ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

[TPAcane]

On radar it almost appears as if the inflow is now setting up for a new low forming off NE Florida coast...it is no longer aligned due N as it was all day yesterday. It may be an illusion but sure looks like the models may have been on to something with the formation of a second low off of FL EC.

[tolakram]

Wider Visible



Live visible loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... umframes=5

and http://www.esl.lsu.edu/animate/goes/ind ... hannel=vis

[RL3AO]

OMG a thunderstorm in the western semi-circle! Stop the presses!

[crimi481]

Wider Visible



Live visible loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... umframes=5

and http://www.esl.lsu.edu/animate/goes/ind ... hannel=vis

S.W. Florida coastal folks are realizing that what they say is true about not relying on the "center point" of a storm. Feels like a Hurricane out here this morning. Strong bands keep coming in -high winds now

[GCANE]

Strong squall line with overshooting tops heading onshore Ft Myers / Naples

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanaly ... sector=18#

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... x&loop=yes

[jinftl]

Too much of a game of russian roulette...a hurricane knocking on your door could do alot more harm than provide rain and cooler temps. A/C is the way to stay cool in both our parts of the country from now until the autumn. Losing your power for days or longer due to even 70 mph winds won't make the post-storm heat with 78 deg dewpoint any more bearable than lovely a/c if you have power!

:lol: you win some you lose some...in this case me, the NHC and many others took the solution that the majority of the models showed...It was the right call at the time.....disappointed? not really.....next storm I will be back hugging the EURO.....

You're not disappointed that we aren't gonna get any rain from this? I was really hoping for some rain and cooler temps from this system.

[Evil Jeremy]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251233
AF309 0404A DEBBY HDOB 12 20120625
122600 2851N 08421W 8462 01440 9980 +180 +178 191046 047 034 001 00
122630 2852N 08420W 8454 01450 9981 +180 +178 190046 047 035 000 00
122700 2854N 08418W 8465 01438 9982 +178 //// 190046 046 034 001 05
122730 2855N 08417W 8458 01446 9985 +177 //// 189046 046 034 002 01
122800 2856N 08415W 8462 01444 9984 +180 //// 190044 044 035 002 05
122830 2857N 08413W 8459 01449 9989 +175 //// 189044 045 035 001 01
122900 2858N 08412W 8459 01449 9989 +177 //// 189044 044 034 001 01
122930 2900N 08410W 8463 01449 9994 +175 //// 189044 045 035 001 01
123000 2901N 08409W 8459 01455 9997 +175 //// 189044 045 034 001 01
123030 2902N 08407W 8462 01454 9999 +175 //// 189045 045 034 000 01
123100 2903N 08406W 8463 01455 0000 +175 //// 189045 045 032 002 01
123130 2904N 08404W 8462 01454 0002 +171 //// 188045 045 033 001 01
123200 2906N 08402W 8461 01456 0003 +170 //// 187044 044 033 001 01
123230 2907N 08401W 8461 01456 0004 +168 //// 184045 045 033 003 01
123300 2908N 08359W 8461 01456 //// +163 //// 181043 043 033 002 01
123330 2909N 08358W 8466 01454 0006 +173 //// 179043 043 032 002 01
123400 2910N 08356W 8457 01466 0007 +171 //// 178043 044 034 002 05
123430 2911N 08355W 8462 01460 0007 +175 +171 178044 045 034 001 03
123500 2912N 08353W 8462 01463 0010 +174 +171 178044 045 034 000 00
123530 2914N 08352W 8457 01466 0010 +168 //// 176045 045 036 002 01
$$
;

[Evil Jeremy]

All of the models, except for the UKMET and NOGAPS, now predict landfall in the Big Bend region of Florida. Anyone think the NHC might nudge the next track east in response?

[Mouton]

On radar it almost appears as if the inflow is now setting up for a new low forming off NE Florida coast...it is no longer aligned due N as it was all day yesterday. It may be an illusion but sure looks like the models may have been on to something with the formation of a second low off of FL EC.

My barometer confirmed that visual not too long ago but now it is rising quickly....almost like a small vortex passed by.

[crimi481]

Strong squall line with overshooting tops heading onshore Ft Myers / Naples

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanaly ... sector=18#

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... x&loop=yes

That first link you gave is totally cool -thanks

[adam0983]

Tropical Storm Debby looks horrible this morning. Does anyone think that this storm will just go proof and die out completely?

[Evil Jeremy]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251243
AF309 0404A DEBBY HDOB 13 20120625
123600 2915N 08350W 8459 01463 //// +162 //// 177046 046 036 003 01
123630 2916N 08349W 8448 01477 //// +167 //// 183045 046 035 003 01
123700 2917N 08347W 8465 01462 0011 +173 //// 188045 045 032 001 01
123730 2918N 08345W 8459 01467 0014 +170 //// 189045 045 032 001 01
123800 2920N 08344W 8463 01467 0018 +165 //// 180044 045 034 001 01
123830 2921N 08342W 8454 01477 0019 +164 //// 178042 043 034 001 05
123900 2922N 08340W 8466 01463 0021 +165 //// 176041 042 035 001 01
123930 2923N 08339W 8459 01474 0024 +165 //// 180039 039 033 001 01
124000 2925N 08337W 8462 01471 0028 +161 //// 178037 038 031 002 01
124030 2926N 08336W 8457 01479 0029 +164 //// 177039 040 029 000 05
124100 2927N 08334W 8459 01481 0032 +166 //// 178040 041 029 001 01
124130 2928N 08332W 8461 01492 0033 +169 +165 178042 043 029 000 00
124200 2929N 08331W 8463 01465 0021 +166 //// 180039 040 /// /// 05
124230 2928N 08329W 8462 01474 0029 +163 //// 180038 038 029 001 05
124300 2927N 08329W 8462 01474 0029 +167 +162 181038 039 029 001 00
124330 2926N 08328W 8461 01479 0032 +167 +161 185038 039 030 001 00
124400 2925N 08328W 8463 01477 0032 +167 +166 185041 042 030 001 00
124430 2923N 08327W 8458 01483 0030 +167 //// 181040 041 031 001 01
124500 2922N 08327W 8460 01481 //// +158 //// 180039 039 032 004 01
124530 2921N 08326W 8456 01483 0031 +162 //// 186039 042 031 003 01
$$
;

[Evil Jeremy]

Convection bursting in NE and SW quads of the core:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-wv.html

[Evil Jeremy]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251253
AF309 0404A DEBBY HDOB 14 20120625
124600 2919N 08326W 8463 01477 //// +157 //// 185037 041 033 002 01
124630 2918N 08325W 8454 01484 0029 +163 //// 186039 039 033 001 01
124700 2917N 08325W 8464 01474 0031 +159 //// 188036 036 036 003 01
124730 2916N 08324W 8463 01476 0034 +156 //// 187041 043 033 004 01
124800 2914N 08324W 8456 01481 0031 +165 //// 190043 043 034 000 05
124830 2913N 08323W 8461 01478 0030 +165 +165 190042 043 033 000 00
124900 2912N 08323W 8461 01479 0032 +165 //// 188038 040 034 000 05
124930 2910N 08322W 8462 01478 0035 +160 //// 189037 039 033 001 01
125000 2909N 08322W 8460 01478 0035 +159 //// 189041 043 035 003 01
125030 2908N 08321W 8469 01468 0034 +161 //// 191042 044 033 001 01
125100 2907N 08321W 8456 01482 0033 +162 //// 193040 041 033 000 01
125130 2905N 08320W 8459 01483 0036 +160 //// 190038 041 034 002 01
125200 2904N 08320W 8468 01471 0033 +159 //// 194042 043 038 001 01
125230 2903N 08319W 8459 01485 0040 +161 //// 197042 042 037 001 05
125300 2901N 08319W 8467 01473 0038 +160 //// 194042 043 034 000 01
125330 2900N 08318W 8463 01480 0036 +162 //// 195046 048 032 000 01
125400 2859N 08318W 8454 01484 0032 +164 //// 194048 049 031 000 01
125430 2858N 08317W 8457 01482 0029 +165 //// 191044 046 034 001 01
125500 2857N 08317W 8448 01491 //// +149 //// 184038 040 034 006 01
125530 2855N 08317W 8464 01472 0028 +162 //// 193043 044 036 002 01
$$
;

[N2Storms]

[quote="adam0983"]Tropical Storm Debby looks horrible this morning. Does anyone think that this storm will just go proof and die out completely?[/quote]



IMHO she's toast!

[TPAcane]

That last loop looks like the flood gates of dry air finally opened up and took Debby down....seriously wondering if the inflow is not feeding that convective cluster off NE FL coast. Almost seems like when the previous poster mentioned pressures dropping like a rock over Amelia Island then rising...was the ghost of Debby leaving the gulf and possessing this new entity...lol...certainly looks finished on that last WV image though...IMHO.

[crimi481]

Being that the latest NHC discussion mentioned possible tracks to the: N, NE, W,NW - very possible she moves in one direction not mentioned - South? (no steering currents)

South Gulf -Yucatan moisture building -riding north. Also building on S.W. quad of center circulation
Its like a ghost storm

[dexterlabio]

this Debby is a bust.

[tolakram]

000
URNT12 KNHC 251243
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042012
A. 25/12:02:20Z
B. 28 deg 36 min N
085 deg 28 min W
C. 850 mb 1380 m
D. 37 kt
E. 304 deg 93 nm
F. 043 deg 43 kt
G. 305 deg 118 nm
H. 995 mb
I. 18 C / 1528 m
J. 19 C / 1494 m
K. 19 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 10 nm
P. AF309 0404A DEBBY OB 03
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 46 KT E QUAD 12:26:00Z
MAX FL TEMP 20 C 304 / 18 NM FROM FL CNTR
;

[Evil Jeremy]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251303
AF309 0404A DEBBY HDOB 15 20120625
125600 2854N 08316W 8468 01473 0030 +169 //// 195042 043 037 001 05
125630 2853N 08316W 8456 01485 0032 +166 //// 197044 044 037 001 01
125700 2851N 08315W 8457 01484 0032 +166 //// 199044 044 037 002 01
125730 2850N 08315W 8465 01478 0033 +166 //// 202045 046 038 001 01
125800 2849N 08314W 8457 01483 0034 +165 +162 203045 046 036 000 00
125830 2848N 08314W 8466 01476 0036 +165 +160 203045 046 036 000 00
125900 2846N 08313W 8466 01480 0038 +166 +159 203046 046 036 000 00
125930 2845N 08313W 8455 01489 0035 +167 +158 202047 047 037 000 00
130000 2844N 08312W 8463 01477 0035 +165 +159 203047 047 038 001 00
130030 2842N 08312W 8465 01482 0037 +165 +160 203049 049 036 001 00
130100 2841N 08311W 8456 01489 0035 +169 +155 203050 050 038 000 03
130130 2840N 08311W 8455 01488 0035 +166 +161 200049 051 037 000 03
130200 2839N 08310W 8471 01474 0037 +167 +165 200049 050 036 001 00
130230 2837N 08310W 8456 01491 0040 +163 +162 201048 048 036 001 00
130300 2836N 08309W 8462 01478 0033 +167 +165 199048 048 038 000 00
130330 2835N 08309W 8465 01477 0033 +167 +167 197048 048 038 001 00
130400 2834N 08308W 8461 01484 0035 +168 +158 200048 048 037 000 03
130430 2832N 08308W 8463 01480 0034 +170 +150 204049 050 036 000 00
130500 2831N 08307W 8466 01478 0036 +170 +151 205049 050 037 000 03
130530 2830N 08307W 8459 01484 0034 +172 +150 204048 049 037 001 03
$$
;