ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

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NDG
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#2221 Postby NDG » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:36 am

The GFS has company tonight, the CMC joins it.

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Last edited by NDG on Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:41 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2222 Postby NDG » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:37 am

So tonight so far, both the UKMET and CMC have shifted to the right.
With the CMC shifting to FL.
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#2223 Postby lebron23 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:44 am

00Z GFDL is in the Florida Panhandle
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#2224 Postby Jevo » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:45 am

0z Euro Initialized
PS the initialization always comes out about 10 mins before the rest of the runs.. so there's still about 10 mins
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Last edited by Jevo on Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:52 am, edited 3 times in total.
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#2225 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:45 am

EURO only has HWRF as company now, it's lost the support of GFDL and UKMET, after losing CMC support 24 hours ago...
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Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17

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#2226 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:48 am

And now, the main event starts:

Image
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Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17

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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2227 Postby bamajammer4eva » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:48 am

Debbie now has wobbled and needs to move WSW to get back on track

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#2228 Postby Lane » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:50 am

Can someone with a more trained eye tell me what that is coming down between AL and MISS. I see whatever some have been talking about of texas coast. But in the last few frames of the water vaper, looks like dry air and something wedging in?
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#2229 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:52 am

Damn the Euro makes me so fuzzy inside.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2230 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:54 am

fresh ascat

Image

Based on this, the NHC might be too far west.
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#2231 Postby Jevo » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:56 am

0z Euro +24
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2232 Postby vaffie » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:58 am

Ship in the vicinity just reported 40 knot sustained winds.
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ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2233 Postby cpdaman » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:59 am

seems like the NHC track is currently weighted heavily by euro as CMC has jumped shipped and other models moved east as well tonite. 0z euro rolling in next 20 min.

the nhc track stand the potential to shift the angle of debby's movement in the gulf which obviously would hold large implication for where she tracks.
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#2234 Postby Cyclenall » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:00 am

Well that's it for me, what an incredibly fascinating TS this is. Florida should watch out as the storms making their way on there are looking nasty. Wouldn't be surprised to see more tornado reports overnight over there.
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#2235 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:01 am

0zEuro is so far identical as 12z
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2236 Postby lebron23 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:01 am

AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST. A SLOW
NORTHWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
WESTWARD TURN TONIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING
. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF DEBBY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#2237 Postby Jevo » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:02 am

0z Euro +48
Image
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2238 Postby fci » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:02 am

windnrain wrote:Image

Please, PLEASE send it our way here in Texas....

WE NEED IT.


Wow, I hope you get your wish and the winds aren't too strong!
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#2239 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:03 am

Heading West again!
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#2240 Postby bamajammer4eva » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:04 am

Jevo wrote:0z Euro +48
[img]http://img826.imageshack.us/img826/121/usaprmslmsl048i.gif

Is a trend to the right vs 24 hrs ago FWIW

Current view 48 hrs out
http://instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF-php ... l&hour=048

Yesterdays 72 hr forecast
http://instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF-php ... l&hour=072
Last edited by bamajammer4eva on Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
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