ATL: IRENE - Models

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Mouton
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#4181 Postby Mouton » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:05 pm

Well, if it is going to go, it is time for it to start going right now!
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#4182 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:06 pm

GFS does have a history of breaking down ridges with approaching troughs too quickly.
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#4183 Postby SouthDadeFish » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:06 pm

To be honest if the 00Z GFS verifies S FL would see very little effects from Irene. Lets see what she does to the Carolinas.
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#4184 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:06 pm

72 hrs.... GFS says cya FL

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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4185 Postby calmbeforestorm1 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:07 pm

This run was actually slightly faster but just about the same distance from the florida coast as the 18z run
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4186 Postby wjs3 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:07 pm

Wow. Is the trough going to get it in this run and take it out?
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#4187 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:08 pm

+78

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#4188 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:08 pm

This run is a little bit more east of FL. Lets see if that applies to the GFDL, HWRF, and most importantly of all, King EURO.
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#4189 Postby Jevo » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:08 pm

Hahaha wouldnt an EGOM 0z EURO just be the Facepalm heard around the world
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4190 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:09 pm

We're starting to get consistancy with the GFS, I would be highly vigilant from Charleston to Chatham and anywhere in between
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#4191 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:09 pm

+84... Image

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#4192 Postby HurricaneWarning92 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:09 pm

its kinda strange though.. a trough that strong in August? maybe September but August? a slightly weaker trough and stronger ridge can make a difference on track, and its not THAT far away from FL.
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#4193 Postby Bruton » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:09 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:To be honest if the 00Z GFS verifies S FL would see very little effects from Irene. Lets see what she does to the Carolinas.


That would piss me off. All this and to get no effect?! No, I want at least some nice winds and rain in Miami.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4194 Postby wjs3 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:10 pm

Yeah, a trough that strong in August. Not climatological, but possible. Think Charley.
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#4195 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:10 pm

Jevo wrote:Hahaha wouldnt an EGOM 0z EURO just be the Facepalm heard around the world


HA too funny but I totally agree. It's about time we start getting a good consensus whatever track that may be. Trough does look pretty potent this run we'll see.
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#4196 Postby Mouton » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:10 pm

That run shows an extremely deep storm...perhaps a cat 4 in here.
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Re:

#4197 Postby SFLcane » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:11 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:To be honest if the 00Z GFS verifies S FL would see very little effects from Irene. Lets see what she does to the Carolinas.


Regardless on the current nhc track sfl isn't going to see much then breezy rainy weather. TS force winds should stay offshore over the coastal waters.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4198 Postby bamajammer4eva » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:11 pm

Exact same track/distance from Florida as 18z but about 6 hrs faster.
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Re: Re:

#4199 Postby fci » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:11 pm

Bruton wrote:
SouthDadeFish wrote:To be honest if the 00Z GFS verifies S FL would see very little effects from Irene. Lets see what she does to the Carolinas.


That would piss me off. All this and to get no effect?! No, I want at least some nice winds and rain in Miami.


You probably should put some LOL's or ROTFLMAO's or :D or :lol: in a post like this.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4200 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:11 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:We're starting to get consistancy with the GFS, I would be highly vigilant from Charleston to Chatham and anywhere in between


Indeed, Irene could be the next great one for the East Coast.

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