RobWESTPACWX wrote:This may sound ignorant, but please o please someone explain to me how to pronounce this.
11th named storm of the season is Nanmadol.
HKO has a
page with audio clips with storm name pronunciations (requires Real Player). Nanmadol's link is
http://www.hko.gov.hk/informtc/sound/micronesia/nanmadol.rm. To my ear, it sounds like
NAN-ma-DOL. I do not see any information on the site where they got these pronunciations, but it's a start.
JMA track:
JTWC track:
WTPN31 PGTW 231500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (FOURTEEN) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231200Z --- NEAR 16.0N 127.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N 127.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 16.3N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 16.7N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 17.2N 127.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 17.9N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 18.9N 128.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 20.1N 129.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 21.4N 131.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
231500Z POSITION NEAR 16.1N 127.7E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 625 NM SOUTH OF
KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 11 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z, 240300Z, 240900Z AND 241500Z.
//
NNNN
JTWC prognostic reasoning:
WDPN31 PGTW 231500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 14W (FOURTEEN)
WARNING NR 04//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 12 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 625 NM SOUTH OF
KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TS 14W
HAS CONTINUED TO CONSOLIDATE WITH IMPROVED, TIGHTER CONVECTIVE
BANDING WRAPPING FROM THE NORTH QUADRANT INTO THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). CONSEQUENTLY, DVORAK
ESTIMATES HAVE INCREASED TO 45 KNOTS FROM BOTH KNES AND PGTW AND THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS NOW ASSESSED AT 45 KNOTS. THERE IS GOOD
CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT POSITION AND MOTION BASED ON A 231056Z
TRMM 37H IMAGE SHOWING A WELL-DEFINED LLCC. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY INDICATES A POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL INTO A TUTT CELL
LOCATED JUST EAST OF OKINAWA. EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW IS FAIR WITH
STRONG DIFFLUENCE SOUTHWEST OF THE LLCC.
3. FORECAST REASONING
A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.
B. AVAILABLE MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN POOR AGREEMENT AND HAS ALSO
EXHIBITED SIGNIFICANT SHIFTS IN TRACK OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS. NOGAPS
HAS SHIFTED FROM AN EASTWARD TRACK TO A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK TOWARD
TAIWAN. GFDN HAS SIMILARLY SHIFTED FROM AN EASTWARD TRACK AND IS NOW
INDICATING A WESTWARD THEN NORTHWARD TRACK. THE JTWC FORECAST LEANS
MORE TOWARD THE ECMWF, GFS, UKMO AND JGSM SOLUTIONS WHICH HAVE
REMAINED FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH A SLOW NORTHWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD
TRACK THROUGH TAU 72. THIS TRACK IS ALSO MORE CONSISTENT WITH THE
TYPICAL TRACKS ASSOCIATED WITH A GYRE PATTERN. TS 14W IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AND SHOULD REACH TYPHOON STRENGTH BY TAU
72.
C. IN THE EXTENDED TAUS, THERE REMAINS A HIGH DEGREE OF
UNCERTAINTY DUE TO THE COMPLEX GYRE PATTERN AND THE FORECAST
FUJIWARA BETWEEN 14W AND ANOTHER SYSTEM DEVELOPING NORTHWEST OF
GUAM. THERE IS A VERY LARGE SPREAD IN THE MODEL GUIDANCE AND THIS
FORECAST IS POSITIONED RIGHT OF THE CONSENSUS, FAVORING THE ECMWF,
UKMO, JGSM, AND GFS SOLUTIONS.//
NNNN
Latest IR:
Latest microwave:
Latest SAB Dvorak estimate of 3.0/45kt:
TXPQ25 KNES 231412
TCSWNP
A. 14W (NANMADOL)
B. 23/1332Z
C. 15.8N
D. 127.4E
E. FIVE/MTSAT
F. T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/TMI/SSMIS
H. REMARKS...DT=3.0 BASED ON .7 BANDING ON LOG10
SPIRAL. PT=3.0. MET=3.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
23/1056Z 15.6N 127.5E TMI
23/1058Z 15.8N 127.6E SSMIS
...SCHWARTZ
Agree that it would be nice if the moderators could update the thread title to Tropical Storm Nanmadol; otherwise, will have to wait for Storming to do it later.
My attention have never been divided fpr some time ATL until that Irene came. 
