ATL: SANDY - Remnants - Discussion

[SouthDadeFish]

the gusts just wont verify the winds are only 20 to 25 now and the storm is not getting much closer than it is right now.

Huh? Did you not see what I said earlier? There already have been numerous reports of gusts over 50 mph from the bands that moved through earlier. The bands that move through tomorrow could easily bring gusts over 60 mph to some parts in SE FL.

[SouthDadeFish]

50mph sustained winds at fowey rocks. few miles offshore Biscayne bay. numerous gusts in to the 50's all around south florida and some 60mph gust as well.

Keep in mind Fowey Rocks is 40m above sea level I believe, but yes they have been reporting high winds throughout the day.

Edit: Yes, the anemometer is 43m above sea level:

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=fwyf1

[lililing14]

Just trying to follow, what is being said.

I have a question, though:

How will everything look for the Orange County area, in NY?

[Aric Dunn]

50mph sustained winds at fowey rocks. few miles offshore Biscayne bay. numerous gusts in to the 50's all around south florida and some 60mph gust as well.

Keep in mind Fowey Rocks is 40m above sea level I believe, but yes they have been reporting high winds throughout the day.

yes its also measures 10m winds as well. doing a reduction its not much lower.. also there is a ship to the south about 50 miles reporting 69mph sustained.... the winds are there the convection is bringing at least some of it down.

[ROCK]

Just trying to follow, what is being said.

I have a question, though:

How will everything look for the Orange County area, in NY?

be prepared to lose power for some time....

[gatorcane]

the gusts just wont verify the winds are only 20 to 25 now and the storm is not getting much closer than it is right now.

Huh? Did you not see what I said earlier? There already have been numerous reports of gusts over 50 mph from the bands that moved through earlier. The bands that move through tomorrow could easily bring gusts over 60 mph to some parts in SE FL.

Boca I believe you are inland well away from the coast in boca? That could make a difference as the strongest winds are likely to be along the coast. Here in Delray near the coast, it's gusting tonight that's for sure more like 30 to 40mph. I was inland earlier and noticed it got much windier the farther east I got.

[Hurricaneman]

recon found a pressure of 963.9mb with 20kt winds which I believe would equate to 962mb which means this is starting to reintensify

[brunota2003]

Gust to 44 knots:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=LKWF1

Gust to 46 knots:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=pvgf1

Gust to 41 knots:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=vakf1

All of those are on the coast, and at some point this afternoon...and Sandy's windfield is still expanding.

[SouthDadeFish]

Gust to 44 knots:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=LKWF1

Gust to 46 knots:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=pvgf1

Gust to 41 knots:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=vakf1

All of those are on the coast, and at some point this afternoon...and Sandy's windfield is still expanding.

Even inland, at the NWS at FIU's campus, we had a gust to 38 knots as one of the bands went by.

[Macrocane]

Sandy is one of the most interesting storms I've seen since I started tracking tropical cyclones in 2005 unfortunately is one of the most dangerous too, could it break the record as the largest Atlantic tropical cyclone in terms of windfield?

[boca]

the gusts just wont verify the winds are only 20 to 25 now and the storm is not getting much closer than it is right now.

Huh? Did you not see what I said earlier? There already have been numerous reports of gusts over 50 mph from the bands that moved through earlier. The bands that move through tomorrow could easily bring gusts over 60 mph to some parts in SE FL.

Boca I believe you are inland well away from the coast in boca? That could make a difference as the strongest winds are likely to be along the coast. Here in Delray near the coast, it's gusting tonight that's for sure more like 30 to 40mph. I was inland earlier and noticed it got much windier the farther east I got.

Yes 441 and glades rd

[SouthDadeFish]

Recon is finding the pressure gradient is getting much more broad around Sandy's core, which is why the wind field is expanding. Not surprising that the flight level winds are much lower on this pass as well.

[brunota2003]

Flight and surface aren't stacked. Dropsonde at the flight level wind shift measured 35 knots of wind at the surface (971 mb).

[Aric Dunn]

Flight and surface aren't stacked. Dropsonde at the flight level wind shift measured 35 knots of wind at the surface (971 mb).

yeah shear is beginning to take a toll on it. overnight and tomorrow will be the worst for florida. it may end up swinging a little closer to the coast than expected. low level steering is more pronounced.

[SouthDadeFish]

Flight and surface aren't stacked. Dropsonde at the flight level wind shift measured 35 knots of wind at the surface (971 mb).

yeah shear is beginning to take a toll on it. overnight and tomorrow will be the worst for florida. it may end up swinging a little closer to the coast than expected. low level steering is more pronounced.

Low level center is east of mid level center? Winds out of the north at the surface from that dropsonde, suggesting the center of circulation would be east of that location.

[HurrMark]

It does appear that something is going on...it is looking a little more symmetrical on satellite but looks can be deceiving. Pressures continue to rise (up to 970 in the most recent pass) and flight level winds are not supportive of even a 90 mph storm. It would not shock me to see this drop to a strong TS by tomorrow night or Saturday...but I definitely don't see this fizzling out...probably will stay borderline TS/hurricane until landfall. And whether it's 70 or 75 or 80 at landfall won't make a hill of beans.

[Weatherguy173]

Yes 441 and glades rd

wholly crap, i have a place in boca west!

[boca]

Yes 441 and glades rd

wholly crap, i have a place in boca west!

We are neighbors and ironically Im from New Jersey originally.

[Weatherguy173]

Yes 441 and glades rd

wholly crap, i have a place in boca west!

We are neighbors and ironically Im from New Jersey originally.

residence is in NJ and PA, it's just a vacation place now.

[stephen23]

Do you think the Euro 00z run from last night was on to something last night? It had the pressure way up in this area and then dropped like a rock right before the North East bend?