ATL: SANDY - Remnants - Discussion

[summersquall]

Brigantine is just north of Atlantic City.

[Weatherguy173]

Does anyone has a graphic of New Jersey to see where Brigantine Island is located?

it's not to long a ways north of Atlantic City. It's very close to it. (i missed the post above)

[CronkPSU]

is this the kind of storm that can create new islands and channels and alter geography like what happened with Assateague and others in years past?

[SouthernBreeze]

is this the kind of storm that can create new islands and channels and alter geography like what happened with Assateague and others in years past?

I'm sure it could - Hugo did that here, and there's going to be a lot more long-term surge associated with this storm!

[ROCK]

I was in IKE's surge a full day before it arrived in Galveston. I literally watch the water pour into the street and rise 1 foot in 10 minutes. It was at that point I decided it was time to get off the island. Some people are making a mistake by not evacing so close to the coast.

[cycloneye]

http://i50.tinypic.com/1zl6oie.jpg
Brigantine is just north of Atlantic City.

Oh my,all those people there. Thank you for posting that great graphic.

[ROCK]

those folks need to get a marker and write down their SS# on their body somewhere. you run from the surge and hide from the wind. These folks are not doing either...

[ozonepete]

Does anyone has a graphic of New Jersey to see where Brigantine Island is located?

Here, Luis. At the circled A, to give you the wide perspective...

[brunota2003]

Mark was going to try to set his equipment up on Long Beach Island, had clearance from the local police, and then they closed it off because conditions were getting too dangerous. This is the same Island those 9500 are on. That island is sealed up.

And no, Mark is not on the island. He is well inland, charging equipment up for tomorrow, so he is safe.

Edit: My bad. That island is south of the one Mark wanted to set up on. Either way, the islands are all sealed up, from what I understand.

[HurrMark]

I am noticing that the track of 'Sandy' is somewhat east of the forecast...at 11 AM today, it was expected to be at 34.0/71.3 at 8 PM and last night it was 34.1/71.4, yet it is at 70.5 and closing in on 70W as we speak. I wonder if this would have an impact on the track (perhaps slightly north of the forecast)?

[cycloneye]

Does anyone has a graphic of New Jersey to see where Brigantine Island is located?

Here, Luis. At the circled A, to give you the wide perspective...

http://i189.photobucket.com/albums/z174 ... dnjmap.jpg

Thank you oz. The forecast track is just south of that island.

[stephen23]

Looks like Sandy is about to make her nw turn.

[PTPatrick]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... e#contents


Looks like surge map was updated again. Manhattan is solidly into the 11-13 foot area. But they've upped some areas along the NJ "elbow" area to 13-15 and even some areas to 15-17 around new Brunswick...tats huge for this area.

[summersquall]

You are welcome Luis. My mom who lives in Rincon, PR and Singer Island, FL is stranded in a hotel in DC this weekend. Pretty ironic. She missed Sandy in FL only to meet up with her in DC.

My thoughts are with all who will be affected in the coming days as well as with the families/friends of the 65 who have already lost their lives in the Caribbean.

[ozonepete]

Does anyone has a graphic of New Jersey to see where Brigantine Island is located?

Here, Luis. At the circled A, to give you the wide perspective...

http://i189.photobucket.com/albums/z174 ... dnjmap.jpg

Thank you oz. The forecast track is just south of that island.

You're welcome. Yes. And even if the center comes onshore 50 miles north of there the island will still get inundated by very high tides and seas anyway. Really sad that they didn't leave. I know that island - have been there. It's as flat as a pancake. I would never want to be there in this situation.

[IntheEye]

ozone nice map but you have that center of sandy that far north into nj most forcasts are now saying southern new jersey yoy know something that we dont?

I have said since Thursday evening, given the model output, the center comes ashore between Long Beach Island and Sandy Hook. But landfall anywhere from Atlantic City northward to NYC will be devastating at the coast from central Jersey to most of Long Island. Just does not look very hopeful.

Hey Ozonepete, the NHC track seems to take Sandy just south of Atlantic City. Do you still stand by your earlier thoughts? Thanks for your input

[ROCK]

Buoy 44009

sustained 43 mph gusts to 54 mph

wave heights up to 22ft....

[Weatherguy173]

if anyone knows where essex county is in new jersey, do you think the power will be lost?

[ozonepete]

ozone nice map but you have that center of sandy that far north into nj most forcasts are now saying southern new jersey yoy know something that we dont?

I have said since Thursday evening, given the model output, the center comes ashore between Long Beach Island and Sandy Hook. But landfall anywhere from Atlantic City northward to NYC will be devastating at the coast from central Jersey to most of Long Island. Just does not look very hopeful.

Hey Ozonepete, the NHC track seems to take Sandy just south of Atlantic City. Do you still stand by your earlier thoughts? Thanks for your input

Actually if you look closely the have landfall just north of Atlantic City. But I still think they are too far south, though not by much. The models all have it further north around the central to north Jersey coast. And I don't know what their reasoning is since they aren't saying. In the end it won't make much difference because the center will be fairly broad and anywhere from 50 miles to the south of dead center to 150 north and east of it will have very serious damage from the storm surge and waves on top of it.

[brunota2003]

if anyone knows where essex county is in new jersey, do you think the power will be lost?

Most definitely. I wouldn't be surprised if the whole state of NJ loses power at some point.