ATL: SANDY - Remnants - Discussion
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
Convection really starting to blow up on last sat loop
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well recon still says due north.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
Will the TWC pick up on this name? LOL Ha ha..back to normal operations....
This could be a really big problem for the East Coast if the models verify....
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
New microwave shows that despite Sandy gong thru Cuba,the structure looks good.
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cman station east of Biscayne bay is reporting 53mph winds.
and a ship east of the reporting sustained 43.
and a ship east of the reporting sustained 43.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
Does anyone know when that ULL to the west of Sandy is out of the picture?
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- alienstorm
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
And we just lost power in the Tamiami Airport Area
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
alienstorm wrote:And we just lost power in the Tamiami Airport Area
So much for no effects from Sandy!
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Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:cman station east of Biscayne bay is reporting 53mph winds.
and a ship east of the reporting sustained 43.
Between these reports and the loss of power at Taimiami Airport it sounds like we have some relatively strong winds approaching the SE coast of FL
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
942 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2012
VALID 12Z MON OCT 29 2012 - 12Z THU NOV 01 2012
...HIGH IMPACT MERGING OF ENERGETIC SYSTEMS ANTICIPATED OFF THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST...
PRELIMINARY UPDATE...
DESPITE A MODEST CLUSTER OF OUTLYING DETERMINISTIC SOLUTIONS AND
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS FROM THE VARIOUS MODELING CENTERS, THE LION'S
SHARE OF GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE SANDY WILL PASS CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE AMPLIFYING POLAR
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES TO BECOME INCORPORATED INTO
A HYBRID VORTEX OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST NEXT TUESDAY.
THE HIGH DEGREE OF BLOCKING FROM EASTERN NORTH AMERICA ACROSS THE
ENTIRE ATLANTIC BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW THIS UNUSUAL MERGER TO
TAKE PLACE, AND ONCE THE COMBINED GYRE MATERIALIZES, IT SHOULD
SETTLE BACK TOWARD THE INTERIOR NORTHEAST THROUGH HALLOWEEN,
INVITING PERHAPS A GHOULISH NICKNAME FOR THE CYCLONE ALONG THE
LINES OF "FRANKENSTORM", AN ALLUSION TO MARY SHELLEY'S GOTHIC
CREATURE OF SYNTHESIZED ELEMENTS.
AS IS OFTEN THE CASE, WHEN ONE PART OF THE NATION IS EXPERIENCING
A VERY ENERGETIC ATMOSPHERE DISTURBANCE, THE REMAINDER IS
RELATIVELY CALM. THIS EVENT SHOULD NOT PROVE THE EXCEPTION, WITH A
FAIRLY BENIGN FEED OF PACIFIC AIR INTO MOST OF THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL STATES. THE FAR WEST, PARTICULAR NORTH OF CALIFORNIA, WILL
HAVE ENOUGH SUSTAINED ONSHORE FLOW TO KEEP THE PERIOD WET AND
UNSETTLED.
CISCO
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussion ... isc=pmdepd
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
942 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2012
VALID 12Z MON OCT 29 2012 - 12Z THU NOV 01 2012
...HIGH IMPACT MERGING OF ENERGETIC SYSTEMS ANTICIPATED OFF THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST...
PRELIMINARY UPDATE...
DESPITE A MODEST CLUSTER OF OUTLYING DETERMINISTIC SOLUTIONS AND
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS FROM THE VARIOUS MODELING CENTERS, THE LION'S
SHARE OF GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE SANDY WILL PASS CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE AMPLIFYING POLAR
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES TO BECOME INCORPORATED INTO
A HYBRID VORTEX OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST NEXT TUESDAY.
THE HIGH DEGREE OF BLOCKING FROM EASTERN NORTH AMERICA ACROSS THE
ENTIRE ATLANTIC BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW THIS UNUSUAL MERGER TO
TAKE PLACE, AND ONCE THE COMBINED GYRE MATERIALIZES, IT SHOULD
SETTLE BACK TOWARD THE INTERIOR NORTHEAST THROUGH HALLOWEEN,
INVITING PERHAPS A GHOULISH NICKNAME FOR THE CYCLONE ALONG THE
LINES OF "FRANKENSTORM", AN ALLUSION TO MARY SHELLEY'S GOTHIC
CREATURE OF SYNTHESIZED ELEMENTS.
AS IS OFTEN THE CASE, WHEN ONE PART OF THE NATION IS EXPERIENCING
A VERY ENERGETIC ATMOSPHERE DISTURBANCE, THE REMAINDER IS
RELATIVELY CALM. THIS EVENT SHOULD NOT PROVE THE EXCEPTION, WITH A
FAIRLY BENIGN FEED OF PACIFIC AIR INTO MOST OF THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL STATES. THE FAR WEST, PARTICULAR NORTH OF CALIFORNIA, WILL
HAVE ENOUGH SUSTAINED ONSHORE FLOW TO KEEP THE PERIOD WET AND
UNSETTLED.
CISCO
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussion ... isc=pmdepd
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
Confused about where center really is now
Is that a Center - small spin just west of CDO (west of what loks like eye?) Is that eye rotating around another center.
Or -is that small spin - a ULL? (Near Cay Lobos, Cuba)
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=flash
Is that a Center - small spin just west of CDO (west of what loks like eye?) Is that eye rotating around another center.
Or -is that small spin - a ULL? (Near Cay Lobos, Cuba)
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=flash
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
anyone think they'll extend watches/warnings up the georiga coast? supposed to leave for savannah tomorrow and not sure what to do!
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
Indirect effects from Sandy with this big band in the Mona channel.I am watching it as it is inching closer to the west coast of PR. Saved loop.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
BULLETIN
HURRICANE SANDY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
200 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012
...CENTER OF SANDY MOVING BETWEEN LONG ISLAND AND GREAT EXUMA...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 75.4W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM E OF GREAT EXUMA ISLAND
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SE OF ELEUTHERA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES
HURRICANE SANDY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
200 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2012
...CENTER OF SANDY MOVING BETWEEN LONG ISLAND AND GREAT EXUMA...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 75.4W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM E OF GREAT EXUMA ISLAND
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SE OF ELEUTHERA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
fsusurfer wrote:anyone think they'll extend watches/warnings up the georiga coast? supposed to leave for savannah tomorrow and not sure what to do!
I wouldn't think they'll get TS warnings in Savannah. It's too far west. Wxman57 what do you think?
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
these guys are really biting on this west idea..nam and euro, gfs came west too a bit..sandy is clearly not going to be taking a very straight line through the duration of her life
BigJoeBastardi1 min
Hurricane conditions will batter fla coast from West Palm to Cape Canat times.I like ECMWF turn west and loop to within 100 miles of coast
RyanMaue16 mins
Not sold on #Sandy inner-core surviving much longer. Looking ragged, could become part of large gyre -- and orbit westward.
BigJoeBastardi1 min
Hurricane conditions will batter fla coast from West Palm to Cape Canat times.I like ECMWF turn west and loop to within 100 miles of coast
RyanMaue16 mins
Not sold on #Sandy inner-core surviving much longer. Looking ragged, could become part of large gyre -- and orbit westward.
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50mph gust KEy Biscayne
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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