ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

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#3601 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jun 25, 2012 1:32 am

Well the Euro has officially gave in to the GFS, and takes this EAST into Florida.

However, the Euro has Debbie much much stronger than the GFS after landfall.
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#3602 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jun 25, 2012 1:37 am

Euro bombing Debbie @ 168 hours

http://i.imgur.com/mbiEg.gif
Last edited by Kingarabian on Mon Jun 25, 2012 1:38 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3603 Postby Fego » Mon Jun 25, 2012 1:37 am

If this run (00Z) verifies, that would be a blowout to remember.
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#3604 Postby Riptide » Mon Jun 25, 2012 1:40 am

Kingarabian wrote:Euro bombing Debbie @ 168 hours

http://i.imgur.com/mbiEg.gif

959mb?
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Re: Re:

#3605 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jun 25, 2012 1:40 am

Riptide wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:Euro bombing Debbie @ 168 hours

http://i.imgur.com/mbiEg.gif

959mb?

:double:
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#3606 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jun 25, 2012 1:47 am

The Euro continues bombing Debbie @ 192 hours. Down to 953 Mbars

http://i.imgur.com/75o43.gif

Euro brings Debbie close to the Carolina's.
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#3607 Postby Hammy » Mon Jun 25, 2012 1:47 am

looking at the latest satellite this is reminding me of Dennis in 1999 off the Carolinas, where upwelling dry air and shear stripped it of its convection and it just swirled around with low clouds for days and days as a hybrid
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3608 Postby Riptide » Mon Jun 25, 2012 1:53 am

Image
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#3609 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jun 25, 2012 1:54 am

Well something happened with the 216hr run, but it keeps Debby off the east coast.

Riptide took care of it^ :D
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#3610 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jun 25, 2012 1:59 am

@240Hrs Euro has a 950Mb Hurricane racing NE. Possible Canada threat?

Dittos the GFS 00z run except it has a much stronger storm.

http://i.imgur.com/KTsos.gif
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3611 Postby Riptide » Mon Jun 25, 2012 2:00 am

That was quite the 0z run from the Euro, and it doesn't pass safely off the East Coast until next week. We will be tracking Debby for light years.

Edit: Looks like it would brush Cape Cod and crash into Canada.
Last edited by Riptide on Mon Jun 25, 2012 2:02 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3612 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jun 25, 2012 2:01 am

Riptide wrote:That was quite the 0z run from the Euro, and it doesn't pass safely off the East Coast until next week. We will be tracking Debby for light years.

Yeah for another 2 weeks. Sigh.

I get to eat imgur.com's bandwith with more posts of model runs - MUAHAHAHA!
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3613 Postby Riptide » Mon Jun 25, 2012 2:06 am

Kingarabian wrote:
Riptide wrote:That was quite the 0z run from the Euro, and it doesn't pass safely off the East Coast until next week. We will be tracking Debby for light years.

Yeah for another 2 weeks. Sigh.

I get to eat imgur.com's bandwith with more posts of model runs - MUAHAHAHA!

lol, watch it just dissipate now....

The euro shows central pressure rising up until landfall so apparently it's seeing what is occuring right now.
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#3614 Postby Cainer » Mon Jun 25, 2012 2:11 am

I love it when sub-950 mbar hurricanes are directed right at me! :lol: In all fairness, that was a crazy Euro run... Good for entertainment, and that's about it. Can't see anything get that strong over the Gulf stream in June, even with ideal atmospheric conditions. It's been gloomy, cold and damp for the past several days here in Nova Scotia, and I don't want a tropical system knocking on my doorstep anytime soon.
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#3615 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Jun 25, 2012 2:19 am

Yeah I'm pretty sure the NHC will just follow the GFS's solution if it had to choose.
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Re:

#3616 Postby Cyclenall » Mon Jun 25, 2012 2:23 am

Kingarabian wrote:@240Hrs Euro has a 950Mb Hurricane racing NE. Possible Canada threat?

Dittos the GFS 00z run except it has a much stronger storm.

http://i.imgur.com/KTsos.gif

Another amazing change but this was more expected. The Euro going from Texas to the East coast in 36 hours, really funny stuff! I have a hard time imaging this system becoming that strong even though it has a history of very low pressure. I think the GFS is very close to being a clear winner.

How does the Euro leave Debby out there that long? If it involves a heat dome, I'M IN!! :D :D .
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3617 Postby MidnightRain » Mon Jun 25, 2012 2:27 am

Image
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#3618 Postby Cainer » Mon Jun 25, 2012 2:28 am

Image

Debby's core is still filled with dry air, although the environment to the west is becoming slightly more moist. She's going to have to work it out of her system before deep convection can refire anywhere near the center.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3619 Postby ROCK » Mon Jun 25, 2012 3:20 am

poof.... :lol:
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3620 Postby Hurricane Alexis » Mon Jun 25, 2012 4:41 am

000
WTNT34 KNHC 250836
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042012
400 AM CDT MON JUN 25 2012

...DEBBY A LITTLE WEAKER WHILE REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE
NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 85.8W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES




Well that was anticipated
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