90S INVEST 250712 1800 4.9S 87.0E SHEM 15 0
SIO: INVEST 90S
Moderators: hurricanetrack, S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145268
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: SIO: INVEST 90S
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
7.2S 91.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.2S 91.4E, APPROXIMATELY 401 NM
NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICT AN AREA OF CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDING SURROUNDING
THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MODERATELY FAVORABLE WITH GOOD
POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE
ONLY HINDRANCE BEING MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
IMPACTING 90S FROM THE EAST. CURRENT GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A SLOW SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH MARGINAL
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED
7.2S 91.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.2S 91.4E, APPROXIMATELY 401 NM
NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICT AN AREA OF CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDING SURROUNDING
THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MODERATELY FAVORABLE WITH GOOD
POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE
ONLY HINDRANCE BEING MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
IMPACTING 90S FROM THE EAST. CURRENT GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A SLOW SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH MARGINAL
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED
1 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Return to “Active Storms - SE Indian Ocean, Arabian Sea/Bay of Bengal, SouthPAC”
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests