ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

[artist]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1127 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...DELRAY BEACH...BOYNTON BEACH...BOCA
RATON...

* UNTIL NOON EDT

* AT 1126 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR BOCA
RATON...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

THIS STORM IS ALSO CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
DELRAY BEACH...
VILLAGE OF GOLF...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

[jinftl]

Any further adjustments east and the ts warning for LA coast could probably be dropped. AL/MS border may be as far west as warnings ever need to go.

[tolakram]

The low level cloud product clears up the center issue a bit.

http://www.esl.lsu.edu/animate/goes/ind ... channel=lc

Very big, and is it re-organizing to the west now?

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1118 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS EXPANDED EASTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE
RIVER...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN IMPACTING THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...

.NEW INFORMATION...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXPANDED EASTWARD. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER ENTRANCE
WESTWARD ACROSS THE ENTIRE FLORIDA BIG BEND.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND...AS WELL AS THE GULF OF
MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE
RIVER.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...COASTAL JEFFERSON...COASTAL WAKULLA...COASTAL TAYLOR
AND COASTAL DIXIE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTH WALTON...COASTAL BAY...COASTAL GULF AND COASTAL FRANKLIN.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO THE
OCHLOCKONEE RIVER ENTRANCE OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR
ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...OR 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST. THIS
WAS ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FL...OR ABOUT 150
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FL. STORM MOTION WAS
NORTHEAST AT 6 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 60 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY IS MOVING LITTLE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
OF MEXICO THIS MORNING. WITH THE SYSTEM NEARLY STALLED...STRONG
RAIN BANDS WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
COASTAL AREAS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE THROUGHOUT THE
DAY...AND POSSIBLY INTO MONDAY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING THE STORM...STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. DO NOT
VENTURE OUTSIDE WHEN HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR DURING TEMPORARY
LULLS AS FLYING DEBRIS CAN EASILY...AND SUDDENLY...CAUSE SERIOUS
INJURY.

HAVE A WELL-CHARGED CELL PHONE NEARBY...KEEPING NETWORK
COMMUNICATIONS AS OPEN AS POSSIBLE FOR EMERGENCIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR SMALL CRAFT WHO FAILED TO MAKE IT TO SAFE HARBOR OR PORT...
AND ARE NOW IN DISTRESS...RADIO YOUR SITUATION ACCORDING TO
MARITIME PROTOCOL. IF APPROPRIATE...DEPLOY YOUR EMERGENCY
DISTRESS BEACON. ENSURE THAT EVERYONE IS WEARING LIFE JACKETS.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.

GMZ750-755-770-775-251530-
/O.CON.KTAE.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1118 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD BE IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO ELEVATE SEAS TO AS MUCH 15 TO 17 FEET...ESPECIALLY WELL
OFFSHORE.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME OF THE STRONGEST STORMS WITHIN
THE MOST INTENSE BANDS TO PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS.

$$

[Jevo]

12z GFS +24 CONUS

[Kingarabian]

+24 hours...

Looks somewhat stationary.

[Annie Oakley]

URNT15 KNHC 241527
AF302 0204A DEBBY3 HDOB 34 20120624
151000 2831N 08744W 8124 01840 //// +136 //// 032047 049 038 002 01
151030 2830N 08745W 8115 01844 //// +134 //// 030048 049 037 003 01
151100 2828N 08745W 8122 01841 //// +129 //// 029047 049 038 001 05
151130 2826N 08746W 8118 01844 //// +134 //// 032048 050 035 002 01
151200 2824N 08747W 8119 01843 //// +135 //// 026047 049 033 002 01
151230 2822N 08747W 8121 01844 //// +141 //// 025046 048 034 002 01
151300 2820N 08748W 8115 01847 //// +143 //// 026047 049 034 002 01
151330 2818N 08749W 8115 01849 //// +145 //// 026046 047 033 002 01
151400 2816N 08750W 8123 01843 //// +142 //// 024042 047 032 003 01
151430 2814N 08750W 8115 01851 //// +140 //// 024043 044 035 001 01
151500 2812N 08751W 8124 01841 //// +145 //// 024045 045 035 002 01
151530 2810N 08752W 8121 01843 //// +144 //// 024046 047 034 002 01
151600 2808N 08752W 8115 01848 //// +145 //// 024044 045 033 001 01
151630 2806N 08753W 8119 01843 //// +142 //// 019041 043 030 001 01
151700 2805N 08753W 8120 01842 //// +142 //// 016039 040 030 001 01
151730 2802N 08753W 8122 01841 //// +147 //// 017039 040 028 002 01
151800 2801N 08754W 8120 01844 //// +143 //// 013038 040 028 002 01
151830 2759N 08754W 8118 01844 //// +136 //// 014037 037 027 003 01
151900 2757N 08754W 8121 01844 //// +139 //// 010036 037 025 001 01
151930 2755N 08754W 8117 01847 //// +137 //// 003034 035 024 003 01
$$

[Kingarabian]

+33 hours moving NE.

[tolakram]

Heading home Annie

[Annie Oakley]

000
URNT15 KNHC 241529
AF302 0204A DEBBY3 HDOB 35 20120624
152000 2753N 08754W 8118 01844 //// +135 //// 357034 035 025 002 01
152030 2751N 08753W 8121 01843 //// +133 //// 358032 033 021 002 01
152100 2749N 08753W 8119 01846 //// +131 //// 010033 034 024 003 01
152130 2747N 08753W 8119 01846 //// +129 //// 006036 038 026 004 01
152200 2745N 08753W 8113 01852 //// +130 //// 010039 042 031 003 01
152230 2743N 08753W 8110 01854 //// +127 //// 017044 045 028 005 01
152300 2741N 08753W 8119 01847 //// +136 //// 016043 044 024 003 01
152330 2739N 08753W 8122 01846 //// +137 //// 013038 042 023 001 01
152400 2737N 08753W 8118 01850 //// +137 //// 015041 042 024 002 01
152430 2735N 08753W 8126 01842 //// +132 //// 011042 044 024 002 01
152500 2733N 08753W 8119 01849 //// +132 //// 005039 041 013 003 01
152530 2731N 08752W 8117 01850 //// +135 //// 006038 039 019 001 01
152600 2730N 08752W 8117 01849 //// +139 //// 010042 044 020 002 01
152630 2728N 08751W 8122 01844 //// +138 //// 008040 044 023 001 01
152700 2726N 08750W 8120 01844 //// +137 //// 007038 040 023 001 01
152730 2724N 08749W 8115 01848 //// +141 //// 011042 044 022 001 01
152800 2722N 08749W 8121 01842 //// +140 //// 012044 045 021 002 01
152830 2721N 08748W 8117 01846 //// +137 //// 003042 045 019 003 01
152900 2719N 08747W 8114 01848 //// +138 //// 360041 041 020 002 01
152930 2717N 08746W 8122 01838 //// +145 //// 009044 045 021 002 01
$$

[Annie Oakley]

Ha ha Mark! Glad you are here to interpret for me.......thanks.

[wxman57]

Sure don't like the 11am forecast track one bit....sill have a few day to worry though as Debby don't seem to be in any hurry. I wonder if the NHC has forgotten the Mississippi Coast exists as there are no watchs or warnings and Debby is forecast to pass not too far south of me.....MGC

You should be fine. NHC doesn't like to make HUGE track shifts all at once. They'll likely adjust the track to the FL Panhandle this afternoon and maybe even east of Apalachicola this evening. You won't get much of anything in Pass Christian. Debby is just too far NE now to take a west track into the ridge toward New Orleans.

[Jevo]

12z GFS +36 CONUS (Hello Big Bend)

[Dean4Storms]

The low level cloud product clears up the center issue a bit.

http://www.esl.lsu.edu/animate/goes/ind ... channel=lc

Very big, and is it re-organizing to the west now?

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Center still moving northward maybe NNE from what I see.

Debby is going to weaken unless convection begins to refire closer to the center. I'm not all impressed with the appearance right now.

[Dave]

Ha ha Mark! Glad you are here to interpret for me.......thanks.

Thanks Annie..great job!

[Buck]

I know there is some disappointment at the prospect of this missing Texas and them not receiving the much needed rain. But if this does continue northeast, at least Georgia will get some rain out of it... parts of GA are pretty drought-ridden so far this year (not as bad as TX, though).

[Nimbus]

Elena '85 was a well developed hurricane that came screaming east towards Tampa before abruptly stalling just off the coast then doing a complete 180 eventually making landfall in LA. Debbie is a sheared system that may respond differently to the steering. The NHC obviously is concerned there will be enough energy left with the LLC to get steered back west.

[Kingarabian]

Landfall in +39 hours folks.

[artist]

according to radar there is a tornado warning also for just south of Naples that has not posted yet - just a thumbs up if indeed it is real.
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[jlauderdal]

Miami really dodged the rainfall bullet. Sun is out here. Hang in there our brother Floridians up the peninsula. Still, tornados even down here in Boca

pouring in broward all morning per my earlier pics, the sun will help to charge the atmosphere