ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[Stephanie]

She has nice outflow. Almost looks like a full blown hurricane now.

[CrazyC83]

SFMR of 66 kt in moderate rain. FL winds peak at 67 kt (54 kt at surface). I would put the intensity at 60 kt based on the SFMR readings in lighter rain.

[gatorcane]

Not much hype here at all from the news media here in Palm Beach. 10 o'clock news spent maybe 2 or 3 minutes on it and that is it.

They spent so much more time when Emily was threatening......

[SouthDadeFish]

SFMR of 66 kt in moderate rain. FL winds peak at 67 kt (54 kt at surface). I would put the intensity at 60 kt based on the SFMR readings in lighter rain.

I completely agree with the 60 knot estimate. Very close to hurricane status. That northern band is very strong.

[Dave]

[CrazyC83]

SFMR of 66 kt in moderate rain. FL winds peak at 67 kt (54 kt at surface). I would put the intensity at 60 kt based on the SFMR readings in lighter rain.

I completely agree with the 60 knot estimate. Very close to hurricane status. That northern band is very strong.

Yeah the 66 kt could make a case for Hurricane Irene, but not ready to go that far yet - pressure hasn't gone down much and rain may have contaminated that estimate.

[tailgater]

looking like a due west movement lately.

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 220209
AF302 0309A IRENE HDOB 25 20110822
015900 1752N 06519W 8435 01443 9937 +200 +188 245001 006 022 001 00
015930 1751N 06520W 8428 01453 9935 +211 +176 277008 010 018 001 03
020000 1750N 06521W 8429 01451 9934 +213 +173 312012 012 018 001 00
020030 1750N 06521W 8429 01451 9943 +202 +180 314013 014 025 001 00
020100 1747N 06523W 8434 01452 9953 +189 +185 314016 018 027 001 00
020130 1746N 06524W 8430 01459 9962 +182 //// 322022 022 026 000 01
020200 1745N 06526W 8434 01461 9971 +178 //// 322026 027 029 001 01
020230 1744N 06527W 8434 01465 9978 +175 //// 328032 034 033 000 01
020300 1743N 06528W 8433 01472 9984 +176 //// 331037 037 037 001 01
020330 1741N 06529W 8436 01476 9991 +178 +170 331042 043 044 002 00
020400 1740N 06531W 8433 01486 9996 +188 +151 331048 049 044 001 00
020430 1739N 06532W 8429 01497 0009 +179 +156 334050 050 043 000 00
020500 1738N 06533W 8435 01498 0018 +176 +150 334049 050 043 000 00
020530 1736N 06535W 8432 01509 0029 +170 +158 332047 047 039 001 00
020600 1735N 06536W 8433 01513 0039 +163 +162 336046 046 037 003 00
020630 1734N 06537W 8436 01514 0044 +162 +161 337044 045 038 002 00
020700 1733N 06538W 8434 01522 0049 +165 +162 330039 039 035 003 00
020730 1732N 06540W 8434 01524 0053 +164 +162 327038 039 035 001 00
020800 1730N 06541W 8432 01530 0057 +163 //// 331038 039 033 002 01
020830 1729N 06542W 8437 01528 0059 +165 +162 332037 037 033 001 00
$$
;

Pressure 993mb.

[GTStorm]

Not much hype here at all from the news media here in Palm Beach. 10 o'clock news spent maybe 2 or 3 minutes on it and that is it.

They spent so much more time when Emily was threatening......

wow...while I understand the "let's not panic yet" approach, seems like when the NHC has a potential hurricane forecasted to be right on your doorstep in 2 1/2 days, your local news folks would be a little more attentive.

[AtlanticWind]

Bryan Norcross says the slower Irene moves the less of a northward pull the troughs will have on her.

Norcross is a five star met

Yeah, I didnt know he is with weather channel now ,just caught him on there will start watching TWC now.

[Hurricaneman]

993.4 with 12kt winds means probably 992 or 991 pressure

[SouthDadeFish]

Not sure if this has been posted yet or not:

21/2345 UTC 17.8N 64.8W T3.5/3.5 IRENE -- Atlantic

Also raw ADT estimates from CIMSS say T 4.0 right now

[summersquall]

Looks like the circulation center is really tightening. It may take a long diagonal across PR if motion is cosistent at 285 degrees.
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

[Mouton]

I would pay attention to the apparent trend of this storm slowing down...I don't think that was expected. Sometimes that means a change in overall direction is coming but the positions of the HPs to the east and north don't seem to be the reason. Can anyone account for this slowdown?

[AdamFirst]

401
URNT12 KNHC 220213
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092011
A. 22/01:59:00Z
B. 17 deg 53 min N
065 deg 19 min W
C. 850 mb 1376 m
D. 66 kt
E. 024 deg 13 nm
F. 105 deg 67 kt
G. 024 deg 17 nm
H. 993 mb
I. 14 C / 1533 m
J. 22 C / 1522 m
K. 17 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF302 0309A IRENE OB 07
MAX FL WIND 67 KT NE QUAD 01:53:40Z

Hurricane Irene?

[SouthDadeFish]

According to recon Irene has gone due west over the last two hours...

[Dave]

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT12 KNHC 220213
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092011
A. 22/01:59:00Z
B. 17 deg 53 min N
065 deg 19 min W
C. 850 mb 1376 m
D. 66 kt
E. 024 deg 13 nm
F. 105 deg 67 kt
G. 024 deg 17 nm
H. 993 mb
I. 14 C / 1533 m
J. 22 C / 1522 m
K. 17 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF302 0309A IRENE OB 07
MAX FL WIND 67 KT NE QUAD 01:53:40Z
;

[gatorcane]

Not much hype here at all from the news media here in Palm Beach. 10 o'clock news spent maybe 2 or 3 minutes on it and that is it.

They spent so much more time when Emily was threatening......

wow...while I understand the "let's not panic yet" approach, seems like when the NHC has a potential hurricane forecasted to be right on your doorstep in 2 1/2 days, your local news folks would be a little more attentive.

I think the Emily bust a few weeks ago blew the wind out of their sails.

[BigB0882]

Don't some storms slow down before beginning a turn to the North? Maybe that is about to happen. If not that then I would also be curious why this is slowing down. Was that really not account for in the models?