ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[Aric Dunn]

Estimated area.

[northjaxpro]

Estimated area.

http://img818.imageshack.us/img818/2761 ... yyyyyy.jpg

Aric, that is about right.

[TBCaneFreak]

I should have used a different metaphor uh?... Yeah, It is very tough out here for a lot of folks. The economy is causing big time problems for many people.

I just hope for better economic times soon, although a natural disaster like this potential one coming up with 97L would not make it any better for sure.

O.K. Back on topic........[/quote]
It could be exactly what we need, it would spark some building...Just a thought...now back to our programming

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

12Z Best Track

AL, 97, 2011082012, , BEST, 0, 143N, 549W, 30, 1007, DB,

[wxman57]

Estimated area.

http://img818.imageshack.us/img818/2761 ... yyyyyy.jpg

Center is right at 55W now, eastern side of your circle on that image. By the way, I just ran the AODT program on my workstation for 14.3N/55W and got T3.2.

[GCANE]

TCFA posted

I fel they find a TS when they are there with RECON? your thoughts?

Looks like they will find very strong winds on the north of the LLC, but may be hard to find west winds.

http://64.19.142.11/rammb.cira.colostat ... 0_SWHR.GIF

[Aric Dunn]

Estimated area.

http://img818.imageshack.us/img818/2761 ... yyyyyy.jpg

Center is right at 55W now, eastern side of your circle on that image. By the way, I just ran the AODT program on my workstation for 14.3N/55W and got T3.2.

that is a general area. means anywhere within the the circle could be the developing LLC so 55W lies within that circle.

[northjaxpro]

Allow me ya'll to make off-topic comments for a moment

I was just in New Orleans last month, and I have to disagree with you Season Canceled in one regard. There are still areas in the ninth ward and other surrounding areas in the city that have not been rebuilt, even six years after Katrina. I took a tour of those areas while there and contrary to what you think, there have actually been people leaving the city becuase actual jobs have been lost due to the weak economy. There have been some homes rebuilt in those areas, but a lot more needs to be done in those areas of New Orleans I can assure you.

Now, no one wants a natural disaster to strike anywhere, that goes without saying. Yes, in the wake of a disaster like a hurricane, initiallly jobs would be spurred for clean-up and construction for sure. But, unless the overall economic indicators don't improve soon, such a boom you are speaking off Season Canceled would likely be just a short-termed remedy for those who need help in this bad economy,

O.K. This is my final opinion on this

Back on topic.......

[SEASON_CANCELED]

Allow me ya'll to make off-topic comments for a moment

I was just in New Orleans last month, and I have to disagree with you Season Cancelled in one regard. There are still areas in the ninth ward and other surrounding areas in the city that have not been rebuilt, even six years after Katrina. I took a tour of those areas while there and contrary to what you think, there have actually been people leaving the city becuase actual jobs have been lost due to the weak economy. There have been some homes rebuilt in those areas, but a lot more needs to be done in those areas of New Orleans I can assure you.

Now, no one wants a natural disaster to strike anywhere, that goes without saying. Yes, in the wake of a disaster like a hurricane, initiallly jobs would be spurred for clean-up and construction for sure. But, unless the overall economic indicators don't improve soon, such a boom you are speaking off Season Cancelled would likely be just a short-termed remedy for those who need help in this bad economy,

O.K. This is my final opinion on this

Back on topic.......

North I don't disagree. Just was saying. I dont think the Tsunami in Japan made anyones life better. However anybody leaving new orleans for jobs isnt going to find them anywhere else in CONUS. The State of the Economy is completely ruined through and through everywhere. We really just need to hope this goes away.

I was commenting on the short lived boom that occured after Katrina.

I have enough warnings in my box from 2009. So im not deviating anymore.

[CourierPR]

Aric, it appears to me that a LLC may be forming to the NW of the current thinking, more near 56W and 16N. What are your thoughts?

[PauleinHouston]

By paulinhouston at 2011-08-20


By paulinhouston at 2011-08-20


By paulinhouston at 2011-08-20

[SEASON_CANCELED]

looking healthy this morning. Irene?

[Ivanhater]

As I said yesterday that was an impressive MLC yesterday but that was not it. Possible LLC supported by microwave was around 14 north yesterday not up at 15 north where people were looking at yesterday. Today it looks close to 14.5 but still nothing defined. I agree with xyno, gonna take another day or two imo

[Aric Dunn]

Aric, it appears to me that a LLC may be forming to the NW of the current thinking, more near 56W and 16N. What are your thoughts?

It could certainly reform/form further into the deep convection. we will just have to wait for recon at this point. But I do believe that basically with my circle is the best bet for now. 16north from what I can see has easterly flow going through it atm

[Gustywind]

Latest from NRL
20110820.1245.97LINVEST.30kts-1007mb-143N-549W

[psyclone]

well it's certainly generating a good-sized area of vigorous convection. it will be interesting see how that fares as we head toward d-min. last evening it was looking rather skimpy, convectively speaking. this seems to have a rather broad cyclonic envelope. once it gets going it looks like it may be a large cyclone with impacts well removed from the COC.

[gatorcane]

I can't see how this is not already a depression or very close to one. I expect RECON to support at least a depression or tropical storm later today when they get out there as it really looks like it is trying to form a low-level center.

[Kory]

I can't see how this is not already a depression or very close to one. I expect RECON to support at least a depression or tropical storm later today when they get out there.

Is there any evidence of a LLC?

[Aric Dunn]

I can't see how this is not already a depression or very close to one. I expect RECON to support at least a depression or tropical storm later today when they get out there.

Is there any evidence of a LLC?

Some. no evidence of a west wind as of yet but there is low level CU clouds that have a weak easterly drift.

[gatorcane]

That is what I am saying though. By the time RECON gets there, it will have organized more and probably just enough to at least become a depression.