ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[Vortex]

Focal point continues S of Andros...Convection continues to fire on the east side and drawing closer towards the area with greatest rotation....12Z GFS brings a swath of heavy rains across SE florida and local waters especially Saturday night....Something to watch closely.

[Vortex]

22.5/77.4 is where I expect things to get going....

[SFLcane]

12z surface map

[Vortex]

Plenty of South and North winds across central/E Cuba...Will be watching for any west winds later today....Think were about 4-6 hours away from that potential...TBD

[Vortex]

12z surface map

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/GULF_latest.gif

Bingo!

[Stormcenter]

Yawn......sorry that's what I think of the situation right now which to be honest with you is fine with me.

[wxman57]

12z surface map

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/GULF_latest.gif

Bingo!

I'm not sure what "bingo" means. If you mean that the person drawing the map placed an "L" on the map to represent the location of the remnants of Emily, then I'd tell you that meteorologists do that all the time to represent such features to laymen. It does not mean a surface low center has formed, because it hasn't. We use the "L" because it's a convenient way to draw attention to an area we're discussing/watching and because non-meteorologists (with the exception of weather enthusiasts here) won't know the difference, anyway.

[GCANE]

Anybody thinking this may go into the Keys?

[Vortex]

12z surface map

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/GULF_latest.gif

Bingo!

I'm not sure what "bingo" means. If you mean that the person drawing the map placed an "L" on the map to represent the location of the remnants of Emily, then I'd tell you that meteorologists do that all the time to represent such features to laymen. It does not mean a surface low center has formed, because it hasn't. We use the "L" because it's a convenient way to draw attention to an area we're discussing/watching and because non-meteorologists (with the exception of weather enthusiasts here) won't know the difference, anyway.

57,

just where I suspect things get going....

[rockyman]

The TAFB map shows that the low (or whatever it is) will deepen from 1011 to 1008 mb.

[caneman]

WXMN, while I respect your opinion on here, the map and what is taking place would seem to disagree with you. ON visible there appears to be low level or one starting to taking place.

[GCANE]

RUC 12 hrs out over NW Cuba. Look at the boundary layer winds.

[rockyman]

The low-level steering, according to CIMSS, shows why the swirl on the north coast of Cuba might be continuing to move WNW (at least for now):

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/d ... zoom=&time

[Vortex]

RUC 12 hrs out over NW Cuba. Look at the boundary layer winds.

Gcane,

Can you explain the possible implications of the graph...Thx in advance..

[GCANE]

It is showing the development of SW winds on the surface and W winds just above the surface.

[Vortex]

:uarrow:

It is showing the development of SW winds on the surface and W winds just above the surface.

Thx

[AdamFirst]

I dont see any low level circulation...

[crimi481]

Not implying Emily will be very strong system , but very similar weather patterns have developed here, that happened to Andrew (regards to the final track)

The trough lifted north, ridge built in/sheer lessened. (Steered west instead on N. NE
Time will tell

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/flash-rgb.html

[GCANE]

:uarrow:

It is showing the development of SW winds on the surface and W winds just above the surface.

Thx

Your welcome Vortex. RUC is crunching a new set now. I'll post if it looks interesting.

[cpdaman]

I dont see any low level circulation...

perhaps our hope can conjour one up?