ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

[PTrackerLA]

Looks like a direct landfall at 989mb for Lafayette on the 12z Euro. If the storm stays in it's current state we probably wouldn't get much rain but should it have a central core by then I think we could definitely see some 50-60mph winds in squalls.

[ColdFusion]

Its cool watching the visible loop right now http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html

In the first half of the loop, like 10 frames or so, the clouds over the FL panhandle just sort of drift north, then in the last 5-10 frames the twist starts really fast and becomes very evident. Just a nice illustration of how quickly these can spin up. Note, this message will not be valid for long as the loop updates

[underthwx]

whats the current motion?

[KWT]

Storm looks very wet looking at the 12z ECM at the moment. A stronger run from the ECM as well due to it getting more time over water.

[Hylian Auree]

This looks a lot like a monsoon depression, much like Nicole 2010.
And like Nicole, it will probably be a brutal rainmaker. Be prepared, Gulf Coast peeps

[HenkL]

next missions:

FLIGHT THREE - NOAA 42 (canceled?)
A. 03/00Z
B. NOAA2 05HHA CYCLONE
C. 02/20Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT


FLIGHT FOUR - TEAL 76
A. 03/00Z,06Z
B. AFXXX 06HHA CYCLONE
C. 02/23Z
D. 28.5N 92.0W
E. 02/2320Z TO 03/06Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Interesting run there. Looks to have the potential to possibly reach hurricane strength while barely moving. Will have to see if tonights runs keep this meandering off the coast or have it going inland by sunday.

[Portastorm]

Understanding that sometimes visible satellite looks can be deceiving, it does seem like Lee may be a bit west of forecasted points. If you look at this image and make sure you click on the tropical points window, see what you think:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html

[ROCK]

move it along already and get out Lee....you poor excuse for a TC. Let get a real player in here....

[rtd2]

:uarrow: whats the current motion?

nw at a crawl...if not stationary....this system starting to remind me of Tropical storm Allison...Rain...rain....rain...rain

[DJJordan]

Problem is Lee is hardly moving so it's hard to tell how it lines up with these Tropical Points ..... Gonna be a long frustrating weekend

[ColdFusion]

Understanding that sometimes visible satellite looks can be deceiving, it does seem like Lee may be a bit west of forecasted points. If you look at this image and make sure you click on the tropical points window, see what you think:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html

I would agree with you, not clearly defined, but perhaps working its way to becoming so. Also noticed by turning on the 'Gst' option that the 40mph+ gusts are slowly creeping closer to the LA coastline.

[Portastorm]

Problem is Lee is hardly moving so it's hard to tell how it lines up with these Tropical Points ..... Gonna be a long frustrating weekend

I understand that and agree that it is hardly moving. But I started the loop by looking closely at the initializing point, assuming it is accurate, and tried to track the center as the loop went along. Like I said, I could very easily be wrong or confused. That was just my impression.

[Epsilon_Fan]

Lee has "yin yang" morphology

[DJJordan]

Problem is Lee is hardly moving so it's hard to tell how it lines up with these Tropical Points ..... Gonna be a long frustrating weekend

I understand that and agree that it is hardly moving. But I started the loop by looking closely at the initializing point, assuming it is accurate, and tried to track the center as the loop went along. Like I said, I could very easily be wrong or confused. That was just my impression.

It does appear to be slightly west of the Tropical Points ..... maybe it's a trend LOL

[Houstonia]

Highs in the LOW 70s? WHAT!?

Baton Rouge shows nothing like that so maybe it is a glitch?

And that is why I am skeptical of this front. Highs in the low 70s in early September....

Be grateful for it. If you have a power outage, a cold front is exactly what you would want, as opposed to 90+ and humidity. We had a cold front come through Houston directly after Ike hit.

[djmikey]

Highs in the LOW 70s? WHAT!?

Baton Rouge shows nothing like that so maybe it is a glitch?

And that is why I am skeptical of this front. Highs in the low 70s in early September....

NWS for Beaumont has Mondays low of 54 and Tuesday's high of 77!! Wow! Is this front really going to be that strong?

[BigB0882]

That front must stall somewhere between Laf and BTR because we have highs in the upper 80s being forecast. lol

[Portastorm]

Bitter much?!

[petit_bois]

move it along already and get out Lee....you poor excuse for a TC. Let get a real player in here....

possible 15 to 20 inches of rain over here... Looks like we'll be dealing with it for 4-5 days or more.