Tropical Cyclone Gezani
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 155 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 220 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 959 hPa.
Position on February 14 at 04:00 local time: 24.0 South / 35.9 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 2015 km to the WEST-SOUTHWEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1580 km to the SOUTH-WEST sector
Movement: SOUTH-SOUTHWEST, at 17 km/h.
System information:
- Tropical cyclone GEZANI is developing over the Mozambique Channel, a little over 50 km from the coast of Mozambique and its intensity is at its maximum.
- It is currently located closest to the coast (Inhambane region) and is now heading south, following a coastal trajectory. The possibility of a landfall is now ruled out, but the strongest winds are just under 20km from the coast, near the city of Inhambane.
- Over the next 24 hours, GEZANI is expected to continue its wide turn towards the east while remaining at the stage of a tropical cyclone.
- The system is then expected to move further away from the coast in the southern Mozambique Channel over the weekend, but the forecast trajectory remains uncertain beyond Saturday the 14th. During this trajectory, however, it is expected to gradually weaken.
SIO: GEZANI - Severe Tropical Storm
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: GEZANI - Tropical Cyclone
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: GEZANI - Tropical Cyclone
Tropical Cyclone Gezani
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 155 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 220 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 960 hPa.
Position on February 14 at 10 a.m. local time: 24.8 South / 35.9 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 2015 km to the WEST-SOUTHWEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1640 km to the SOUTH-WEST sector
Movement: SOUTH, at 15 km/h.
System information:
Tropical Cyclone GEZANI continues its path across the Channel, weakening as it moves across the Channel. It is currently located 75 km off the coast of Mozambique.
- Its trajectory is evolving towards the south-southeast, moving away from the coast. The strongest winds are just over 30km from the coast, and conditions at Inhambane are expected to improve.
- Over the next 24 hours, GEZANI is expected to continue its journey towards the southeast while remaining at the stage of a tropical cyclone.
- The system is then expected to move further away from the coast in the southern Mozambique Channel over the weekend, but the forecast trajectory remains uncertain beyond Saturday the 14th. During this trajectory, however, it is expected to gradually weaken.
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 155 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 220 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 960 hPa.
Position on February 14 at 10 a.m. local time: 24.8 South / 35.9 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 2015 km to the WEST-SOUTHWEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1640 km to the SOUTH-WEST sector
Movement: SOUTH, at 15 km/h.
System information:
Tropical Cyclone GEZANI continues its path across the Channel, weakening as it moves across the Channel. It is currently located 75 km off the coast of Mozambique.
- Its trajectory is evolving towards the south-southeast, moving away from the coast. The strongest winds are just over 30km from the coast, and conditions at Inhambane are expected to improve.
- Over the next 24 hours, GEZANI is expected to continue its journey towards the southeast while remaining at the stage of a tropical cyclone.
- The system is then expected to move further away from the coast in the southern Mozambique Channel over the weekend, but the forecast trajectory remains uncertain beyond Saturday the 14th. During this trajectory, however, it is expected to gradually weaken.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: GEZANI - Tropical Cyclone
Tropical Cyclone Gezani
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 150 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 215 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 960 hPa.
Position on February 14 at 4 p.m. local time: 25.7 South / 36.6 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 1965 km to the WEST-SOUTHWEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1680 km to the SOUTH-SOUTHWEST sector
Movement: SOUTH-EAST, at 19 km/h.
System information:
Tropical Cyclone GEZANI continues its path across the Channel, weakening as it moves across the Channel. It is currently located 200 km off the coast of Mozambique.
- Its trajectory evolves towards the east-southeast, moving away from the coasts of Mozambique.
- Over the next 24 hours, GEZANI is expected to continue on an eastward track initially, then take a northeasterly track tomorrow morning and weaken to a strong tropical storm.
The system is then expected to continue northward until Tuesday, approaching Europa, before heading south-southeast. However, the forecast trajectory remains highly uncertain beyond Sunday the 15th
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 150 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 215 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 960 hPa.
Position on February 14 at 4 p.m. local time: 25.7 South / 36.6 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 1965 km to the WEST-SOUTHWEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1680 km to the SOUTH-SOUTHWEST sector
Movement: SOUTH-EAST, at 19 km/h.
System information:
Tropical Cyclone GEZANI continues its path across the Channel, weakening as it moves across the Channel. It is currently located 200 km off the coast of Mozambique.
- Its trajectory evolves towards the east-southeast, moving away from the coasts of Mozambique.
- Over the next 24 hours, GEZANI is expected to continue on an eastward track initially, then take a northeasterly track tomorrow morning and weaken to a strong tropical storm.
The system is then expected to continue northward until Tuesday, approaching Europa, before heading south-southeast. However, the forecast trajectory remains highly uncertain beyond Sunday the 15th
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: GEZANI - Tropical Cyclone
Tropical Cyclone Gezani
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 140 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 195 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 963 hPa.
Position on February 14 at 10 p.m. local time: 26.4 South / 37.4 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 1905 km to the WEST-SOUTHWEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1710 km to the SOUTH-SOUTHWEST sector
Movement: SOUTH-EAST, at 19 km/h.
System information:
Tropical Cyclone GEZANI continues its path across the Channel, weakening as it moves across the Channel. It is currently located 300 km off the coast of Mozambique and nearly 700 km off the coast of Madagascar.
- Its trajectory evolves towards the east-southeast, moving away from the coasts of Mozambique.
- Over the next 24 hours, GEZANI is expected to continue on an eastward track initially, then take a northeasterly track tomorrow morning and weaken to a strong tropical storm.
The system is then expected to continue northeast until Tuesday, approaching Europa, before heading south again. However, the forecast trajectory remains highly uncertain beyond 24 hours. During this trajectory, it is expected to gradually weaken.
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 140 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 195 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 963 hPa.
Position on February 14 at 10 p.m. local time: 26.4 South / 37.4 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 1905 km to the WEST-SOUTHWEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1710 km to the SOUTH-SOUTHWEST sector
Movement: SOUTH-EAST, at 19 km/h.
System information:
Tropical Cyclone GEZANI continues its path across the Channel, weakening as it moves across the Channel. It is currently located 300 km off the coast of Mozambique and nearly 700 km off the coast of Madagascar.
- Its trajectory evolves towards the east-southeast, moving away from the coasts of Mozambique.
- Over the next 24 hours, GEZANI is expected to continue on an eastward track initially, then take a northeasterly track tomorrow morning and weaken to a strong tropical storm.
The system is then expected to continue northeast until Tuesday, approaching Europa, before heading south again. However, the forecast trajectory remains highly uncertain beyond 24 hours. During this trajectory, it is expected to gradually weaken.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: GEZANI - Tropical Cyclone
Tropical Cyclone Gezani
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 130 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 185 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 970 hPa.
Position on February 15 at 04:00 local time: 26.5 South / 38.7 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 1785 km to the WEST-SOUTHWEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1660 km to the SOUTH-SOUTHWEST sector
Movement: EAST, at 20 km/h.
System information:
Tropical Cyclone GEZANI continues its path across the Channel, weakening as it moves across the Channel. It is currently located 400 km off the coast of Mozambique and nearly 550 km off the coast of Madagascar.
- Over the next 24 hours, GEZANI is expected to continue its north-eastward journey this Sunday and weaken to a strong tropical storm.
The system is then expected to continue northeast until Tuesday, approaching Europa or the southwestern tip of Madagascar, before heading south again. However, the forecast trajectory remains highly uncertain beyond 24 hours.
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 130 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 185 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 970 hPa.
Position on February 15 at 04:00 local time: 26.5 South / 38.7 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 1785 km to the WEST-SOUTHWEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1660 km to the SOUTH-SOUTHWEST sector
Movement: EAST, at 20 km/h.
System information:
Tropical Cyclone GEZANI continues its path across the Channel, weakening as it moves across the Channel. It is currently located 400 km off the coast of Mozambique and nearly 550 km off the coast of Madagascar.
- Over the next 24 hours, GEZANI is expected to continue its north-eastward journey this Sunday and weaken to a strong tropical storm.
The system is then expected to continue northeast until Tuesday, approaching Europa or the southwestern tip of Madagascar, before heading south again. However, the forecast trajectory remains highly uncertain beyond 24 hours.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: GEZANI - Tropical Cyclone
Tropical Cyclone Gezani
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 120 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 165 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 982 hPa.
Position on February 15 at 10 a.m. local time: 26.5 South / 39.4 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 1720 km to the WEST-SOUTHWEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1630 km to the SOUTH-SOUTHWEST sector
Movement: EAST, at 20 km/h.
System information:
Tropical Cyclone GEZANI continues its passage through the southern Mozambique Channel, weakening as it moves across. It is currently located between 450 and 500 km from the coasts of Mozambique and Madagascar.
- GEZANI is expected to move northeast until Monday, gradually weakening to a strong tropical storm. It could pass within 200 km of the southwest coast of Madagascar on Monday night into Tuesday.
- The system should then move south while gradually weakening. It could eventually lose its tropical characteristics around Thursday as it moves over cooler waters.
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 120 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 165 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 982 hPa.
Position on February 15 at 10 a.m. local time: 26.5 South / 39.4 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 1720 km to the WEST-SOUTHWEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1630 km to the SOUTH-SOUTHWEST sector
Movement: EAST, at 20 km/h.
System information:
Tropical Cyclone GEZANI continues its passage through the southern Mozambique Channel, weakening as it moves across. It is currently located between 450 and 500 km from the coasts of Mozambique and Madagascar.
- GEZANI is expected to move northeast until Monday, gradually weakening to a strong tropical storm. It could pass within 200 km of the southwest coast of Madagascar on Monday night into Tuesday.
- The system should then move south while gradually weakening. It could eventually lose its tropical characteristics around Thursday as it moves over cooler waters.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: GEZANI - Severe Tropical Storm
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GEZANI
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 110 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 155 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 983 hPa.
Position on February 15 at 10 p.m. local time: 26.2 South / 41.2 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 1540 km to the WEST-SOUTH-WEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1540 km to the SOUTH-SOUTHWEST sector
Movement: EAST-NORTHEAST, at 19 km/h.
System information:
- GEZANI has weakened to a strong tropical storm. It continues its crossing of the southern Mozambique Channel and is now located approximately 320 km off the southwest coast of Madagascar.
- GEZANI is expected to move northeast until Monday morning while remaining a strong tropical storm. However, it could temporarily re-intensify into a tropical cyclone as it passes closest to the Malagasy coast on Monday evening, at an estimated distance of between 50 and 150 km according to the latest forecasts.
The system is then expected to move south again from Tuesday while gradually weakening. It could eventually lose its tropical characteristics around Thursday as it moves over cooler waters.
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 110 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 155 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 983 hPa.
Position on February 15 at 10 p.m. local time: 26.2 South / 41.2 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 1540 km to the WEST-SOUTH-WEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1540 km to the SOUTH-SOUTHWEST sector
Movement: EAST-NORTHEAST, at 19 km/h.
System information:
- GEZANI has weakened to a strong tropical storm. It continues its crossing of the southern Mozambique Channel and is now located approximately 320 km off the southwest coast of Madagascar.
- GEZANI is expected to move northeast until Monday morning while remaining a strong tropical storm. However, it could temporarily re-intensify into a tropical cyclone as it passes closest to the Malagasy coast on Monday evening, at an estimated distance of between 50 and 150 km according to the latest forecasts.
The system is then expected to move south again from Tuesday while gradually weakening. It could eventually lose its tropical characteristics around Thursday as it moves over cooler waters.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: GEZANI - Severe Tropical Storm
Tropical Cyclone Gezani
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 120 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 165 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 977 hPa.
Position on February 16 at 04:00 local time: 25.3 South / 41.4 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 1485 km to the WEST-SOUTHWEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1430 km to the SOUTH-SOUTHWEST sector
Movement: NORTHEAST, at 17 km/h.
System information:
- After reviewing the latest satellite data, GEZANI has remained a tropical cyclone. It continues its journey across the southern Mozambique Channel and is now located approximately 250 km off the southwest coast of Madagascar.
- GEZANI is expected to move northeast and then east until Monday morning, weakening to a strong tropical storm. However, its intensity could fluctuate with temporary re-intensifications. For example, on Monday evening it could re-intensify for a few hours into a tropical cyclone as it passes closest to land, at a distance of 50 to 100 km from the Malagasy coast.
The system is then expected to move south and then south-southwest from Tuesday onwards, gradually weakening. It could eventually lose its tropical characteristics around Thursday as it moves over cooler waters.
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 120 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 165 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 977 hPa.
Position on February 16 at 04:00 local time: 25.3 South / 41.4 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 1485 km to the WEST-SOUTHWEST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1430 km to the SOUTH-SOUTHWEST sector
Movement: NORTHEAST, at 17 km/h.
System information:
- After reviewing the latest satellite data, GEZANI has remained a tropical cyclone. It continues its journey across the southern Mozambique Channel and is now located approximately 250 km off the southwest coast of Madagascar.
- GEZANI is expected to move northeast and then east until Monday morning, weakening to a strong tropical storm. However, its intensity could fluctuate with temporary re-intensifications. For example, on Monday evening it could re-intensify for a few hours into a tropical cyclone as it passes closest to land, at a distance of 50 to 100 km from the Malagasy coast.
The system is then expected to move south and then south-southwest from Tuesday onwards, gradually weakening. It could eventually lose its tropical characteristics around Thursday as it moves over cooler waters.
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