ATL: IRENE - Models

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SeminoleWind
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#3141 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:15 am

72 hours further west

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP072.gif
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#3142 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:18 am

96 hrs

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP096.gif
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#3143 Postby maxintensity » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:20 am

0z euro having none of it. Snubs any thoughts of a west trend
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#3144 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:22 am

The Euro is an outlier as of right now, but dont count it out, its one of the most accurate models
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#3145 Postby storm4u » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:22 am

0z euro stays the same so far
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#3146 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:23 am

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP120.gif

120
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#3147 Postby Old-TimeCane » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:24 am

Not liking the looks of that run! :eek:
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#3148 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:24 am

euro seems to speed it up around florida
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#3149 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:25 am

the difference between the Euro and the GFS is the GFS lifts out the weakness for a time while the Euro doesnt
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#3150 Postby TwisterFanatic » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:25 am

We'll just see what happens. You would figure we would be getting to a point where the models start latching on to a solution, and we all thought that was happening today, but no so fast. We will see what tomorrow brings, I suppose.
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#3151 Postby storm4u » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:25 am

euro is actually a tad east south carolina north carolina threat on the euro
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#3152 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:26 am

22/0545 UTC 18.1N 65.8W T3.5/3.5 IRENE -- Atlantic
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#3153 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:27 am

ridge is actually there at 96 and gone at 120???
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Re:

#3154 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:28 am

SeminoleWind wrote:ridge is actually there at 96 and gone at 120???


I think for once its the Euro breaking the ridge down too fast and not the GFS, thats something different
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Re:

#3155 Postby TwisterFanatic » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:29 am

SeminoleWind wrote:ridge is actually there at 96 and gone at 120???


Yep, seems a little overdone, imo.
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Re: Re:

#3156 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:30 am

Hurricaneman wrote:
SeminoleWind wrote:ridge is actually there at 96 and gone at 120???


I think for once its the Euro breaking the ridge down too fast and not the GFS, thats something different


absolutely hate to question the euro but you may be on to something here.
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#3157 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:32 am

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP144.gif

144hr obx threat there seems a little nne movement thats a switch
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#3158 Postby maxintensity » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:35 am

Euro bringing US miss into play down the line and also showing a category 5 hurricane at hour 144. This in comparison to NHC showing a cat 1 into FL. Either NHC or Euro will bust big time.

EDIT: Euro lighting up the entire eastern seaboard on a track that looks like it came from "it could happen tomorrow" The EURO track would cause a shutdown of millions and millions along the US east coast. A historic track and at cat 4/cat 5 strength. Good Grief. :eek:
Last edited by maxintensity on Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:38 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#3159 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:35 am

the fact that the Euro has a 926 pressure up there is odd too
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#3160 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 22, 2011 1:37 am

Hurricaneman wrote:the fact that the Euro has a 926 pressure up there is odd too


i am thinking this is a flub run by the euro
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