching storms form, and tracking them as they move through the Atlantic, Caribbean and GOM. This year, All I feel is dread. I rode out to the beach today, cried all the way home thinking about how all the oil/sludge MESS looked on the beautiful pristine sand, and how many lives will be disrupted because of it. Before things get too hectic with 93l/Alex/hurricane, whatever it becomes...I'd just like to wish everyone living along the coast good luck this hurricane season, be prepared and hope for the best.

Bit off topic while we wait, but this scene on Pensacola beach today was heartbreaking. Hopefully a storm in the gulf wont add more heartbreak.

Once the whitest beaches in the world, now...

OMG! I know it's off topic too, but I'm so sorry, Ivanhater. This is just breaking my heart. I hope it all works out somehow...

[Weatherfreak000]

Latest IR pics from the loop have been somewhat scary. The models were not picking up on this intensification until tomorrow. The storms are really consolidating here nicely.

[ROCK]

There is that naked swirl exiting west but I can't see anything back closer to the convection at the surface. It does look better organized though. No MLC to compete with tonight than the last couple of nights.

[ozonepete]

Really looks like consolidation just SSE of Jamaica. This could be it. I think we'll have a depression in the western Caribbean by Friday morning - maybe sooner.

[Brent]

Continues to look better. I'm getting very interested.

[I-wall]

Up in here, up in here...

What does that graphic show?

[Ivanhater]

Bigger view

[img][/img]

[bob rulz]

50% at 2am?

[Aquawind]

Nice large rotation as the sun sets here.. looks plausable
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-rgb.html

[ROCK]

50% at 2am?

I would take that bet...

[Plant grower]

Check this out west winds have been reported for a while now. http://www.wunderground.com/history/air ... atename=NA

[Ivanhater]