EPAC: INVEST 90E

[cycloneye]

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_ep902012.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201211040001
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, EP, E, , , , , 90, 2012, DB, O, 2012110400, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , EP902012
EP, 90, 2012110300, , BEST, 0, 141N, 1100W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
EP, 90, 2012110306, , BEST, 0, 145N, 1100W, 25, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
EP, 90, 2012110312, , BEST, 0, 148N, 1100W, 25, 1008, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
EP, 90, 2012110318, , BEST, 0, 152N, 1099W, 25, 1007, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
EP, 90, 2012110400, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1098W, 25, 1007, LO

http://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inve ... 012.invest

[Kingarabian]

Yay!

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PST SUN NOV 4 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ROSA...LOCATED ABOUT 1045 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN
LUCAS MEXICO.

A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 330 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OFF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO.
SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE TODAY BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS BECOME UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT BY MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS
A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD TODAY AND
NORTHWARD BY MONDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

[Yellow Evan]

Will not be surprised to see this system form at all.

[Extratropical94]

Down to 30%.

1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 335 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND
THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM
HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED THIS MORNING AS STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS HAVE CAUSED THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO BECOME WELL
SEPARATED FROM THE LOW. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE APPEARS LESS LIKELY...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.