https://x.com/IPTCWCDirector/status/1969387721291358667
WPAC: NEOGURI - Tropical Storm
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Hurricane2022
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
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For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
Up to cat 2.
25W NEOGURI 250920 1200 26.2N 155.0E WPAC 85 973
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
It entered TCID so we started tracking it, I got a DT of 6.0
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
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Hurricane2022
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
cycloneye wrote:Up to cat 2.25W NEOGURI 250920 1200 26.2N 155.0E WPAC 85 973
Something is wrong with this BT, because PGTW just fixed Neoguri at T6.0 in the 12z update, and this is the very same intensity estimated at 06z.
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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StormWeather
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
I noticed this too. That it came from an upper-level tropospheric trough (ULTT).
That’s pretty cool actually.
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Just an average cyclone tracker
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
Like Danas earlier this year, Neoguri has a remarkably impressive presentation for a Category 2-equivalent typhoon, with the latest subjective Dvorak fix from NOAA at T6.0 and raw ADT numbers climbing towards T6.5.
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
sasha_B wrote:Like Danas earlier this year, Neoguri has a remarkably impressive presentation for a Category 2-equivalent typhoon, with the latest subjective Dvorak fix from NOAA at T6.0 and raw ADT numbers climbing towards T6.5.
Medium confidence on intensity.
TY 25W HAS CONTINUED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY IN
A HIGHLY FAVORABLY ENVIRONMENT AND IS NOW ASSESSED TO BE 95KTS. THE
INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE
AFOREMENTIONED ANIMATED EIR AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM A 201053Z
METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE REVEALING A DISTINCT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 95 KTS IS ASSESSED WITH MEDIUM
CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE SAME ASCAT IMAGE WHILE SUPPORTED BY THE
AGENCY AND OBJECTIVE FIXES LISTED BELOW.
A HIGHLY FAVORABLY ENVIRONMENT AND IS NOW ASSESSED TO BE 95KTS. THE
INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE
AFOREMENTIONED ANIMATED EIR AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM A 201053Z
METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE REVEALING A DISTINCT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 95 KTS IS ASSESSED WITH MEDIUM
CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE SAME ASCAT IMAGE WHILE SUPPORTED BY THE
AGENCY AND OBJECTIVE FIXES LISTED BELOW.
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Hurricane2022
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
JTWC maintains his dirty love for ADT.
- And the average of these estimates would give us a result of 105-110 kts. Great job, JTWC!
AGENCY DVORAK AND AUTOMATED FIXES:
PGTW: T6.0 - 115 KTS
RJTD: T6.0 - 115 KTS
RCTP: T6.5 - 127 KTS
KNES: T6.0 - 115 KTS
CIMSS SATCON: 94 KTS AT 200754Z
CIMSS ADT: 84 KTS AT 201130Z
CIMSS AIDT: 93 KTS AT 201130Z
CIMSS D-MINT: 105 KTS AT 201150Z
CIMSS D-PRINT: 101 KTS AT 201230Z
PGTW: T6.0 - 115 KTS
RJTD: T6.0 - 115 KTS
RCTP: T6.5 - 127 KTS
KNES: T6.0 - 115 KTS
CIMSS SATCON: 94 KTS AT 200754Z
CIMSS ADT: 84 KTS AT 201130Z
CIMSS AIDT: 93 KTS AT 201130Z
CIMSS D-MINT: 105 KTS AT 201150Z
CIMSS D-PRINT: 101 KTS AT 201230Z
- And the average of these estimates would give us a result of 105-110 kts. Great job, JTWC!
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
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Hurricane2022
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
https://x.com/ViridWx/status/1969417635692437700
https://x.com/GoldStndAcademy/status/1969421509127999899
https://x.com/GoldStndAcademy/status/1969421509127999899
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
Hurricane2022 wrote:JTWC maintains his dirty love for ADT.
[...]
- And the average of these estimates would give us a result of 105-110 kts. Great job, JTWC!
Well, ADT CI has hit 6.0. If an objective fix to support 110-115kts is the data point they were waiting for, they now have it.
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Hurricane2022
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
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StormWeather
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
Recon in the Western Pacific?! Like actual recon where they fly around the storm and go through the eye like the NHC/CPHC recon does?!
Am I dreaming?! Someone pinch me, because I think I am.
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Just an average cyclone tracker
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
Wow, is a great surprise. Wheels up, yes.
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doomhaMwx
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
StormWeather wrote:
Recon in the Western Pacific?! Like actual recon where they fly around the storm and go through the eye like the NHC/CPHC recon does?!
Am I dreaming?! Someone pinch me, because I think I am.
They've been flying into 1-2 typhoons a year since 2017.
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StormWeather
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
doomhaMwx wrote:StormWeather wrote:
Recon in the Western Pacific?! Like actual recon where they fly around the storm and go through the eye like the NHC/CPHC recon does?!
Am I dreaming?! Someone pinch me, because I think I am.
They've been flying into 1-2 typhoons a year since 2017.
How do they use the data they get? I would assume that they do things different since it’s a different RSMC, so is there a way translate the data into 1-min winds and minimum pressure?
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Just an average cyclone tracker
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
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Hurricane2022
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
Incredible loop! Thank God we will see some extremely rare recon juice for a possible STY Neoguri tomorrow.
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: NEOGURI - Typhoon
Hurricane2022 wrote:Incredible loop! Thank God we will see some extremely rare recon juice for a possible STY Neoguri tomorrow.
https://i.imgur.com/8FGxInO.gif
And the other good part is it will not threat any landmasses.
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