ATL: ISAAC - Models

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LSU2001
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4781 Postby LSU2001 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:08 pm

Rock,
That is what i want to see as well. I think that will be much more telling than the actual final landfall point.
Tim
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#4782 Postby rockyman » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:10 pm

Euro at 72 hours...just south of Gulf Shores, AL
Last edited by rockyman on Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#4783 Postby HurricaneBrain » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:10 pm

Nope. Sticks to its guns and heads north.
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#4784 Postby Ntxw » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:11 pm

FL/AL border at 72 pretty close to 0z
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#4785 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:11 pm

Into Mobile, AL
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#4786 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:12 pm

Well one of these models is going to be wrong. The distance is not so startling but the populations effected are drastically different. When did Euro finally figure out Debby? How many days out was that?
Last edited by BigB0882 on Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4787 Postby Jevo » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:12 pm

12z Euro +72

Image
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#4788 Postby SunnyThoughts » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:12 pm

Well, so much for consensus arggg
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4789 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:12 pm

Euro holds serves...bad news for Mobile/Pensacola area
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#4790 Postby Rgv20 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:12 pm

12zGFDL +84hrs

Image
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#4791 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:13 pm

950mb at 72 hours!!! :eek: :eek: :eek:
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4792 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:13 pm

Right outlier interesting.,,we know one this the medium range track is up in the air right now as per NHC
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4793 Postby deltadog03 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:13 pm

ROCK wrote:What I want to see if it drifts west in the end...

It doesn't....it drifts/moves north.
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#4794 Postby deltadog03 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:13 pm

Euro looks a lot like the 00z run, just a bit slower than 00z.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4795 Postby Stormlover2012 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:14 pm

this is just like with debby gfs shows something and euro shows something different and the gfs won the battle, now does the euro win the battle
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4796 Postby thatwhichisnt » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:15 pm

So the gfs vs euro debate continues.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4797 Postby Ntxw » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:15 pm

So after a full bout of model runs this weekend we are still where we were last Thursday with both GFS and Euro doing a 180 on each other.
Last edited by Ntxw on Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:15 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4798 Postby Hurricaneman » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:15 pm

Im starting to think the Euro model is digging the trough more than what is going to end up happening, so thats something to keep an eye on

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4799 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:15 pm

GFDL is concerning but that model hopps around as well....the Euro is what I expect to shift west...did some today...tonights run will be important...
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#4800 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:15 pm

I give up. I need a break. Going to take a nap. I have no idea what to think. I put so much stock in the Euro but this season hasn't been its best (although I don't think it has been as bad as some people make it out to be). It will either redeem itself or give us reason to doubt it for quite a while.
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