ATL: ARLENE - Remnants

[tailgater]

Can someone tell me what that is, seen coming from the north of Arlene, it looks an outflow from the T-storms over the southern plains last nite or some sort of dry air being forced southward.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-rb.html

[Dave]

Looks like possible instrument problems again...nothing in since #20.

[Dave]

[cycloneye]

12z Best Track

AL, 01, 2011062912, , BEST, 0, 213N, 953W, 40, 1000, TS

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 011.invest

[Dave]

Missing #21...

000
URNT15 KNHC 291245
AF308 0201A ARLENE HDOB 22 20110629
123600 2113N 09539W 9600 00369 0012 +234 +228 343015 015 003 002 03
123630 2112N 09540W 9599 00370 0012 +234 +227 346014 015 006 000 00
123700 2110N 09541W 9597 00372 0013 +231 +229 339015 015 003 003 03
123730 2109N 09542W 9600 00371 0013 +234 +225 339015 016 004 003 00
123800 2107N 09542W 9600 00370 0014 +233 +228 333015 015 006 001 03
123830 2106N 09542W 9600 00372 0015 +233 +224 329014 014 005 000 03
123900 2104N 09542W 9599 00372 0015 +232 +228 325015 016 007 001 00
123930 2102N 09542W 9601 00371 0016 +230 +230 321016 016 006 002 00
124000 2101N 09543W 9604 00368 0017 +228 +225 307018 020 003 005 03
124030 2059N 09544W 9599 00375 0017 +231 +226 312016 016 010 002 03
124100 2058N 09545W 9603 00372 0018 +232 +227 312016 017 011 002 00
124130 2057N 09546W 9598 00376 0019 +235 +224 315016 016 012 002 00
124200 2056N 09547W 9600 00377 0020 +234 +222 311017 017 014 000 00
124230 2055N 09548W 9596 00379 0020 +228 +225 312018 020 012 001 00
124300 2054N 09550W 9593 00386 0025 +228 +224 320019 021 013 000 00
124330 2052N 09551W 9687 00300 0025 +235 +225 318019 020 015 001 00
124400 2051N 09552W 9702 00286 0024 +235 +225 314020 021 012 002 00
124430 2050N 09553W 9702 00287 0024 +236 +227 310021 022 017 001 00
124500 2049N 09555W 9696 00294 0027 +236 +227 307021 022 017 002 00
124530 2048N 09556W 9697 00294 0028 +235 +224 304023 024 021 001 00
$$
;

Go ahead NDC...

[x-y-no]

Here's #21, for the record:

Code: Select all

050
URNT15 KNHC 291235
AF308 0201A ARLENE             HDOB 21 20110629
122600 2117N 09509W 9599 00369 0012 +232 +205 184008 008 /// /// 03
122630 2117N 09511W 9600 00368 0011 +232 +210 191008 008 011 004 03
122700 2117N 09512W 9598 00368 0010 +232 +211 196008 008 010 002 00
122730 2117N 09514W 9602 00364 0008 +233 +209 197008 009 009 001 03
122800 2118N 09516W 9598 00366 0007 +234 +216 200007 007 007 001 00
122830 2118N 09517W 9600 00365 0007 +235 +215 197006 007 001 002 03
122900 2119N 09519W 9598 00365 0006 +234 +215 200005 006 004 000 03
122930 2119N 09521W 9603 00360 0005 +235 +226 272001 003 000 003 03
123000 2120N 09522W 9600 00363 0005 +235 +223 023004 005 000 002 03
123030 2120N 09524W 9599 00364 0005 +235 +222 023007 007 000 000 03
123100 2120N 09525W 9598 00364 0005 +235 +228 019009 011 004 000 03
123130 2121N 09527W 9601 00362 0006 +235 +227 022012 012 004 001 03
123200 2121N 09529W 9597 00367 0007 +234 +230 031013 014 005 001 00
123230 2121N 09530W 9604 00361 0008 +231 +226 034013 014 /// /// 03
123300 2120N 09532W 9603 00362 0008 +230 +226 016012 013 003 002 00
123330 2119N 09533W 9598 00367 0009 +230 +228 005013 014 006 001 00
123400 2118N 09534W 9597 00368 0008 +231 +227 354014 014 006 000 00
123430 2117N 09535W 9600 00367 0009 +234 +230 348015 016 007 001 00
123500 2115N 09537W 9600 00369 0010 +235 +229 344016 016 008 000 03
123530 2114N 09538W 9599 00370 0011 +232 +230 345015 015 004 002 03
$$
;


[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 291302
AF308 0201A ARLENE HDOB 23 20110629
124600 2046N 09557W 9698 00294 0029 +233 +224 299026 028 027 001 00
124630 2045N 09559W 9707 00286 0029 +234 +227 292025 025 029 001 03
124700 2044N 09600W 9702 00291 0030 +233 +226 292026 027 029 000 03
124730 2043N 09601W 9699 00296 0031 +233 +225 291028 029 028 003 00
124800 2042N 09602W 9701 00295 0033 +229 +224 290032 033 029 001 00
124830 2041N 09603W 9698 00298 0034 +229 +227 289034 034 032 002 03
124900 2039N 09605W 9701 00296 0036 +227 +223 286036 038 032 002 00
124930 2038N 09606W 9699 00300 0036 +216 //// 283040 043 037 006 01
125000 2037N 09607W 9698 00300 //// +193 //// 279038 040 041 009 01
125030 2036N 09608W 9703 00295 0040 +196 //// 277039 040 040 019 01
125100 2035N 09609W 9705 00292 0040 +188 //// 281041 042 053 024 05
125130 2034N 09610W 9699 00302 0044 +187 //// 285043 044 047 022 05
125200 2033N 09611W 9698 00305 0045 +197 //// 286043 044 041 008 01
125230 2032N 09612W 9701 00301 0044 +207 +196 285042 044 038 008 03
125300 2031N 09614W 9699 00304 0047 +206 +194 285041 042 039 008 00
125330 2030N 09615W 9699 00309 0047 +214 +195 285039 040 036 006 03
125400 2029N 09616W 9705 00302 0047 +218 +193 282040 040 036 004 00
125430 2027N 09617W 9700 00305 0048 +220 +197 281039 041 033 003 03
125500 2027N 09617W 9700 00305 0049 +220 +196 284039 040 035 003 00
125530 2025N 09619W 9697 00314 0050 +219 +201 283038 039 033 003 00
$$
;

[Dave]

[Dave]

000
URNT12 KNHC 291258
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL012011
A. 29/12:30:00Z
B. 21 deg 19 min N
095 deg 22 min W
C. NA
D. 35 kt
E. 041 deg 90 nm
F. 101 deg 46 kt
G. 043 deg 138 nm
H. EXTRAP 1000 mb
I. 22 C / 350 m
J. 24 C / 450 m
K. 23 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 01
O. 0.02 / 12 nm
P. AF308 0201A ARLENE OB 06
MAX FL WIND 46 KT NE QUAD 11:42:30Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM BELOW 1500 FT
L/V DIAMETER OF CENTER 24NM
;

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 291305
AF308 0201A ARLENE HDOB 24 20110629
125600 2024N 09620W 9703 00307 0050 +220 +200 282038 040 034 004 00
125630 2023N 09622W 9698 00312 0051 +219 +209 282039 040 033 003 00
125700 2022N 09623W 9699 00309 0052 +215 +210 281039 040 031 004 00
125730 2021N 09624W 9700 00312 0052 +216 +212 283038 040 033 002 00
125800 2020N 09625W 9698 00313 0054 +215 +208 283038 039 032 002 03
125830 2019N 09626W 9697 00315 0054 +216 +208 285038 039 032 002 00
125900 2018N 09627W 9703 00312 0056 +215 +206 285038 039 029 003 03
125930 2016N 09628W 9698 00316 0056 +212 +209 282040 042 /// /// 03
130000 2014N 09627W 9701 00315 0057 +216 +212 282042 043 029 003 00
130030 2013N 09625W 9694 00321 0057 +216 +211 282043 044 033 002 00
130100 2011N 09624W 9694 00321 0056 +216 +208 281044 047 034 003 03
130130 2010N 09623W 9704 00310 0057 +216 +208 280043 044 033 003 00
130200 2008N 09622W 9701 00314 0057 +219 +205 279043 044 030 003 00
130230 2007N 09620W 9700 00317 0057 +221 +208 281043 044 030 002 00
130300 2005N 09619W 9703 00314 0058 +221 +205 277042 044 030 002 03
130330 2004N 09618W 9695 00320 0057 +223 +208 274043 044 032 001 03
130400 2003N 09616W 9702 00313 0057 +225 +213 275044 045 033 001 00
130430 2002N 09614W 9699 00318 0057 +225 +208 273041 042 032 001 03
130500 2001N 09611W 9700 00315 0057 +225 +215 271040 041 032 001 03
130530 2002N 09609W 9699 00317 0057 +226 +220 271040 040 034 003 03
$$

[Dave]

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 29th day of the month at 12:58Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308)
Storm Number & Year: 01L in 2011
Storm Name: Arlene (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 2
Observation Number: 06
A. Time of Center Fix: 29th day of the month at 12:30:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 21°19'N 95°22'W (21.3167N 95.3667W)
B. Center Fix Location: 171 miles (276 km) to the ESE (111°) from Tampico, Tamaulipas, México.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 35kts (~ 40.3mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 90 nautical miles (104 statute miles) to the NE (41°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 101° at 46kts (From between the E and ESE at ~ 52.9mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 138 nautical miles (159 statute miles) to the NE (43°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1000mb (29.53 inHg) - Extrapolated
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 22°C (72°F) at a pressure alt. of 350m (1,148ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 24°C (75°F) at a pressure alt. of 450m (1,476ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 23°C (73°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Levels (sfc and flt lvl centers are within 5nm of each other): Surface and 1,500 feet
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 12 nautical miles
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 46kts (~ 52.9mph) in the northeast quadrant at 11:42:30Z
Sea Level Pressure Extrapolation From: Below 1,500 feet
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
L/V DIAMETER OF CENTER 24NM

[Dave]

[dwsqos2]

130100 2011N 09624W 9694 00321 0056 +216 +208 281044 047 034 003 03

321 meter westerly (282 degrees) winds of 47 knots; honestly it's a bit healthier than I expected.

[Dave]

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 291315
AF308 0201A ARLENE HDOB 25 20110629
130600 2002N 09607W 9699 00316 0056 +225 +219 271038 039 035 000 00
130630 2002N 09605W 9698 00314 0055 +225 +220 272040 041 034 001 03
130700 2002N 09603W 9700 00315 0055 +225 +222 271041 042 033 002 03
130730 2002N 09601W 9696 00317 0054 +226 +222 271041 042 034 002 03
130800 2002N 09558W 9703 00312 0054 +225 +217 271041 042 035 002 03
130830 2002N 09556W 9698 00314 0053 +225 +219 272041 042 034 002 00
130900 2002N 09554W 9700 00312 0053 +225 +223 270040 041 037 001 03
130930 2002N 09552W 9700 00311 0052 +225 +224 270041 041 036 002 03
131000 2002N 09550W 9698 00313 0051 +226 +223 272039 040 036 001 00
131030 2002N 09547W 9701 00310 0051 +225 +221 271039 041 035 002 03
131100 2002N 09545W 9704 00308 0051 +227 +217 269039 040 034 002 03
131130 2002N 09543W 9700 00312 0051 +228 +224 272040 041 035 002 00
131200 2002N 09541W 9701 00309 0050 +228 +219 270040 040 037 000 03
131230 2002N 09539W 9704 00306 0049 +229 +225 270040 040 037 001 03
131300 2002N 09537W 9699 00310 0048 +229 +220 269040 041 035 001 03
131330 2002N 09534W 9703 00306 0049 +228 +222 270040 040 034 003 00
131400 2002N 09532W 9699 00313 0050 +229 +223 269039 040 034 002 00
131430 2002N 09530W 9699 00313 0051 +229 +223 269037 038 034 002 00
131500 2002N 09528W 9700 00311 0051 +230 +221 269039 040 033 002 03
131530 2002N 09526W 9703 00309 0052 +229 +224 269038 039 032 002 00
$$
;

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 291325
AF308 0201A ARLENE HDOB 26 20110629
131600 2002N 09523W 9695 00316 0050 +230 +222 265038 039 034 002 03
131630 2002N 09521W 9702 00309 0050 +230 +225 263038 039 033 002 03
131700 2002N 09519W 9695 00317 0050 +230 +223 263038 040 032 001 03
131730 2002N 09517W 9696 00315 0051 +230 +224 263037 037 032 003 00
131800 2003N 09515W 9697 00313 0050 +230 +225 262038 039 033 001 00
131830 2003N 09513W 9697 00313 0051 +230 +223 261037 038 033 003 03
131900 2003N 09511W 9700 00312 0050 +230 +221 261038 039 033 001 03
131930 2003N 09508W 9702 00310 0049 +231 +225 259036 037 032 002 03
132000 2003N 09506W 9700 00310 0049 +230 +229 259037 037 031 003 00
132030 2003N 09504W 9707 00303 0048 +233 +223 260038 039 034 001 03
132100 2003N 09502W 9699 00311 0048 +234 +224 262037 037 031 004 03
132130 2003N 09500W 9698 00311 0049 +232 +224 262035 036 032 000 03
132200 2003N 09458W 9703 00306 0049 +233 +225 262034 035 030 002 00
132230 2003N 09455W 9696 00315 0049 +232 +225 262033 035 027 001 00
132300 2003N 09453W 9698 00311 0048 +234 +222 263035 036 031 002 00
132330 2003N 09451W 9700 00309 0048 +234 +223 261034 035 030 002 03
132400 2003N 09449W 9700 00309 0049 +235 +225 259035 035 030 001 00
132430 2003N 09447W 9701 00309 0048 +235 +227 262034 035 028 003 00
132500 2003N 09445W 9704 00306 0049 +235 +225 261033 033 027 003 00
132530 2003N 09443W 9694 00316 0049 +232 +227 258034 035 028 004 00
$$
;

[Dave]

[stormreader]

It really wasn't much last night. But the NHC could see that upper level conditions were improving and and pressure was already down into the tropical storm range so it was upgraded last night, even though I have my doubts about its status at that time. This morning it does in fact look like a legit tropical storm.

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 291335
AF308 0201A ARLENE HDOB 27 20110629
132600 2003N 09441W 9700 00311 0050 +233 +224 253033 033 030 002 00
132630 2003N 09438W 9692 00316 0052 +211 //// 256034 035 039 011 05
132700 2003N 09436W 9703 00309 0052 +215 //// 253034 034 035 011 01
132730 2003N 09434W 9694 00317 0053 +220 +215 251031 033 030 007 00
132800 2003N 09432W 9697 00314 0053 +223 +212 253030 031 028 013 00
132830 2003N 09430W 9686 00328 0055 +227 +213 235031 033 031 010 00
132900 2003N 09428W 9704 00307 0052 +220 +213 222036 039 035 006 00
132930 2003N 09426W 9699 00310 0051 +219 +213 220039 043 036 006 00
133000 2003N 09424W 9712 00299 0053 +210 +207 219035 037 035 020 00
133030 2003N 09422W 9700 00306 0049 +213 +206 216036 039 042 036 03
133100 2003N 09420W 9709 00302 0052 +194 //// 219036 038 058 040 05
133130 2003N 09418W 9705 00304 0051 +220 +198 216036 038 032 010 00
133200 2003N 09417W 9700 00308 0050 +222 +201 214035 038 029 010 03
133230 2003N 09415W 9702 00309 0054 +204 +199 217031 034 037 014 03
133300 2003N 09413W 9702 00310 0054 +218 +199 205029 031 027 008 00
133330 2003N 09411W 9698 00314 0054 +219 +200 203028 029 035 009 00
133400 2003N 09410W 9708 00306 0056 +197 //// 198032 035 043 014 05
133430 2005N 09409W 9695 00316 0056 +201 +200 195032 034 /// /// 03
133500 2006N 09410W 9699 00312 0053 +215 +203 201032 033 032 009 03
133530 2007N 09411W 9702 00311 0052 +219 +200 206032 033 033 010 00
$$
;

[HURAKAN]

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