QUEENSLAND : EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA

[cycloneye]

[P.K.]

04F has been upgraded from a Tropical Disturbance to a Tropical Depression during the day.

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 20/1008 UTC 2010 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04F CENTRE [1004HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 11.0S 160.4E
AT 200900UTC MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS. POSTION POOR BASED ON
MTSAT EIR WITH ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 30
DEGREES CELCIUS.

DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT WITH LLCC DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. 04F
LIES TO THE NORTH OF 250 HPA RIDGE AXIS ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH.
OUTFLOW GOOD TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH BUT RESTRICTED ELSWHERE. SURFACE
TO 500HPA CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH DIVERGENCE ALOFT. CURVED BAND
STARTING TO WRAP AROUND 04F. 04F IS LOCATED IN A 20 KNOT SHEARED
ENVIROMENT AND MOVING INTO AN AREA OF DECREASING SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS
[NOGAPS,UK,US,EC] CONTINUOS TO MOVE THE SYSTEM SOUTHWEST AND
EVENTUALLY DEEPENS IT.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS MODERATE.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

[cycloneye]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.8S
162.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.5S 160.0E, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM SOUTH
OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES
BROAD TURNING WITH A WESTERLY WIND SURGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM AND
STRONG EASTERLY FLOW TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. A 202218Z METOP-A
89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES CURVED BANDING AND A DEVELOPING LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 202218Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS A BROAD
CIRCULATION WITH 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS OVER THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN A
REGION OF STRONG TO MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH
STRONG DIFFLUENCE ENHANCED BY AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EAST OF
AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR.

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[cycloneye]

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 21/0857 UTC 2010 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04F CENTRE [1002HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 10.4S 160.2E
AT 210600UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT EIR WITH
ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES CELCIUS.


DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT WITH LLCC DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. 04F
LIES TO THE NORTH OF 250 HPA RIDGE AXIS AND ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH.
OUTFLOW GOOD TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH BUT RESTRICTED ELSWHERE. SURFACE
TO 500HPA CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH DIVERGENCE ALOFT. 04F IS LOCATED
IN A MODERATE TO HIGH SHEARED ENVIROMENT. GLOBAL MODELS
[NOGAPS,UK,US,EC] CONTINUOS TO SLOWLY MOVE THE SYSTEM SOUTHWEST.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE.

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[cycloneye]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.5S
160.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.5S 157.3E, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM
SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
IMAGERY INDICATES BROAD TURNING WITH A WESTERLY WIND SURGE NORTH OF
THE SYSTEM AND STRONG EASTERLY FLOW TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. A
211913Z WINDSAT 37 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE HINTS AT A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), BUT IT REMAINS POORLY DEFINED. UPPER-
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE
WITHIN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF STRONG EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB.
DUE TO THE POORLY-DEFINED LLCC AND STRONG EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR.

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[HURAKAN]

22/0830 UTC 15.0S 154.5E T1.5/1.5 95P -- Southwest Pacific

25 knots

[Crostorm]

22/1430 UTC 15.3S 153.3E T2.0/2.0 95P -- Southwest Pacific

[Crostorm]

[HURAKAN]

WTPS21 PGTW 222030
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 195
NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.9S 153.2E TO 17.6S 146.0E WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF
NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA
ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 TO 33 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 221730Z
INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.6S 151.6E. THE
SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.5S
157.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.6S 151.6E, APPROXIMATELY 335 NM EAST OF
CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
PERSISTENT, DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTING OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 221514Z AMSR-E AND A 221700Z TRMM PASS
INDICATED BANDING CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING AROUND THE LLCC, AND IS
SUPPORTED BY ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY FROM WILLIS ISLAND, AUSTRALIA.
RECENT OBSERVATIONS FROM WILLIS ISLAND AND LIHOU REEF INDICATE WINDS
NEAR THE LLCC ARE BETWEEN 25 AND 30 KNOTS, WITH STRONGER CONVERGENT
FLOW BETWEEN 30 AND 35 KNOTS TO THE SOUTH OF THE LLCC. CENTRAL
PRESSURES ARE ESTIMATED BETWEEN 999 AND 1001 MB BASED ON THE RECENT
OBSERVATIONS MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE
LLCC IS LOCATED EQUATORWARD OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS, WHICH IS
PROVIDING STRONG EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THIS IS SUPPORTING GOOD WEST-
WARD OUTFLOW, BUT IS ALSO CREATING A MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB.
BASED ON THE RADAR IMAGERY AND SUPPORTING OBSERVATIONS NEAR THE LLCC,
THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
232030Z.//
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

22/2030 UTC 15.6S 150.6E T2.0/2.0 95P -- Southwest Pacific

30 knots, moving fast

[P.K.]

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF
METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 2223 UTC 22 January 2010

STORM FORCE WIND WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA

SITUATION
At 2130 UTC Tropical Cyclone Olga was centred within 30 nautical miles of
latitude sixteen decimal four south [16.4S]
longitude one hundred and fifty decimal eight east [150.8E]
Recent movement : west southwest at 17 knots
Maximum winds : 40 knots
Central pressure: 993 hPa
AREA AFFECTED
Within 40 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Maximum winds to 40 knots near the centre increasing to 50 knots by 2130 UTC 23
January.

Winds above 48 knots within 20 nautical miles of centre with very rough seas
after 231800UTC.

Winds above 34 knots within 40 nautical miles of centre with rough to very rough
seas.

Forecast positions
At 0930 UTC 23 January: Within 50 nautical miles of 17.1 south 148.6 east
Central pressure 989 hPa.
Winds to 45 knots
At 2130 UTC 23 January: Within 60 nautical miles of 17.0 south 147.2 east
Central pressure 986 hPa.
Winds to 50 knots
REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular
observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to
marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 1241 through Land
Earth Station 212.
Next warning will be issued by 0100 UTC 23 January 2010.

WEATHER BRISBANE

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 2
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 11:07am EST on Saturday the 23rd of January 2010

A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal areas from Cape Melville to
Lucinda.

At 10:00 am EST Tropical Cyclone Olga, Category 1 was estimated to be
490 kilometres east of Cairns and 495 kilometres northeast of Townsville
moving west southwest at 22 kilometres per hour while intensifying.

Tropical Cyclone Olga formed in the Coral Sea overnight and is currently moving
westward towards the coast while intensifying. Gales are not expected on the
east Queensland coast within 24 hours, however gales may develop late Sunday as
the centre nears the coast.

People between Cape Flattery and Cardwell should consider what action they will
need to take if the cyclone threat increases. If you are unsure about the
actions to be taken, information is available from your local government or
local State Emergency Service.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Olga at 10:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 16.3 degrees South 150.3 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 22 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 100 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 993 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 5:00 pm EST Saturday 23 January.


This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

[HURAKAN]

WTPS31 PGTW 230300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (OLGA) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (OLGA) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230000Z --- NEAR 16.6S 150.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S 150.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 16.1S 147.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 15.5S 145.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 15.3S 143.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 15.4S 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 15.9S 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.2S 136.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.4S 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 16.5S 149.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09P (OLGA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM EAST
OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS PERSISTENT,
DEEP, BANDING CONVECTION WRAPPING TOWARDS A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 221514Z AMSR-E AND A 221700Z TRMM PASS
ALSO SHOWS THE BANDING CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC. ANIMATED
RADAR IMAGERY FROM WILLIS ISLAND, AUSTRALIA SHOWS THE CONVECTION IS
STRONGEST ALONG THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE LLCC, AND A CLEAR CENTER
EVIDENT IN THIS RADAR IMAGERY LENDS GOOD CONFIDENCE TO THE INITIAL
POSITION OF THE SYSTEM ESTIMATED IN THIS WARNING. OBSERVATIONS FROM
WILLIS ISLAND INDICATE THAT WINDS NEAR THE LLCC ARE AROUND 35 KNOTS,
WHICH IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE 2.5 DVORAK FIX FROM PGTW. CENTRAL
PRESSURES, BASED ON THE OBSERVATIONS AT WILLIS ISLAND, HAVE CONTINUED
TO DROP AND ARE CURRENTLY AT 993.5 MB. THE LLCC HAS PASSED ALMOST
DIRECTLY OVER THE ISLAND, PROVIDING A VERY GOOD BASELINE FOR ANALYSIS
OF THE SYSTEM AS IT HAS DEVELOPED. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE
NORTHWEST IS CURRENTLY TRACKING TOWARDS TC 09P, AND IS EXPECTED TO
MERGE WITH THE TC 09P WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. HOWEVER,
INTERACTIONS BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS PRIOR TO THEIR MERGER WILL
LIKELY HINDER TC 09P FROM RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING PRIOR TO LANDFALL
IN NORTHEASTERN AUSTRALIA. ON THE OTHER HAND, THE INCREASE IN
VORTICITY AFTER THEIR MERGER SHOULD HELP TO MAINTAIN THE SYSTEM AS
IT TRACKS OVER CAPE YORK INTO THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. UPON ENTERING
THE GULF, WEAKENING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND PASSAGE OVER VERY WARM
WATER WILL LEAD TO A BRIEF PERIOD OF INTENSIFICATION BEFORE THE
CYCLONE MOVES BACK OVER LAND AROUND TAU 96. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR
AGREEMENT WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST, WITH THE TRACK BASED ON A CON-
SENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE GUIDANCE. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTI-
MATED TO BE NEAR 993 MB. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A,
NAVMARFCSTCEN 222021Z JAN 10 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT
(WTPS21 PGTW 222030). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS
10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z AND 240300Z.//
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[Crostorm]

IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 3
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:51pm EST on Saturday the 23rd of January 2010

A Cyclone WARNING has been declared for coastal areas from Cape Flattery to
Innisfail.

A Cyclone WATCH has is now current for coastal areas from Coen to Cape Flattery
and Innisfail to Lucinda.

At 4:00 pm EST Tropical Cyclone Olga, Category 1 was estimated to be
370 kilometres east of Cairns and 400 kilometres northeast of Townsville
moving west southwest at 20 kilometres per hour while intensifying.

TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA, CATEGORY 1, is currently over the northwest Coral Sea and
is moving towards the coast while intensifying.

Gale force winds and heavy rainfall are expected to develop about the coast
between Cape Flattery and Innisfail on Sunday afternoon.

People between Cape Flattery and Innisfail should take precautions and listen to
the next Advice at 8pm Saturday. If you are unsure about precautions
to be taken, information is available from your local government or
local State Emergency Service.

People between Coen to Cape Flattery and Innisfail to Lucinda should consider
what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases. If you are
unsure about the actions to be taken, information is available from your local
government or local State Emergency Service.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Olga at 4:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 16.5 degrees South 149.2 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 20 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 120 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 990 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 8:00 pm EST Saturday 23 January.


This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

[Crostorm]

IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 4
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 7:48pm EST on Saturday the 23rd of January 2010

A Cyclone WARNING has been declared for coastal areas from Cape Flattery to
Innisfail.

A Cyclone WATCH has is now current for coastal areas from Coen to Cape Flattery
and Innisfail to Lucinda.

At 7:00 pm EST Tropical Cyclone Olga, Category 1 was estimated to be
335 kilometres east northeast of Cairns and 400 kilometres north northeast of
Townsville moving west at 18 kilometres per hour while intensifying.

TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA, CATEGORY 1, is currently over the northwest Coral Sea and
is moving towards the coast while intensifying.

Gale force winds and heavy rainfall are expected to develop about the coast
between Cape Flattery and Innisfail on Sunday afternoon.
People between Cape Flattery and Innisfail should take precautions and listen
to the next Advice at 11pm Saturday. If you are unsure about precautions to be
taken, information is available from your local government or local State
Emergency Service.

People between Coen to Cape Flattery and Innisfail to Lucinda should consider
what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases. If you are
unsure about the actions to be taken, information is available from your local
government or local State Emergency Service.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Olga at 7:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 16.2 degrees South 148.8 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west at 18 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 120 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 987 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Saturday 23 January.


This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 5
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 10:59pm EST on Saturday the 23rd of January 2010

A Cyclone WARNING is now current for coastal and island areas from Cape Melville
to Cardwell.

The Cyclone WATCH from Coen to Cape Melville and Cardwell to Lucinda has been
CANCELLED.

At 10:00 pm EST Tropical Cyclone Olga, Category 2 was estimated to be
250 kilometres east northeast of Cairns and 365 kilometres north northeast of
Townsville, and was moving west at 21 kilometres per hour.

GALES are expected to develop about the coast between Cape Melville and Cardwell
on Sunday.

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS are likely to develop about the coast between Cape Tribulation
and Innisfail on Sunday afternoon as the cyclone centre approaches.

Very heavy rainfall with localised flooding is expected to develop about the
North Tropical Coast during Sunday.

As the cyclone crosses the coast, abnormally high tides are expected between
Cape Tribulation and Innisfail, but the sea level should not exceed the highest
tide of the year. Large waves are likely along the beachfront.

People between Cape Melville and Cardwell should immediately commence or
continue preparations, especially securing boats and property.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Olga at 10:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 16.2 degrees South 148.0 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 35 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west at 21 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 140 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 2
.Central pressure......... 983 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 2:00 am EST Sunday 24 January.


This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.