ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

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drezee
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Recon

#3961 Postby drezee » Mon Jun 25, 2012 5:56 pm

00
URNT15 KNHC 252248
AF309 0504A DEBBY HDOB 03 20120625
224100 3024N 08856W 0020 ///// 0011 +332 +200 019008 014 /// /// 23
224130 3025N 08855W 9911 00080 0017 +322 +195 026016 019 /// /// 03
224200 3026N 08854W 9734 00262 0023 +304 +187 020018 020 /// /// 03
224230 3027N 08853W 9709 00285 0020 +300 +184 016018 019 /// /// 03
224300 3027N 08851W 9735 00261 0023 +304 +184 007019 020 /// /// 03
224330 3025N 08850W 9726 00273 0025 +303 +181 012020 023 /// /// 03
224400 3024N 08849W 9719 00275 0023 +300 +181 013020 021 /// /// 03
224430 3023N 08847W 9704 00295 0028 +300 +182 009022 025 /// /// 03
224500 3022N 08846W 9673 00323 0029 +297 +182 007023 026 /// /// 03
224530 3020N 08845W 9739 00263 0031 +300 +183 003022 025 /// /// 03
224600 3019N 08843W 9712 00290 0031 +299 +186 003020 021 /// /// 03
224630 3019N 08841W 9696 00304 0030 +300 +181 012022 023 /// /// 03
224700 3019N 08839W 9497 00480 0026 +284 +176 018023 024 /// /// 03
224730 3018N 08838W 9230 00748 0038 +261 +166 024027 028 /// /// 03
224800 3018N 08836W 8944 01028 0044 +235 +167 018023 026 /// /// 03
224830 3018N 08834W 8707 01258 0046 +211 +161 014024 025 020 000 03
224900 3017N 08832W 8489 01479 0053 +190 +165 021024 025 021 000 00
224930 3017N 08829W 8395 01578 0055 +180 +167 023022 023 017 000 03
225000 3017N 08827W 8383 01588 0053 +178 +169 008020 024 007 000 03
225030 3016N 08825W 8375 01592 0049 +183 +151 016024 025 004 002 03
$$
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Recon Discussion

#3962 Postby drezee » Mon Jun 25, 2012 5:57 pm

I do not have the image instructions, but can take the raw data posting...
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3963 Postby ROCK » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:00 pm

IMO,the center is still offshore but barely...convection building south gives it away....
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3964 Postby TheBurn » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:00 pm

22:31z VIS / IR (Day / Night)

Image


WV_Enhanced

Image
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3965 Postby ozonepete » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:03 pm

Just nothing to indicate it won't continue east-northeast right now. Low level swirls moving around an elongated center are so hard to follow and now that convection is building over it and night is coming we won't be able to tell much from satellites. But it's so close to land that we can use radar and land/buoy/ship reports to follow it.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3966 Postby ROCK » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:04 pm

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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3967 Postby AtlanticWind » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:07 pm

ROCK wrote:18Z NOGAPS sends it west....

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical


Did you also notice the cape verde storm it shows?
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3968 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:07 pm

ROCK wrote:18Z NOGAPS sends it west....

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical


A 5 yr old with a Etch-A-Sketch would come up with as good a solution as NOGAPS! :lol:
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#3969 Postby artist » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:14 pm

would help, you all, but have family in and a sick one here as well. Next storm will try to make up for it!
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#3970 Postby weatherSnoop » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:15 pm

I can do some images for awhile

just a few to get set up
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3971 Postby robbielyn » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:16 pm

TheBurn wrote:22:31z VIS / IR (Day / Night)

Image


WV_Enhanced

Image

This first picture? I venture to guess the center did an anticyclonic loop making the new center sw of the original. If u watch visible u can see it.
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#3972 Postby artist » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:17 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
659 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

FLC023-047-121-GAC065-101-260100-
/O.NEW.KJAX.FA.W.0022.120625T2259Z-120626T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CLINCH GA-ECHOLS GA-COLUMBIA FL-HAMILTON FL-SUWANNEE FL-
659 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
NORTHERN COLUMBIA COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF LAKE CITY...
HAMILTON COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WHITE SPRINGS...JENNINGS...JASPER...
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN SUWANNEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA...
SOUTHERN CLINCH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
ECHOLS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF STATENVILLE...

* UNTIL 900 PM EDT
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Recon

#3973 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:18 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 252308
AF309 0504A DEBBY HDOB 05 20120625
230100 2957N 08747W 8378 01580 0046 +170 +164 021027 028 /// /// 03
230130 2955N 08746W 8378 01581 0046 +170 +168 022026 027 /// /// 03
230200 2954N 08744W 8379 01577 0045 +170 +166 021029 030 /// /// 03
230230 2952N 08743W 8381 01575 0046 +170 //// 017030 030 /// /// 05
230300 2951N 08741W 8377 01578 0046 +165 //// 014030 030 /// /// 05
230330 2949N 08740W 8379 01577 0046 +166 //// 014030 030 /// /// 05
230400 2948N 08738W 8378 01579 0046 +165 //// 011030 030 /// /// 05
230430 2947N 08737W 8378 01577 0043 +166 //// 012031 032 /// /// 05
230500 2945N 08735W 8381 01574 0043 +169 //// 018030 030 /// /// 05
230530 2945N 08733W 8379 01575 0044 +166 //// 019028 030 /// /// 05
230600 2944N 08731W 8381 01573 0043 +165 //// 019032 033 /// /// 05
230630 2944N 08731W 8381 01573 0042 +166 //// 019034 036 /// /// 05
230700 2943N 08727W 8377 01575 0042 +165 //// 017033 034 /// /// 05
230730 2943N 08725W 8381 01570 0041 +164 //// 018035 036 000 001 05
230800 2942N 08723W 8379 01574 0041 +165 //// 020036 037 000 002 05
230830 2942N 08721W 8381 01568 0040 +163 //// 020037 038 000 001 05
230900 2941N 08719W 8377 01571 0038 +164 +163 021039 040 000 002 03
230930 2941N 08717W 8371 01577 0040 +162 //// 017036 037 000 001 05
231000 2940N 08715W 8383 01564 0039 +164 //// 016034 035 000 000 05
231030 2940N 08713W 8379 01567 0038 +162 //// 015034 035 000 001 05
$$
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3974 Postby ROCK » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:19 pm

wouldnt it be funny if all the models switched back to the west..... :lol:
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3975 Postby ROCK » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:19 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:
ROCK wrote:18Z NOGAPS sends it west....

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical


A 5 yr old with a Etch-A-Sketch would come up with as good a solution as NOGAPS! :lol:



thats what I said about the GFS 2 days ago.... :cheesy:
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#3976 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:20 pm

Center is clearly visible - offshore.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3977 Postby ROCK » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:21 pm

AtlanticWind wrote:
ROCK wrote:18Z NOGAPS sends it west....

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical


Did you also notice the cape verde storm it shows?



should be in the global model discussion in Talkin Tropics....NOGAPS not so great at sniffing out development.
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#3978 Postby weatherSnoop » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:21 pm

Image
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#3979 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:22 pm

URNT15 KNHC 252318
AF309 0504A DEBBY HDOB 06 20120625
231100 2939N 08711W 8379 01568 0038 +163 //// 016036 036 000 002 05
231130 2939N 08709W 8378 01572 0039 +160 //// 020035 036 000 002 01
231200 2938N 08707W 8375 01572 0037 +163 //// 019035 037 000 001 05
231230 2938N 08705W 8380 01565 0035 +165 +163 025036 036 000 002 00
231300 2937N 08704W 8377 01570 0034 +165 //// 025035 036 001 001 01
231330 2937N 08702W 8378 01570 0032 +165 //// 022034 035 000 000 01
231400 2936N 08700W 8379 01563 0034 +164 //// 023035 036 001 002 01
231430 2936N 08658W 8370 01574 0033 +162 //// 019036 037 005 001 01
231500 2935N 08656W 8376 01567 0031 +162 //// 023038 039 006 001 01
231530 2935N 08654W 8371 01567 0030 +161 //// 022041 042 006 000 01
231600 2934N 08652W 8374 01566 0029 +162 //// 024042 042 009 001 01
231630 2934N 08650W 8372 01567 0026 +164 //// 022042 043 014 000 01
231700 2934N 08648W 8422 01515 0027 +165 //// 022039 041 012 001 01
231730 2933N 08646W 8437 01498 0027 +164 //// 029037 038 015 000 01
231800 2933N 08644W 8454 01480 //// +160 //// 031037 037 015 001 01
231830 2932N 08642W 8453 01481 //// +160 //// 030036 038 012 001 01
231900 2932N 08640W 8381 01553 //// +158 //// 030036 036 018 000 01
231930 2931N 08638W 8416 01517 0023 +162 //// 033038 039 019 001 01
232000 2931N 08637W 8335 01600 0022 +160 //// 035040 040 022 001 01
232030 2930N 08635W 8361 01573 0019 +164 //// 035038 039 021 001 01
$$
;
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Recon Discussion

#3980 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 25, 2012 6:23 pm

Ok Crazy, you can continue.
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