
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Feb 22/1509 UTC 2010 UTC.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD [1004HPA] LOCATED NEAR 7.3S 175.8W AT 221200
UTC. SLOW MOVING. POSITION FAIR BASED ON IR/EIR IMAGERY WITH
ANIMATION AND LATEST ASCAT PASS. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES.
CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE LAST 6 HOURS WITH
ORGANISATION POOR. OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH AND EAST BUT RESTRICTED
ELSEWHERE. THE SYSTEM LIES ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH UNDER 250HPA TUTT.
THE SYSTEM LIES IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND SLOWLY DEVELOP IT.
POTENTIAL FOR TD TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO
48 HOURS IS LOW.
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.