ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 241614
AF302 0204A DEBBY3 HDOB 39 20120624
160000 2741N 08636W 8117 01775 //// +156 //// 295026 029 027 002 01
160030 2742N 08634W 8121 01770 //// +161 //// 290018 023 026 002 01
160100 2743N 08633W 8119 01773 //// +165 //// 287014 016 025 002 01
160130 2744N 08632W 8117 01773 //// +169 //// 289013 014 027 001 01
160200 2745N 08630W 8117 01774 //// +170 //// 294013 013 026 002 01
160230 2747N 08629W 8121 01768 //// +173 //// 292012 012 023 002 01
160300 2748N 08628W 8120 01769 //// +175 //// 292012 013 020 002 01
160330 2749N 08626W 8117 01771 //// +173 //// 295013 014 018 002 01
160400 2750N 08625W 8118 01770 //// +174 //// 292015 015 014 002 01
160430 2751N 08624W 8119 01766 //// +175 //// 293017 017 009 003 01
160500 2753N 08622W 8118 01770 //// +175 //// 284018 018 006 001 01
160530 2754N 08621W 8117 01773 //// +179 //// 280017 018 004 002 01
160600 2755N 08620W 8115 01774 //// +181 //// 290018 019 004 003 01
160630 2757N 08619W 8122 01766 //// +183 //// 293018 019 005 003 01
160700 2758N 08619W 8117 01770 //// +179 //// 294016 017 002 002 05
160730 2800N 08618W 8118 01768 //// +181 //// 297016 017 000 004 05
160800 2802N 08618W 8119 01767 //// +182 //// 300016 017 001 002 01
160830 2803N 08617W 8121 01763 //// +182 //// 309013 015 004 002 05
160900 2804N 08616W 8117 01767 //// +185 //// 319009 012 003 004 01
160930 2806N 08615W 8123 01759 //// +180 //// 329007 009 003 002 05
$$
;

[Dave]

I've got the 4th pass on obs unless you want to continue Annie? Either way I'll grab the graphics for it.

[mutley]

looks to me she is shearing out now...maybe have better luck on the other side.....

What do you mean by "shearing out"?

decoupling....MLC from the LLC

Looking at the cloud top temps and storm intensity, it looks like something just happened. Temporarily anyway.

[BobHarlem]

Looks like power outages are spreading https://www.progress-energy.com/app/out ... orida.aspx

All of the barrier islands off Apalachicola seem to be out of power.

[artist]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1220 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WEST PALM BEACH...RIVIERA BEACH...
LAKE WORTH...

* UNTIL 1245 PM EDT

* AT 1220 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR LAKE
WORTH...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.


* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
LAKE WORTH...
PALM BEACH...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

[Dave]

[artist]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1219 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN HIGHLANDS COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 100 PM EDT

* AT 1219 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO NEAR ARCHBOLD...OR 12 MILES SOUTH OF LAKE PLACID...MOVING
NORTH AT 35 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
ARCHBOLD...VENUS.
LAKE PLACID.
LAKE ISTOKPOGA.
SEBRING REGIONAL AIRPORT.
AVON PARK AIR FORCE RANGE.

[Annie Oakley]

000
URNT15 KNHC 241620
AF302 0204A DEBBY3 HDOB 40 20120624
161000 2807N 08614W 8118 01764 //// +179 //// 306005 007 003 001 01
161030 2808N 08612W 8119 01762 //// +181 //// 299005 006 004 000 05
161100 2809N 08611W 8119 01760 //// +182 //// 333001 004 001 003 05
161130 2811N 08610W 8117 01762 //// +185 //// 045002 002 002 002 01
161200 2812N 08609W 8119 01759 //// +183 //// 046004 005 001 002 05
161230 2813N 08608W 8119 01758 //// +180 //// 051005 005 000 003 05
161300 2814N 08607W 8118 01760 //// +178 //// 068007 007 /// /// 05
161330 2816N 08605W 8118 01760 //// +173 //// 062008 008 001 003 05
161400 2817N 08604W 8120 01758 //// +177 //// 079009 010 004 001 01
161430 2818N 08603W 8119 01759 //// +172 //// 091011 011 006 003 01
161500 2819N 08602W 8121 01762 //// +172 //// 099012 013 007 002 01
161530 2820N 08600W 8118 01762 //// +170 //// 112013 015 010 002 01
161600 2821N 08559W 8117 01765 //// +170 //// 118015 016 015 004 01
161630 2823N 08558W 8115 01768 //// +156 //// 122017 018 019 005 01
161700 2824N 08557W 8123 01762 //// +167 //// 131017 018 017 005 01
161730 2825N 08555W 8118 01767 //// +170 //// 134016 016 013 002 01
161800 2826N 08554W 8119 01767 //// +168 //// 136016 017 013 001 01
161830 2827N 08553W 8121 01765 //// +166 //// 132017 018 011 001 01
161900 2829N 08552W 8117 01771 //// +168 //// 135019 019 011 003 01
161930 2830N 08550W 8121 01769 //// +170 //// 142019 020 009 004 01
$$

[CrazyC83]

Tornado probs are 50/40. A few strong tornadoes may break from the most intense cells.

SEL2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 422
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1145 AM UNTIL 800
PM EDT.

TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH OF SAINT
PETERSBURG FLORIDA TO 45 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES FLORIDA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 421...

DISCUSSION...TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO BE INCREASING STEADILY WITH
EXPANSIVE OUTER ENVELOPE OF TS DEBBY...PER SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION
1258...WITH GREATEST INSTABILITY OVER SRN FL AND MOST FAVORABLE
KINEMATIC FIELDS OVER CENTRAL/WRN PENINSULA. REFER TO NHC
ADVISORIES FOR LATEST GUIDANCE ON TRACK...INTENSITY AND TROPICAL
WATCH/WARNING INFORMATION REGARDING DEBBY.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREME
TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI
WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 18035.


...EDWARDS

[StormTracker]

Looks like we're gonna be looking at a sit-and-spin storm for the next few days unless some more totally unexpected events occur!

[brunota2003]

Hm...what if the models are picking up on two different things? What if the upper half of Debby decouples and shoots NE over Florida while leaving behind the LLC of Debby? Wouldn't the LLC then drift/move westward as the ridge builds back in behind the trough? What a forecast nightmare that would create, though.

[Annie Oakley]

000
UZNT13 KNHC 241623
XXAA 74168 99282 70862 08186 99994 26600 00511 00558 ///// /////
92632 23600 03509 85370 20827 01009 88999 77999
31313 09608 81611
61616 AF302 0204A DEBBY OB 19
62626 EYE SPL 2816N08617W 1614 MBL WND 01511 AEV 20802 DLM WND 01
509 993812 WL150 01011 084 REL 2817N08617W 161115 SPG 2816N08617W
161302 =
XXBB 74168 99282 70862 08186 00994 26600 11850 20827 22822 20241
33812 /////
21212 00994 00511 11921 04010 22909 01511 33850 01009 44812 05502
31313 09608 81611
61616 AF302 0204A DEBBY OB 19
62626 EYE SPL 2816N08617W 1614 MBL WND 01511 AEV 20802 DLM WND 01
509 993812 WL150 01011 084 REL 2817N08617W 161115 SPG 2816N08617W
161302 =
;

[Aquawind]

Tornado probs are 50/40. A few strong tornadoes may break from the most intense cells.

SEL2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 422
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 AM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1145 AM UNTIL 800
PM EDT.

TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH OF SAINT
PETERSBURG FLORIDA TO 45 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES FLORIDA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 421...

DISCUSSION...TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO BE INCREASING STEADILY WITH
EXPANSIVE OUTER ENVELOPE OF TS DEBBY...PER SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION
1258...WITH GREATEST INSTABILITY OVER SRN FL AND MOST FAVORABLE
KINEMATIC FIELDS OVER CENTRAL/WRN PENINSULA. REFER TO NHC
ADVISORIES FOR LATEST GUIDANCE ON TRACK...INTENSITY AND TROPICAL
WATCH/WARNING INFORMATION REGARDING DEBBY.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREME
TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI
WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 18035.


...EDWARDS

Finaly!!!! They Have failed and are wayy to late with this!!! Warnings all over down here!!! I called them and emailed them! Also spoke with Tom in Tampa NWS.

[Dave]

[CrazyC83]

Based on recent dropsonde, pressure is likely 993mb.

[StarmanHDB]

Tornado Warning

TORNADO WARNING
FLC099-241645-
/O.NEW.KMFL.TO.W.0023.120624T1620Z-120624T1645Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1220 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WEST PALM BEACH...RIVIERA BEACH...
LAKE WORTH...

* UNTIL 1245 PM EDT

* AT 1220 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR LAKE
WORTH...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.


* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
LAKE WORTH...
PALM BEACH...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...AWAY FROM
EXTERIOR WALLS AND WINDOWS. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF
STURDY FURNITURE. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHERN FLORIDA.

&&

LAT...LON 2658 8004 2657 8011 2686 8014 2685 8004
2684 8004 2680 8003 2663 8003 2662 8004
2661 8003 2660 8004 2659 8003
TIME...MOT...LOC 1621Z 191DEG 15KT 2663 8006

$$

GREGORIA

[windnrain]

Man...

Getting supper bummed in Texas.

[Annie Oakley]

Sorry-just saw this.....you can go ahead with all of it-don't know how you do it........thanks!
Those pics are making my head spin ha ha

[LSU2001]

Hi All,
First and foremost I am a complete idiot when talking about these things but on the visible link it looks like the northeast side is starting to flatten out a bit. Could this be some indication that the high is starting to build in and pushing on the storm?
Tim
LINK: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-vis.html

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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[marciacubed]

I am in eastern Boynton Beach and we have had a tremendous thunder and light show with copious amounts of rain for the last hour.