WPAC: AERE (1101/03W/Bebeng) - Tropical Storm

[RobWESTPACWX]

Rob, this system isn't Aere (yet), so your video was titled wrongly. However as Storming points out, the JMA has begun issuing warnings on this, meaning they forecast a TS within 24 hours.

I realize that, I guess I was just jumping the gun so I don't haft to rename it later. But defiantly do think they will warn on it here soon.

[RobWESTPACWX]

Latest From JMA




TD
Issued at 04:25 UTC, 7 May 2011

<Analyses at 07/03 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity -
TD
Center position N12°50'(12.8°)
E126°35'(126.6°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 15m/s(30kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 23m/s(45kt)

<Forecast for 08/03 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N14°05'(14.1°)
E124°55'(124.9°)
Direction and speed of movement NW Slowly

[dexterlabio]

[RobWESTPACWX]

Now Tropical Storm Aere, first named storm of the western pacific season.

[phwxenthusiast]

^^ There we go!!

[P.K.]

First tropical storm of the year.

WTPQ20 RJTD 070600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1101 AERE (1101) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 070600UTC 12.9N 126.4E FAIR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM EAST 80NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 080600UTC 15.1N 124.0E 70NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 090600UTC 18.2N 121.9E 110NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 100600UTC 19.9N 120.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =

[dexterlabio]

It looks very nice for a TS, I guess.

Not to mention, it moves at a slow pace, raising more danger of flooding in Visayas (especially Samar island) if heavy rains will stay longer.

[senorpepr]

PAGASA's latest maintains TD strength--

Severe Weather Bulletin No. 3
Tropical Cyclone Alert: Tropical Depression "BEBENG"

Issued at 11:00 a.m.,Saturday, 07 May 2011

Tropical Depression "BEBENG" has maintained its strength as it now moves in Northwest direction.

Location of Center: (as of 4:00 a.m.) 180 km East Catarman, Northern Samar
Coordinates: 12.7°N, 126.4°E
Strength: Maximum winds of 55 kph near the center
Movement: Northwest at 13 kph

Forecast Positions/Outlook:
Sunday morning:
50 km North of Virac, Catanduanes

Monday morning:
80 km Northwest of Casiguran, Aurora

Tuesday morning:
200 km North Northwest of Laoag City


Areas Having Public Storm Warning Signal

Signal No. 1
(30-60 kph winds)

Luzon
Camarines Sur
Camarines Norte
Albay
Catanduanes
Sorsogon
Masbate
Ticao
Burias Islands
Polillo island

Visayas
Leyte
Samar Provinces
Biliran Island

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under signal # 1 are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 15 PM today.

[senorpepr]

For those following us from the Philippines--you can also monitor hourly updates on Bebeng on Twitter from PAGASA: @dost_pagasa http://twitter.com/dost_pagasa

[senorpepr]

PAGASA is upgrading Bebeng to a tropical storm...

[senorpepr]

Severe Weather Bulletin No. 4
Tropical Cyclone Alert: Tropical Storm "BEBENG"

Issued at 5:00 p.m., Saturday, 07 May 2011

"BEBENG" has intensified into a storm and threatens the Bicol region.

Location of Center:(as of 4:00 p.m.) 220 km East of Legaspi City
Coordinates: 13.2°N, 125.9°E
Strength: Maximum winds of 65 kph near the center
Movement: Northwest at 13 kph

Forecast Positions/Outlook:
Sunday afternoon:
60 km Northeast of Daet, Camarines Norte

Monday afternoon:
110 km North of Baler, Aurora or 70 km South of Tuguegarao City

Tuesday afternoon:
190 km Northwest of Aparri, Cagayan or 200 km West Southwest of Basco

Areas Having Public Storm Warning Signal

Signal 2 (61-100 kph)
Luzon
Sorsogon,
Albay,
Camarines Sur,
Catanduanes

Visayas
Northern Samar

Signal 1 (30-60 kph)
Luzon
Masbate,
Ticao,
Burias island,
Camarines Norte,
Quezon,
Polillo island,
Aurora
Marinduque

Visayas
Eastern Samar,
Western Samar

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under signal #2 and # 1 are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.

Residents in coastal areas under signal #2 and #1 are alerted of possible storm surges.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.

[Extratropical94]

07/0832 UTC 13.1N 125.9E T3.0/3.0 AERE -- West Pacific

latest dvorak at 45 knots

[RobWESTPACWX]

Just put together my evening video

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7NGxeSZeGtY[/youtube]


This storm has really become more organized though in the last several hours, it does look like it has the potential to be a strong TS prior to landfall. I still think flooding is going to be the largest problem though.

[StormingB81]

looks like a rainy weekend for okinawa...awesome..lol (sarcasm!)

[RobWESTPACWX]

looks like a rainy weekend for okinawa...awesome..lol (sarcasm!)

Been raining all day up here in Yoko, just one of those cloudy depressing days. (non-meteorological speaking)

[drdavisjr]

Although we are not expecting a direct hit up here in Bulacan, we are currently experiencing a pretty strong thunderstorm...

I guess the 2011 Pacific Typhoon season is formally started

[dexterlabio]

Another latest satpic from PAGASA. This is a nice shot of the storm from the agency, for me.


I need to say it again. It looks very good for a TS. And look at those thick rain clouds over its center. And yeah, the main problem to face here would be the flooding.

I watched the local new channel here in Manila and there have been reports of extensive rainfall and flashfloods in Visayas, especially in Leyte and Samar islands. Stormy weather is already being felt in Bicol region. I just want to share that we are experiencing a thunderstorm here in Quezon City. It seems that Aere is already near Luzon, though it's still hovering in Visayas.

[StormingB81]

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 212!!!step

trying to bring it here although hard to say how strong it would be if it would be a depression or TS IF it heads this way

[RobWESTPACWX]

I need to say it again. It looks very good for a TS. And look at those thick rain clouds over its center. And yeah, the main problem to face here would be the flooding.

I watched the local new channel here in Manila and there have been reports of extensive rainfall and flashfloods in Visayas, especially in Leyte and Samar islands. Stormy weather is already being felt in Bicol region. I just want to share that we are experiencing a thunderstorm here in Quezon City. It seems that Aere is already near Luzon, though it's still hovering in Visayas.

Thank you so much for the update, they are the most informative thing I get from this site is when people post the on the ground information to the site. I got TFC here and all there showing is well, The Filipino Price is Right right now. Ya extensive coverage.

[dexterlabio]

Thank you so much for the update, they are the most informative thing I get from this site is when people post the on the ground information to the site. I got TFC here and all there showing is well, The Filipino Price is Right right now. Ya extensive coverage.

Lol. I think I know what channel that is. But there are more recent news regarding Aere in the other local channel, the GMA network. I don't know if programs from GMA are shown internationally.