ATL: ALBERTO - Post-Tropical

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CrazyC83
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#21 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat May 19, 2012 9:28 am

Is this system frontal or has it cut off?
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#22 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat May 19, 2012 9:52 am

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#23 Postby RL3AO » Sat May 19, 2012 9:54 am

Looks like an ELF to me (eye-like feature for the newbies). :lol:

I'm sure crazy is joining in on that old running joke.
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#24 Postby RL3AO » Sat May 19, 2012 9:55 am

I'm sure the core is warming pretty quickly now. Now is the water warm enough to keep convection going?
Last edited by RL3AO on Sat May 19, 2012 9:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Re:

#25 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat May 19, 2012 9:57 am

RL3AO wrote:
I'm sure the core is warming pretty quickly now. Now is the water warm enough to keep convection going?


currently sitting on the 25 to 26 c line. little farther south its all 26 to 27 little sw hits near 28 in the gulf stream
Last edited by RL3AO on Sat May 19, 2012 9:59 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#26 Postby tolakram » Sat May 19, 2012 10:09 am

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Re: Re:

#27 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat May 19, 2012 10:10 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
RL3AO wrote:
I'm sure the core is warming pretty quickly now. Now is the water warm enough to keep convection going?


currently sitting on the 25 to 26 c line. little farther south its all 26 to 27 little sw hits near 28 in the gulf stream



Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#28 Postby RL3AO » Sat May 19, 2012 10:11 am



That E/ESE shear might be about to expose the center.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#29 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat May 19, 2012 10:13 am

RL3AO wrote:


That E/ESE shear might be about to expose the center.



pretty sure its dry air slot. shear seems to be all out of the SW
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#30 Postby northjaxpro » Sat May 19, 2012 10:14 am

Definitely the convection is getting tucked pretty good into the tight low level circulation. 93L is looking better and better by the hour. This entity looks rather impressive currently.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#31 Postby RL3AO » Sat May 19, 2012 10:16 am

Aric Dunn wrote:pretty sure its dry air slot. shear seems to be all out of the SW


Yeah. Didn't look at the sat long enough. Saw too much into those high clouds over NC racing west.
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#32 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat May 19, 2012 10:17 am

This kinda resembles that derecho that formed in May 2009 in the mid-Mississippi Valley, although it is much weaker. It has that "hybrid" feel, doesn't look purely tropical and may even still have frontal characteristics.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#33 Postby NDG » Sat May 19, 2012 10:17 am

Interesting how the ecmwf somewhat had the forecast right if this forming but then somewhat dropped it while it jumped to it developing underneath the ULL east of the mid atlantic. The last few runs if the gfs was initiated with the low pressure 100 miles further offshore.
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#34 Postby Dean4Storms » Sat May 19, 2012 10:18 am

I'm sort of at a loss with NHC over this.
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#35 Postby brunota2003 » Sat May 19, 2012 10:21 am

No special PODs for Recon on this system, as of right now. Certainly interesting looking.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#36 Postby RL3AO » Sat May 19, 2012 10:22 am

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Re:

#37 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 19, 2012 10:23 am

Dean4Storms wrote:I'm sort of at a loss with NHC over this.


What do you mean by that?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L

#38 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 19, 2012 10:26 am

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Re:

#39 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat May 19, 2012 10:26 am

Dean4Storms wrote:I'm sort of at a loss with NHC over this.


Frontal/baroclinic lows don't get classified by the NHC.
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#40 Postby brunota2003 » Sat May 19, 2012 10:27 am

Looks to be drifting to the WSW at about 9 nautical miles per hour (roughly). Some of the storm tops on radar are up to 40,000 ft, per echo tops.

Also, the only frontal connections I can personally see is that it is in close proximity to the frontal surface low to it's NE, and is pulling clouds from it into the system.

Look frontal to you? Doesn't to me.

Image
Last edited by brunota2003 on Sat May 19, 2012 10:30 am, edited 2 times in total.
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