ATL: EMILY - Remnants

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#4781 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:38 pm

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Re: Re:

#4782 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:38 pm

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:Finally the radar is back !!!moving basically west 275 to 280 and seems to be developing a small inner core..



Dosethis mean it is well on its way of becoming a Hurricane aric or no?


just means it could be better organized..
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4783 Postby Frank2 » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:39 pm

SJU radar is down at the moment - here's a partial loop:

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4784 Postby GCANE » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:39 pm

That OT this morning was a high rain-rate cu-nim; could even have been a hot-tower.

Emily has responded very well and microwave is showing that a strong core cell has formed as a result.

Too bad I can't get an up-to-date AMSU sounding to see what the core temp looks like.


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#4785 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:40 pm

904
URNT15 KNHC 021736
AF309 0605A EMILY HDOB 07 20110802
172600 1625N 06351W 9771 00280 0087 +241 +200 106034 036 035 000 03
172630 1624N 06352W 9769 00280 0086 +242 +200 110034 035 035 000 03
172700 1623N 06353W 9770 00279 0085 +241 +200 110034 036 036 000 03
172730 1622N 06354W 9770 00279 0085 +241 +200 110034 036 035 001 03
172800 1621N 06356W 9770 00278 0085 +240 +201 112034 037 036 000 03
172830 1619N 06357W 9771 00278 0084 +240 +201 112035 035 036 000 03
172900 1618N 06358W 9768 00279 0084 +240 +201 114035 036 037 000 03
172930 1617N 06359W 9768 00277 0084 +240 +200 113036 037 037 000 03
173000 1616N 06401W 9771 00275 0083 +240 +200 111035 037 037 001 03
173030 1615N 06402W 9769 00276 0083 +238 +199 112036 037 037 001 03
173100 1614N 06403W 9773 00274 0082 +236 +199 112038 039 039 000 00
173130 1612N 06404W 9769 00275 0081 +235 +198 109040 042 041 000 03
173200 1611N 06405W 9774 00269 0080 +235 +198 107040 041 039 002 03
173230 1610N 06407W 9771 00272 0080 +235 +197 106041 042 041 000 03
173300 1609N 06408W 9766 00276 0080 +232 +196 106041 042 041 002 00
173330 1608N 06409W 9772 00270 0079 +233 +195 110041 042 040 001 03
173400 1607N 06410W 9764 00277 0079 +223 +193 108043 045 042 002 03
173430 1605N 06412W 9775 00265 0078 +217 +189 111045 047 045 005 00
173500 1604N 06413W 9772 00268 0079 +204 +184 114048 051 049 011 03
173530 1603N 06414W 9765 00272 0077 +205 +177 114047 051 047 007 00
$$
;

48 knots FL
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#4786 Postby Evil Jeremy » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:41 pm

GFDL and HWRF should be out within the next 15-20 minutes, and the Euro will be starting soon. Lets see how they handle Emily.
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4787 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:41 pm

Frank2 wrote:SJU radar is down at the moment - here's a partial loop:

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes


I got a couple images on GR. still coming in just spaced out.

121 image
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4788 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:41 pm

Looks like the winds have definitely increased looking at recon.
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#4789 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:42 pm

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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4790 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:42 pm

051 047

51kts at flight level and 47kts at SMFR. Is good data.
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4791 Postby chris_fit » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:43 pm

Appears to be strengthening some... 47 SFMR - 51 flt lvl
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4792 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:44 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:Looks like the winds have definitely increased looking at recon.



yeah with the the last image at 121 from radar I could see what appeared to be a little inner core starting..
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4793 Postby AdamFirst » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:44 pm

I am woman, hear me roar!

I believe Emily has finally arrived....as a legit storm anyway.
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#4794 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:45 pm

pressure already below last fix and they are not to center yet..
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4795 Postby AHS2011 » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:45 pm

Hurricane by day's end?
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Models

#4796 Postby underthwx » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:45 pm

is emily still stationary?
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4797 Postby TheBurn » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:46 pm

17:15 Funktop (Developed by Ted Funk for assistance with precipitation analysis)

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Re: ATL: EMILY - Models

#4798 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:46 pm

underthwx wrote:is emily still stationary?


We'll find out soon enough.
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#4799 Postby AdamFirst » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:46 pm

Think NHC stays with 40 MPH at 2 PM?
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#4800 Postby Evil Jeremy » Tue Aug 02, 2011 12:47 pm

Euro is running.
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