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ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion
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weatherSnoop
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000
URNT15 KNHC 270643
AF306 3109A IRENE HDOB 22 20110827
063300 3443N 07536W 6968 03010 9902 +088 +048 127080 081 056 004 00
063330 3444N 07538W 6969 03009 9900 +087 +048 127081 082 054 005 00
063400 3444N 07541W 6966 03009 9894 +089 +048 125083 083 055 004 00
063430 3444N 07544W 6967 03005 9902 +081 +048 124083 084 055 005 00
063500 3444N 07547W 6966 03005 9898 +082 +048 123086 088 055 007 00
063530 3444N 07550W 6967 03002 9897 +082 +047 121085 086 055 004 00
063600 3445N 07553W 6965 03002 9894 +082 +047 119085 085 054 006 00
063630 3445N 07556W 6967 02997 9897 +078 +047 118087 087 053 005 00
063700 3445N 07559W 6970 02992 9902 +072 +046 119087 088 053 005 00
063730 3445N 07602W 6967 02992 9900 +071 +045 119089 090 053 005 00
063800 3446N 07605W 6965 02996 9902 +069 +045 116090 091 053 007 00
063830 3446N 07608W 6966 02989 9891 +075 +045 114087 088 054 009 00
063900 3446N 07611W 6972 02981 9893 +071 +045 113085 087 057 009 00
063930 3446N 07614W 6966 02985 9890 +071 +044 113085 086 057 009 00
064000 3447N 07617W 6968 02979 9883 +074 +043 110086 087 056 010 00
064030 3447N 07620W 6971 02975 9878 +078 +043 108089 089 058 007 03
064100 3447N 07622W 6967 02981 9871 +082 +042 107087 088 /// /// 03
064130 3446N 07625W 6970 02974 9875 +077 +042 106085 086 086 008 03
064200 3445N 07628W 6967 02972 9879 +071 +042 106086 087 054 003 03
064230 3444N 07630W 6966 02971 9869 +075 +042 110085 088 064 006 03
$$
URNT15 KNHC 270643
AF306 3109A IRENE HDOB 22 20110827
063300 3443N 07536W 6968 03010 9902 +088 +048 127080 081 056 004 00
063330 3444N 07538W 6969 03009 9900 +087 +048 127081 082 054 005 00
063400 3444N 07541W 6966 03009 9894 +089 +048 125083 083 055 004 00
063430 3444N 07544W 6967 03005 9902 +081 +048 124083 084 055 005 00
063500 3444N 07547W 6966 03005 9898 +082 +048 123086 088 055 007 00
063530 3444N 07550W 6967 03002 9897 +082 +047 121085 086 055 004 00
063600 3445N 07553W 6965 03002 9894 +082 +047 119085 085 054 006 00
063630 3445N 07556W 6967 02997 9897 +078 +047 118087 087 053 005 00
063700 3445N 07559W 6970 02992 9902 +072 +046 119087 088 053 005 00
063730 3445N 07602W 6967 02992 9900 +071 +045 119089 090 053 005 00
063800 3446N 07605W 6965 02996 9902 +069 +045 116090 091 053 007 00
063830 3446N 07608W 6966 02989 9891 +075 +045 114087 088 054 009 00
063900 3446N 07611W 6972 02981 9893 +071 +045 113085 087 057 009 00
063930 3446N 07614W 6966 02985 9890 +071 +044 113085 086 057 009 00
064000 3447N 07617W 6968 02979 9883 +074 +043 110086 087 056 010 00
064030 3447N 07620W 6971 02975 9878 +078 +043 108089 089 058 007 03
064100 3447N 07622W 6967 02981 9871 +082 +042 107087 088 /// /// 03
064130 3446N 07625W 6970 02974 9875 +077 +042 106085 086 086 008 03
064200 3445N 07628W 6967 02972 9879 +071 +042 106086 087 054 003 03
064230 3444N 07630W 6966 02971 9869 +075 +042 110085 088 064 006 03
$$
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weatherSnoop
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Annie Oakley
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000
URNT15 KNHC 270652
AF306 3109A IRENE HDOB 23 20110827
064300 3443N 07633W 6967 02966 9863 +076 +042 113084 086 /// /// 03
064330 3442N 07635W 6973 02958 9849 +087 +042 112071 074 104 011 03
064400 3442N 07637W 6969 02959 9842 +090 +043 106063 065 078 003 03
064430 3441N 07640W 6969 02955 9833 +095 +044 103063 064 100 010 03
064500 3440N 07642W 6967 02958 9831 +096 +045 102064 064 060 006 00
064530 3439N 07645W 6964 02957 9823 +098 +046 101064 065 054 006 00
064600 3438N 07647W 6970 02948 9816 +103 +046 097063 064 055 005 00
064630 3437N 07650W 6963 02954 9827 +092 +047 097065 067 055 006 00
064700 3437N 07653W 6966 02950 9828 +090 +049 094064 066 055 006 00
064730 3436N 07655W 6964 02952 9817 +098 +049 090064 066 054 008 00
064800 3435N 07658W 6967 02946 9806 +106 +049 090064 065 054 007 03
064830 3434N 07700W 6964 02947 9800 +109 +050 088062 065 054 006 00
064900 3433N 07703W 6965 02943 9805 +102 +050 087063 065 054 007 00
064930 3432N 07705W 6970 02935 9812 +095 +050 084061 062 054 006 00
065000 3431N 07708W 6966 02938 9815 +090 +051 082061 062 055 006 00
065030 3430N 07710W 6968 02932 9814 +088 +052 081061 064 055 007 00
065100 3430N 07713W 6970 02932 9812 +091 +052 078061 064 054 006 00
065130 3429N 07715W 6967 02936 9801 +101 +051 075059 062 053 007 03
065200 3428N 07718W 6966 02936 9792 +108 +051 072058 060 054 005 03
065230 3427N 07720W 6965 02938 9794 +106 +050 073059 059 053 006 03
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 270652
AF306 3109A IRENE HDOB 23 20110827
064300 3443N 07633W 6967 02966 9863 +076 +042 113084 086 /// /// 03
064330 3442N 07635W 6973 02958 9849 +087 +042 112071 074 104 011 03
064400 3442N 07637W 6969 02959 9842 +090 +043 106063 065 078 003 03
064430 3441N 07640W 6969 02955 9833 +095 +044 103063 064 100 010 03
064500 3440N 07642W 6967 02958 9831 +096 +045 102064 064 060 006 00
064530 3439N 07645W 6964 02957 9823 +098 +046 101064 065 054 006 00
064600 3438N 07647W 6970 02948 9816 +103 +046 097063 064 055 005 00
064630 3437N 07650W 6963 02954 9827 +092 +047 097065 067 055 006 00
064700 3437N 07653W 6966 02950 9828 +090 +049 094064 066 055 006 00
064730 3436N 07655W 6964 02952 9817 +098 +049 090064 066 054 008 00
064800 3435N 07658W 6967 02946 9806 +106 +049 090064 065 054 007 03
064830 3434N 07700W 6964 02947 9800 +109 +050 088062 065 054 006 00
064900 3433N 07703W 6965 02943 9805 +102 +050 087063 065 054 007 00
064930 3432N 07705W 6970 02935 9812 +095 +050 084061 062 054 006 00
065000 3431N 07708W 6966 02938 9815 +090 +051 082061 062 055 006 00
065030 3430N 07710W 6968 02932 9814 +088 +052 081061 064 055 007 00
065100 3430N 07713W 6970 02932 9812 +091 +052 078061 064 054 006 00
065130 3429N 07715W 6967 02936 9801 +101 +051 075059 062 053 007 03
065200 3428N 07718W 6966 02936 9792 +108 +051 072058 060 054 005 03
065230 3427N 07720W 6965 02938 9794 +106 +050 073059 059 053 006 03
$$
;
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weatherSnoop
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stormhunter7
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon Discussion
Dont see any SMRF data on the SW side of COC from Irene above TS force.. i do see winds around 90-100 mph on the NE side of storm with recon data. SOOO much dry air on the west and SW of COC. Pretty much down hill for Irene, unless a burst of convection getts going, but its pulling to much dry air for the SE US into it i think.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
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Jevo
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion
the GRLevel3 radar that your posting isnt the best representation of the current situation.. As the radar beam leaves the station it gains altitude which in turns looks like the current presentation you are displaying... If the Irene really had this structure than it would be nothing more than an elongated wave from NE to SW
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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
000
WTNT34 KNHC 270658
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27B
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
300 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
...CENTER OF IRENE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS...
SUMMARY OF 300 AM EDT...0700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.7N 76.5W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO MERRIMACK RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MERRIMACK RIVER TO EASTPORT MAINE
INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 300 AM EDT...0700 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND NOAA
DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST.
IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL APPROACH THE COAST
OF NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND PASS NEAR OR
OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATER THIS MORNING. THE HURRICANE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND
MOVE OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY.
DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
EXPECTED BEFORE IRENE REACHES THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND
IRENE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR THE THRESHOLD OF CATEGORY ONE AND
CATEGORY TWO STRENGTH. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER IRENE
REACHES THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...BUT IRENE IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST ON
SUNDAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
290 MILES...465 KM. A NOAA C-MAN STATION AT CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 54 MPH...87 KM/H...
AND A WIND GUST OF 64 MPH...104 KM/H. A WEATHERFLOW STATION IN FORT
MACON NORTH CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 74 MPH...120
KM/H.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND
OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TODAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER THIS
MORNING WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.
STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 6 TO 11 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE
AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD
INCLUDING SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES. STORM SURGE
VALUES ARE VERY LOCATION-SPECIFIC...AND USERS ARE URGED TO CONSULT
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...FROM
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...
NEW YORK...AND NEW ENGLAND THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. A POSSIBLE TORNADO WAS RECENTLY REPORTED IN
TYRRELL COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/BRENNAN
WTNT34 KNHC 270658
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27B
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
300 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
...CENTER OF IRENE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS...
SUMMARY OF 300 AM EDT...0700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.7N 76.5W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO MERRIMACK RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MERRIMACK RIVER TO EASTPORT MAINE
INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 300 AM EDT...0700 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND NOAA
DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST.
IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL APPROACH THE COAST
OF NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND PASS NEAR OR
OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATER THIS MORNING. THE HURRICANE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND
MOVE OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY.
DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
EXPECTED BEFORE IRENE REACHES THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND
IRENE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR THE THRESHOLD OF CATEGORY ONE AND
CATEGORY TWO STRENGTH. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER IRENE
REACHES THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...BUT IRENE IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST ON
SUNDAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
290 MILES...465 KM. A NOAA C-MAN STATION AT CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 54 MPH...87 KM/H...
AND A WIND GUST OF 64 MPH...104 KM/H. A WEATHERFLOW STATION IN FORT
MACON NORTH CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 74 MPH...120
KM/H.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND
OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TODAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER THIS
MORNING WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.
STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 6 TO 11 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE
AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD
INCLUDING SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES. STORM SURGE
VALUES ARE VERY LOCATION-SPECIFIC...AND USERS ARE URGED TO CONSULT
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...FROM
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...
NEW YORK...AND NEW ENGLAND THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. A POSSIBLE TORNADO WAS RECENTLY REPORTED IN
TYRRELL COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/BRENNAN
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cat 1 now...
000
WTNT34 KNHC 270658
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27B
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
300 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
...CENTER OF IRENE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS...
SUMMARY OF 300 AM EDT...0700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.7N 76.5W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO MERRIMACK RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MERRIMACK RIVER TO EASTPORT MAINE
INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 300 AM EDT...0700 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND NOAA
DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST.
IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL APPROACH THE COAST
OF NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND PASS NEAR OR
OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATER THIS MORNING. THE HURRICANE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND
MOVE OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY.
DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
EXPECTED BEFORE IRENE REACHES THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND
IRENE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR THE THRESHOLD OF CATEGORY ONE AND
CATEGORY TWO STRENGTH. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER IRENE
REACHES THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...BUT IRENE IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST ON
SUNDAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
290 MILES...465 KM. A NOAA C-MAN STATION AT CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 54 MPH...87 KM/H...
AND A WIND GUST OF 64 MPH...104 KM/H. A WEATHERFLOW STATION IN FORT
MACON NORTH CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 74 MPH...120
KM/H.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND
OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TODAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER THIS
MORNING WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.
STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 6 TO 11 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE
AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD
INCLUDING SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES. STORM SURGE
VALUES ARE VERY LOCATION-SPECIFIC...AND USERS ARE URGED TO CONSULT
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...FROM
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...
NEW YORK...AND NEW ENGLAND THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. A POSSIBLE TORNADO WAS RECENTLY REPORTED IN
TYRRELL COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/BRENNAN
000
WTNT34 KNHC 270658
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27B
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
300 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
...CENTER OF IRENE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS...
SUMMARY OF 300 AM EDT...0700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.7N 76.5W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO MERRIMACK RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MERRIMACK RIVER TO EASTPORT MAINE
INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 300 AM EDT...0700 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND NOAA
DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST.
IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL APPROACH THE COAST
OF NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND PASS NEAR OR
OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST LATER THIS MORNING. THE HURRICANE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND
MOVE OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY.
DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
EXPECTED BEFORE IRENE REACHES THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND
IRENE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR THE THRESHOLD OF CATEGORY ONE AND
CATEGORY TWO STRENGTH. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER IRENE
REACHES THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...BUT IRENE IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST ON
SUNDAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
290 MILES...465 KM. A NOAA C-MAN STATION AT CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 54 MPH...87 KM/H...
AND A WIND GUST OF 64 MPH...104 KM/H. A WEATHERFLOW STATION IN FORT
MACON NORTH CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 74 MPH...120
KM/H.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND
OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TODAY.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER THIS
MORNING WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.
STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 6 TO 11 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE
AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD
INCLUDING SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES. STORM SURGE
VALUES ARE VERY LOCATION-SPECIFIC...AND USERS ARE URGED TO CONSULT
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...FROM
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...
NEW YORK...AND NEW ENGLAND THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. A POSSIBLE TORNADO WAS RECENTLY REPORTED IN
TYRRELL COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/BRENNAN
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Just like Jon Snow..."I know nothing" except what I know, and most of what I know is gathered by the fine people of the NHC
Winds down to 90 mph on latest intermediate advisory:
SUMMARY OF 300 AM EDT...0700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.7N 76.5W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
SUMMARY OF 300 AM EDT...0700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.7N 76.5W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
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-
Jevo
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1729
- Age: 47
- Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
- Location: The Flemish Cap
- Contact:
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
290 MILES.
Thats almost the entire state of florida
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
290 MILES.
Thats almost the entire state of florida
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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
-
stormhunter7
- Category 2
- Posts: 762
- Joined: Mon May 26, 2008 3:13 pm
- Location: Panama City Beach, Florida
- Contact:
Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion
based on recon data i'm seeing... the 90mph winds are along the cape lookout seashore now.. basically east of Morehead City. Dwn towards ILM and south.. Frying pan shores buoy shows moderate winds.. never got about 65mph. However were some big rollers 18+ feet waves 
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
-
Annie Oakley
- Category 5
- Posts: 1103
- Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2007 12:54 pm
- Location: Texas
000
URNT15 KNHC 270702
AF306 3109A IRENE HDOB 24 20110827
065300 3426N 07723W 6967 02933 9787 +110 +051 071056 057 051 007 03
065330 3424N 07724W 6965 02935 9783 +112 +052 067052 054 /// /// 03
065400 3423N 07724W 6967 02929 9780 +114 +054 065050 051 052 006 03
065430 3422N 07722W 6968 02926 9781 +109 +055 064049 050 051 005 00
065500 3421N 07721W 6966 02927 9777 +110 +056 062051 052 049 005 00
065530 3419N 07719W 6966 02922 9768 +114 +056 058053 054 051 003 00
065600 3418N 07718W 6966 02919 9757 +120 +057 058053 054 050 003 00
065630 3417N 07717W 6967 02910 9750 +121 +058 058054 055 052 002 00
065700 3416N 07715W 6965 02907 9739 +125 +059 058056 056 052 002 00
065730 3415N 07714W 6968 02931 9756 +123 +060 059060 062 052 002 00
065800 3414N 07712W 6965 02902 9735 +122 +060 058058 058 050 000 00
065830 3413N 07711W 6967 02894 9724 +129 +061 053058 058 050 000 00
065900 3411N 07709W 6968 02886 9718 +126 +062 056059 060 052 002 00
065930 3410N 07708W 6965 02883 9709 +128 +062 054059 060 052 004 00
070000 3409N 07707W 6968 02873 9703 +127 +063 053059 061 052 006 00
070030 3408N 07705W 6967 02869 9700 +122 +063 051058 059 052 005 00
070100 3407N 07704W 6965 02864 9691 +125 +062 053056 057 051 005 00
070130 3406N 07702W 6966 02855 9679 +129 +062 057057 057 053 002 00
070200 3404N 07701W 6967 02847 9672 +129 +062 058056 057 053 001 00
070230 3403N 07659W 6963 02844 9664 +128 +061 055054 055 054 002 00
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 270702
AF306 3109A IRENE HDOB 24 20110827
065300 3426N 07723W 6967 02933 9787 +110 +051 071056 057 051 007 03
065330 3424N 07724W 6965 02935 9783 +112 +052 067052 054 /// /// 03
065400 3423N 07724W 6967 02929 9780 +114 +054 065050 051 052 006 03
065430 3422N 07722W 6968 02926 9781 +109 +055 064049 050 051 005 00
065500 3421N 07721W 6966 02927 9777 +110 +056 062051 052 049 005 00
065530 3419N 07719W 6966 02922 9768 +114 +056 058053 054 051 003 00
065600 3418N 07718W 6966 02919 9757 +120 +057 058053 054 050 003 00
065630 3417N 07717W 6967 02910 9750 +121 +058 058054 055 052 002 00
065700 3416N 07715W 6965 02907 9739 +125 +059 058056 056 052 002 00
065730 3415N 07714W 6968 02931 9756 +123 +060 059060 062 052 002 00
065800 3414N 07712W 6965 02902 9735 +122 +060 058058 058 050 000 00
065830 3413N 07711W 6967 02894 9724 +129 +061 053058 058 050 000 00
065900 3411N 07709W 6968 02886 9718 +126 +062 056059 060 052 002 00
065930 3410N 07708W 6965 02883 9709 +128 +062 054059 060 052 004 00
070000 3409N 07707W 6968 02873 9703 +127 +063 053059 061 052 006 00
070030 3408N 07705W 6967 02869 9700 +122 +063 051058 059 052 005 00
070100 3407N 07704W 6965 02864 9691 +125 +062 053056 057 051 005 00
070130 3406N 07702W 6966 02855 9679 +129 +062 057057 057 053 002 00
070200 3404N 07701W 6967 02847 9672 +129 +062 058056 057 053 001 00
070230 3403N 07659W 6963 02844 9664 +128 +061 055054 055 054 002 00
$$
;
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-
stormhunter7
- Category 2
- Posts: 762
- Joined: Mon May 26, 2008 3:13 pm
- Location: Panama City Beach, Florida
- Contact:
Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion
I'd dxpect landfall on the eastern end of Carteret County... Cape Lookout National Seashore.. i dont see it making it to much further east.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
-
TeamPlayersBlue
- Category 5
- Posts: 3445
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
- Location: Denver/Applewood, CO
Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion
HurricaneBill wrote:Another storm that exceeded the hype was Wilma. Wasn't Wilma expected to only strengthen slightly over the Gulf and then get hit by shear and dry air before landfall on Florida as a Category 1?
i dont hink wilma was overhyped at all. It struck i believe with winds at 120 MPH. It was moving at a very fast clip so the northern side of the storm may not have been as bad as the SE side of it. My uncle in Ft. Lauderdale caught the eye wall and said it was pretty nasty. I think he had no power for two weeks.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
Annie Oakley
- Category 5
- Posts: 1103
- Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2007 12:54 pm
- Location: Texas
000
URNT15 KNHC 270712
AF306 3109A IRENE HDOB 25 20110827
070300 3402N 07658W 6970 02828 9652 +132 +061 056057 057 053 005 03
070330 3401N 07657W 6963 02828 9643 +130 +061 052060 060 053 004 00
070400 3400N 07655W 6969 02809 9625 +136 +061 052055 058 054 003 00
070430 3359N 07654W 6965 02807 9615 +139 +062 052051 052 054 002 03
070500 3357N 07652W 6968 02796 9602 +142 +064 055054 055 054 002 00
070530 3356N 07651W 6959 02796 9589 +145 +064 055049 052 052 003 03
070600 3355N 07649W 6966 02780 9572 +154 +066 053045 046 047 001 00
070630 3354N 07648W 6967 02772 9559 +161 +067 051045 047 044 000 03
070700 3353N 07646W 6966 02762 9541 +167 +068 048044 046 041 000 00
070730 3351N 07645W 6961 02758 9533 +162 +069 042037 039 036 001 00
070800 3350N 07643W 6966 02742 9530 +158 +070 043030 032 032 002 00
070830 3349N 07642W 6970 02730 9521 +156 +070 044025 027 028 001 00
070900 3348N 07640W 6966 02727 9512 +156 +070 038020 023 023 002 00
070930 3346N 07639W 6966 02722 9502 +162 +070 039014 016 019 000 00
071000 3345N 07637W 6969 02714 9505 +155 +072 060006 009 015 001 00
071030 3344N 07635W 6963 02719 9502 +155 +072 157004 006 016 001 00
071100 3343N 07634W 6973 02707 9498 +159 +073 214010 013 019 001 00
071130 3342N 07632W 6965 02719 9503 +155 +073 222015 016 024 002 03
071200 3340N 07630W 6967 02719 9506 +155 +074 217019 022 028 001 00
071230 3339N 07629W 6967 02724 9509 +157 +074 218028 030 031 000 00
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 270712
AF306 3109A IRENE HDOB 25 20110827
070300 3402N 07658W 6970 02828 9652 +132 +061 056057 057 053 005 03
070330 3401N 07657W 6963 02828 9643 +130 +061 052060 060 053 004 00
070400 3400N 07655W 6969 02809 9625 +136 +061 052055 058 054 003 00
070430 3359N 07654W 6965 02807 9615 +139 +062 052051 052 054 002 03
070500 3357N 07652W 6968 02796 9602 +142 +064 055054 055 054 002 00
070530 3356N 07651W 6959 02796 9589 +145 +064 055049 052 052 003 03
070600 3355N 07649W 6966 02780 9572 +154 +066 053045 046 047 001 00
070630 3354N 07648W 6967 02772 9559 +161 +067 051045 047 044 000 03
070700 3353N 07646W 6966 02762 9541 +167 +068 048044 046 041 000 00
070730 3351N 07645W 6961 02758 9533 +162 +069 042037 039 036 001 00
070800 3350N 07643W 6966 02742 9530 +158 +070 043030 032 032 002 00
070830 3349N 07642W 6970 02730 9521 +156 +070 044025 027 028 001 00
070900 3348N 07640W 6966 02727 9512 +156 +070 038020 023 023 002 00
070930 3346N 07639W 6966 02722 9502 +162 +070 039014 016 019 000 00
071000 3345N 07637W 6969 02714 9505 +155 +072 060006 009 015 001 00
071030 3344N 07635W 6963 02719 9502 +155 +072 157004 006 016 001 00
071100 3343N 07634W 6973 02707 9498 +159 +073 214010 013 019 001 00
071130 3342N 07632W 6965 02719 9503 +155 +073 222015 016 024 002 03
071200 3340N 07630W 6967 02719 9506 +155 +074 217019 022 028 001 00
071230 3339N 07629W 6967 02724 9509 +157 +074 218028 030 031 000 00
$$
;
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:HurricaneBill wrote:Another storm that exceeded the hype was Wilma. Wasn't Wilma expected to only strengthen slightly over the Gulf and then get hit by shear and dry air before landfall on Florida as a Category 1?
i dont hink wilma was overhyped at all. It struck i believe with winds at 120 MPH. It was moving at a very fast clip so the northern side of the storm may not have been as bad as the SE side of it. My uncle in Ft. Lauderdale caught the eye wall and said it was pretty nasty. I think he had no power for two weeks.
you misread the post...he was saying it was stronger than the media made it out to be
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Just like Jon Snow..."I know nothing" except what I know, and most of what I know is gathered by the fine people of the NHC
Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion
stormhunter7 wrote:I'd dxpect landfall on the eastern end of Carteret County... Cape Lookout National Seashore.. i dont see it making it to much further east.
agreed...seems to be going back north with a small NNW for 15 minutes
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Just like Jon Snow..."I know nothing" except what I know, and most of what I know is gathered by the fine people of the NHC
-
Annie Oakley
- Category 5
- Posts: 1103
- Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2007 12:54 pm
- Location: Texas
Product: Air Force Tropical RECCO Message (URNT11 KNHC)
Transmitted: 27th day of the month at 06:56Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 306)
Storm Number: 09
Storm Name: Irene (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 31
Observation Number: 07
Mandatory Data...
Observation Time: Saturday, 6:54Z
Radar Capability: Yes
Aircraft Altitude: Below 10,000 meters
Coordinates: 34.4N 77.4W
Location: 32 miles (51 km) to the ENE (67°) from Wilmington, NC, USA.
Turbulence: None
Conditions Along Flight Route: In the clear
Pressure Altitude: 3,050 meters
Flight Level Wind: From 70° at 50 knots (From the ENE at ~ 57.5 mph)
- The above is a spot wind.
- Winds were obtained using doppler radar or inertial systems.
Flight Level Temperature: 11°C
Flight Level Dew Point: 5°C
Weather (within 30 nautical miles): Clear
700 mb Surface Altitude: 2,891 geopotential meters
Remarks Section...
Surface Wind Speed (likely by SFMR): 51 knots (~ 58.7mph)
Transmitted: 27th day of the month at 06:56Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 306)
Storm Number: 09
Storm Name: Irene (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 31
Observation Number: 07
Mandatory Data...
Observation Time: Saturday, 6:54Z
Radar Capability: Yes
Aircraft Altitude: Below 10,000 meters
Coordinates: 34.4N 77.4W
Location: 32 miles (51 km) to the ENE (67°) from Wilmington, NC, USA.
Turbulence: None
Conditions Along Flight Route: In the clear
Pressure Altitude: 3,050 meters
Flight Level Wind: From 70° at 50 knots (From the ENE at ~ 57.5 mph)
- The above is a spot wind.
- Winds were obtained using doppler radar or inertial systems.
Flight Level Temperature: 11°C
Flight Level Dew Point: 5°C
Weather (within 30 nautical miles): Clear
700 mb Surface Altitude: 2,891 geopotential meters
Remarks Section...
Surface Wind Speed (likely by SFMR): 51 knots (~ 58.7mph)
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3AM conditions taken from NWS Wilmington's regional weather roundup:
<snip>
Code: Select all
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
CAPE HATTERAS LGT RAIN 82 76 81 E36G58 29.36F
JACKSONVILLE CLOUDY 75 73 94 N23G35 29.18F
MOREHEAD CITY HVY RAIN 78 76 93 NE35G60 29.03F FOG
KENANSVILLE HVY RAIN 64 64 100 N26G44 29.31F
NEW BERN RAIN 79 76 90 NE31G43 29.25F FOG
ELIZABETH CITY LGT RAIN 79 75 87 NE28G38 29.56F
WILMINGTON CLOUDY 76 74 93 N28G40 29.08F
SOUTHPORT RAIN 72 72 100 N28G43 29.04F
N MYRTLE BEACH LGT RAIN 73 N/A N/A MISG 29.23F
MYRTLE BEACH NOT AVBL
LUMBERTON HVY RAIN 73 72 94 N25G35 29.41F FOG
ELIZABETHTOWN NOT AVBL
WHITEVILLE LGT RAIN 72 72 100 N17G33 29.27F
FLORENCE LGT RAIN 75 72 88 N18G32 29.48F
DARLINGTON CLOUDY 79 72 78 N16G31 29.54F
RALEIGH DURHAM LGT RAIN 75 71 87 NE18G26 29.61F
ROCKY MOUNT RAIN 73 72 94 N23G38 29.52F FOG
ROANOKE RAPIDS NOT AVBL
FAYETTEVILLE RAIN 73 70 90 N28G41 29.46F FOG
HOFFMAN NOT AVBL
STATION/POSITION TIME SKY/WX TEMP WIND PRES VSBY
AIR SEA DIR/SP/G
(UTC) (F) (DEG/KT/KT) (MB) (MI)
DIAMOND SHOALS NOT AVBL
CAPE LOOKOUT 0700 77 70/ 58/ 66 981.0F
<snip>
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