ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

[Dave]

[Riptide]

Sigh....Debby is not going to dissipate into oblivion; it's just a weakening phase per se. She is also spinning over the same area of the ocean resulting in unfavorable atmospheric dynamics and cooling sea surface temperatures.

[Dave]

I'll pick up the end of this one Crazy, thanks!

[Dave]

000
UZNT13 KNHC 250528
XXAA 75048 99271 70868 08176 99002 25412 28031 00017 25211 28031
92700 21006 31040 85430 ///// 30536 88999 77999
31313 09608 80351
61616 AF302 0304A DEBBY OB 19
62626 SPL 2709N08681W 0353 MBL WND 29034 AEV 20802 DLM WND 30537
001844 WL150 28533 083 REL 2710N08683W 035121 SPG 2709N08681W 035
336 =
XXBB 75048 99271 70868 08176 00002 25412 11858 18203 22850 15801
33844 /////
21212 00002 28031 11901 31542 22857 31036 33844 30035
31313 09608 80351
61616 AF302 0304A DEBBY OB 19
62626 SPL 2709N08681W 0353 MBL WND 29034 AEV 20802 DLM WND 30537
001844 WL150 28533 083 REL 2710N08683W 035121 SPG 2709N08681W 035
336 =
;

[ROCK]

you win some you lose some...in this case me, the NHC and many others took the solution that the majority of the models showed...It was the right call at the time.....disappointed? not really.....next storm I will be back hugging the EURO.....

[Fyzn94]

Pressure up to 993 Mbar, winds still 60 mph.

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 250535
AF302 0304A DEBBY HDOB 45 20120625
052830 2939N 08703W 8432 01499 0025 +160 +160 061044 045 026 004 01
052900 2940N 08705W 8428 01506 0024 +160 +160 061045 046 026 004 01
052930 2942N 08707W 8429 01505 0025 +165 +162 061047 047 027 005 00
053000 2943N 08708W 8426 01510 0030 +160 +160 060044 047 027 004 01
053030 2945N 08710W 8430 01507 0030 +160 +160 060040 041 025 004 01
053100 2946N 08712W 8430 01506 0030 +160 +160 063042 043 026 004 01
053130 2947N 08713W 8428 01511 0030 +164 +160 061043 044 026 003 00
053200 2949N 08715W 8429 01509 0032 +163 +160 063043 044 026 004 00
053230 2950N 08717W 8436 01505 0033 +164 +158 063044 044 023 003 00
053300 2952N 08718W 8432 01511 0031 +172 +155 056043 044 022 003 03
053330 2952N 08720W 8429 01518 0035 +170 +157 053041 044 019 003 00
053400 2953N 08722W 8427 01518 0036 +169 +154 054040 040 020 004 00
053430 2954N 08725W 8430 01516 0037 +169 +155 051042 042 019 004 00
053500 2955N 08727W 8366 01584 0039 +166 +158 048042 043 017 003 00
053530 2955N 08729W 8387 01565 0040 +165 +157 047041 043 019 003 00
053600 2956N 08731W 8381 01571 0041 +165 +158 046043 043 018 003 00
053630 2957N 08734W 8381 01571 0039 +170 +151 047045 046 020 002 00
053700 2958N 08736W 8383 01569 0041 +170 +152 048044 045 019 001 00
053730 2958N 08738W 8382 01572 0044 +166 +155 050043 044 008 004 00
053800 2959N 08740W 8383 01572 0045 +166 +148 049043 044 009 003 00
$$
;

[Dave]

000
URNT11 KNHC 250531
97779 05304 20297 87208 15200 06041 1616/ /2438
RMK AF302 0304A DEBBY OB 23
SWS = 23 KTS
OUTBOUND NW LAST REPORT
;

[Dave]

The next one will depart at 6:45 AM EDT or 5:45 CDT.

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71 --
A. 25/1200,1800Z
B. AFXXX 0404A CYCLONE
C. 25/1045Z
D. 27.5N 88.2W
E. 25/1100Z TO 25/1800Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

G'night!

[ROCK]

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/

naked swirl?

[South Texas Storms]

:lol: you win some you lose some...in this case me, the NHC and many others took the solution that the majority of the models showed...It was the right call at the time.....disappointed? not really.....next storm I will be back hugging the EURO.....

You're not disappointed that we aren't gonna get any rain from this? I was really hoping for some rain and cooler temps from this system.

[mcheer23]

:lol: you win some you lose some...in this case me, the NHC and many others took the solution that the majority of the models showed...It was the right call at the time.....disappointed? not really.....next storm I will be back hugging the EURO.....

You're not disappointed that we aren't gonna get any rain from this? I was really hoping for some rain and cooler temps from this system.

We are not even a full month into Hurricane Season and already have 4 storms. Hopefully there will be others that will provide us with rain and cooler temps. Being optimistic is the way to go

[ROCK]

Sigh....Debby is not going to dissipate into oblivion; it's just a weakening phase per se. She is also spinning over the same area of the ocean resulting in unfavorable atmospheric dynamics and cooling sea surface temperatures.

if you have no fuel for the car its not going to start..... no doubt upwelling, shear and dry air are taking a toll....

[crimi481]

Pretty impresive data - being Venice Buoy is pretty far from center of storm

Wind Speed (WSPD): 29.0 kts
Wind Gust (GST): 32 kts
Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.73 in

[ROCK]

:lol: you win some you lose some...in this case me, the NHC and many others took the solution that the majority of the models showed...It was the right call at the time.....disappointed? not really.....next storm I will be back hugging the EURO.....

You're not disappointed that we aren't gonna get any rain from this? I was really hoping for some rain and cooler temps from this system.

that would have been nice since temps progged this week are above 100F.....IMO this is not the last GOM threat this year.....

[wkwally]

What will the conditions be affecting Debbie the next couple of days

[fci]

I know things can change but this is painful to look at. I've seen TD's and waves look better than this.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-avn.html

I agree.
This looks like $#@% with the main convection moving off the Florida East Coast while she sits somewhat naked in The Gulf.
Possible hurricane, people ask?
How about possible Tropical Depression soon!
I mean Debby wreaked havoc with feeder bands all through Florida today and we've had rain down here (Palm Beach County) for a few days and tornadoes this morning, but this one has been a weird one with forecast to the West and now almost a 180. Models sure were not the NHC's friend on this one!!!

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[mcheer23]

Whether this storm is weak or strong, Florida will still see very very heavy rain and wind...the panhandle saw almost 2 feet from the storm around june 10th..

[Fego]

Huge change in the 00z euro run. It takes Debby toward central Florida with a SE movement at 120 hrs.
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... _loop.html

[Kingarabian]

Yawwwps Euro is out.