EPAC: BUD - Post-Tropical

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

#521 Postby gotoman38 » Fri May 25, 2012 11:56 am

URPN15 KNHC 251652
AF302 0202E BUD HDOB 31 20120525
164400 1743N 10423W 6972 03181 0080 +095 +066 195032 034 /// /// 05
164430 1745N 10425W 6964 03184 0067 +106 +062 184035 036 /// /// 03
164500 1746N 10426W 6984 03159 0068 +096 +072 180031 035 /// /// 05
164530 1747N 10427W 6967 03177 0068 +104 +050 181035 035 /// /// 03
164600 1749N 10429W 6967 03179 0067 +105 +047 184036 036 /// /// 03
164630 1750N 10430W 6967 03179 0069 +104 +048 185035 035 /// /// 03
164700 1751N 10431W 6968 03177 0068 +105 +046 189036 037 /// /// 03
164730 1753N 10433W 6967 03177 0069 +103 +050 191037 038 /// /// 03
164800 1754N 10434W 6969 03173 0066 +100 +054 189037 037 /// /// 03
164830 1755N 10436W 6967 03173 0065 +101 +053 187037 037 /// /// 03
164900 1757N 10437W 6970 03170 0066 +100 +058 186035 036 /// /// 03
164930 1758N 10438W 6963 03175 0065 +098 +061 184035 035 /// /// 03
165000 1759N 10440W 6965 03172 0066 +096 +068 186035 035 /// /// 03
165030 1801N 10441W 6968 03166 0068 +091 +084 184036 037 /// /// 03
165100 1802N 10443W 6969 03166 0069 +089 //// 186037 039 /// /// 05
165130 1804N 10444W 6970 03162 0075 +083 //// 193036 037 /// /// 05
165200 1805N 10446W 6965 03166 0073 +084 //// 191040 042 /// /// 05
165230 1806N 10447W 6968 03161 0081 +075 //// 188042 045 /// /// 05
165300 1808N 10448W 6965 03161 //// +066 //// 185047 048 /// /// 05
165330 1809N 10450W 6967 03161 //// +068 //// 187049 049 /// /// 05
$$

Winds starting to pick up now
0 likes   

User avatar
bg1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 408
Joined: Fri May 13, 2011 11:14 am
Location: near Santee, SC

Re:

#522 Postby bg1 » Fri May 25, 2012 11:57 am

Cyclenall wrote:I had no idea recon was going to go in again, I thought yesterday was the first and only one but what a nice surprise this is. This could be hilarious (Bud's intensity).


If this latest shot is anything to go by, I agree:
Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

Re:

#523 Postby gotoman38 » Fri May 25, 2012 12:01 pm

Hurricane Andrew wrote:How do you get east pacific sat in google earth from tropical atlantic?


tropicalglobe.com

Yeah - this mission doesn't raise much expectation - but I have the time to cover it - so I will.
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

#524 Postby gotoman38 » Fri May 25, 2012 12:06 pm

URPN15 KNHC 251702
AF302 0202E BUD HDOB 32 20120525
165400 1811N 10451W 6965 03160 //// +062 //// 190051 051 /// /// 05
165430 1812N 10453W 6963 03158 //// +057 //// 202046 050 /// /// 05
165500 1813N 10454W 6957 03171 //// +069 //// 228038 041 /// /// 05
165530 1815N 10456W 6975 03140 //// +092 //// 224038 039 /// /// 05
165600 1816N 10457W 6962 03154 //// +096 //// 224041 043 /// /// 05
165630 1817N 10458W 6970 03145 0017 +109 //// 211043 044 /// /// 05
165700 1818N 10500W 6966 03150 0011 +115 //// 205045 046 /// /// 05
165730 1820N 10501W 6970 03144 9998 +125 +109 204046 047 /// /// 03
165800 1821N 10502W 6970 03141 9991 +129 +108 203044 046 /// /// 03
165830 1822N 10504W 6962 03150 9984 +135 +100 201048 049 /// /// 03
165900 1824N 10505W 6970 03138 9993 +125 +110 200047 048 /// /// 03
165930 1825N 10507W 6968 03136 9986 +126 +110 199047 047 /// /// 03
170000 1827N 10508W 6966 03138 9987 +127 +108 200049 051 /// /// 03
170030 1828N 10510W 6968 03131 9984 +125 +109 202051 052 /// /// 03
170100 1829N 10511W 6966 03131 9979 +125 +112 205050 051 /// /// 03
170130 1831N 10512W 6969 03124 9962 +136 +106 211049 050 /// /// 03
170200 1832N 10514W 6969 03120 9947 +146 +101 213049 051 /// /// 03
170230 1833N 10515W 6968 03116 9935 +153 +100 215045 047 /// /// 03
170300 1835N 10517W 6968 03111 9918 +162 +095 211037 039 /// /// 03
170330 1836N 10518W 6964 03116 9904 +175 +083 215031 032 /// /// 03
$$

Lots of flags on this part of the mission

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
AdamFirst
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2487
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2008 10:54 am
Location: Port Saint Lucie, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#525 Postby AdamFirst » Fri May 25, 2012 12:08 pm

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:when will recon fly into 94L to get better model runs and so the models can get a better handle on this system


They probably won't schedule a flight until there's something on the satellite worth flying into
0 likes   
Dolphins Marlins Canes Golden Panthers HEAT
Andrew 1992 - Irene 1999 - Frances 2004 - Jeanne 2004 - Wilma 2005 - Fay 2008 - Isaac 2012 - Matthew 2016 - Irma 2017 - Dorian 2019 - Ian 2022 - Nicole 2022

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21228
Age: 41
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

#526 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri May 25, 2012 12:11 pm

12z CMC a little farther south and less northerly motion initially. brings into NE florida a little stronger than last run. VEry similar track to the GFS.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14934
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#527 Postby NDG » Fri May 25, 2012 12:11 pm

So far no hurricane force winds found at flight level.
One day hurricane intensity models will get it right, lol.
0 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#528 Postby northjaxpro » Fri May 25, 2012 12:11 pm

AdamFirst wrote:
hurricanefloyd5 wrote:when will recon fly into 94L to get better model runs and so the models can get a better handle on this system


They probably won't schedule a flight until there's something on the satellite worth flying into


NHC has tentatively scheduled Recon to fly out both tomorrow afternoon at 18Z and Sunday morning at 12Z.


NOUS42 KNHC 251445
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1045 AM EDT FRI 25 MAY 2012
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z MAY 2012
TCPOD NUMBER.....12-007

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70 FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71
A. 26/1800Z A. 27/1200Z
B. AFXXX 01XXA INVEST B. AFXXX 0202A CYCLONE
C. 26/1515Z C. 27/0915Z
D. 33.0N 77.0W D. 30.8N 79.5W
E. 26/1730Z TO 26/2130Z E. 27/1130Z TO 27/1630Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE 28/0000Z FIX
NEAR 30.8N 81.0W IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

Re: EPAC: BUD - Recon

#529 Postby gotoman38 » Fri May 25, 2012 12:18 pm

URPN15 KNHC 251712
AF302 0202E BUD HDOB 33 20120525
170400 1837N 10519W 6964 03114 9897 +179 +077 217031 032 /// /// 03
170430 1839N 10520W 6963 03110 9882 +191 +063 225031 033 /// /// 03
170500 1840N 10522W 6974 03092 9869 +201 +051 224030 031 /// /// 03
170530 1841N 10523W 6963 03104 9860 +204 +046 223030 032 /// /// 03
170600 1843N 10524W 6969 03093 9848 +212 +040 224026 027 /// /// 03
170630 1844N 10526W 6965 03092 9835 +220 +030 232023 025 /// /// 03
170700 1845N 10527W 6968 03083 9828 +223 +027 238020 021 /// /// 03
170730 1847N 10528W 6967 03082 9828 +219 +035 254014 016 /// /// 03
170800 1848N 10529W 6969 03079 9828 +216 +037 291007 007 /// /// 03
170830 1850N 10529W 6962 03085 9827 +216 +037 288005 006 /// /// 03
170900 1852N 10528W 6965 03081 9829 +213 +040 322002 003 /// /// 03
170930 1853N 10528W 6967 03075 9832 +209 +046 160004 006 /// /// 03
171000 1855N 10527W 6967 03075 9834 +207 +047 152009 011 /// /// 03
171030 1857N 10527W 6968 03076 9836 +206 +048 145014 015 /// /// 03
171100 1859N 10528W 6974 03073 9840 +204 +051 130014 016 /// /// 03
171130 1900N 10529W 6966 03079 9838 +203 +049 113013 014 /// /// 03
171200 1901N 10531W 6966 03079 9857 +186 +068 107018 021 /// /// 03
171230 1903N 10532W 6966 03083 9882 +166 +085 107022 023 /// /// 03
171300 1904N 10534W 6970 03082 9912 +141 +104 099031 034 /// /// 03
171330 1905N 10535W 6967 03092 9941 +121 +118 101038 039 /// /// 03
$$

Quite unimpressive
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

#530 Postby gotoman38 » Fri May 25, 2012 12:21 pm

Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZPN13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 25th day of the month at 17:11Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 302)
Storm Number: 02
Storm Name: Bud (flight in the Northeast Pacific basin)
Mission Number: 2
Observation Number: 12

Part A...

Date: Near the closest hour of 17Z on the 25th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 700mb
Coordinates: 18.3N 105.0W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... 3&lon=-105
Location: 163 miles (263 km) to the S (175°) from Puerto Vallarta, Jalisco, México.

Level: Geo. Height / Air Temp. / Dew Point / Wind Direction / Wind Speed
1005mb (29.68 inHg): Sea Level (Surface) / 24.4°C (75.9°F) / 23.8°C (74.8°F) / 195° (from the SSW) / 40 knots (46 mph)
1000mb: 48m (157 ft) / 24.0°C (75.2°F) / 23.4°C (74.1°F) / 190° (from the S) / 48 knots (55 mph)
925mb: 730m (2,395 ft) / 21.0°C (69.8°F) / 20.8°C (69.4°F) / 205° (from the SSW) / 53 knots (61 mph)
850mb: 1,461m (4,793 ft) / 17.8°C (64.0°F) / 17.5°C (63.5°F) / 220° (from the SW) / 50 knots (58 mph)
700mb: 3,114m (10,217 ft) / 11.0°C (51.8°F) / 10.9°C (51.6°F) / 215° (from the SW) / 42 knots (48 mph)

Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 16:56Z

Remarks Section...

Dropsonde Location: Dropped in maximum wind band.

Splash Location: 18.32N 104.92W
Splash Time: 17:00Z

Release Location: 18.27N 104.96W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... on=-104.96
Release Time: 16:56:10Z

Splash Location: 18.32N 104.92W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... on=-104.92
Splash Time: 17:00:54Z

Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters):
- Wind: 195° (from the SSW) at 53 knots (61 mph)

Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth):
- Wind: 215° (from the SW) at 46 knots (53 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 697mb to 1005mb

Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm):
- Lowest 150m: 155 gpm - 5 gpm (509 geo. feet - 16 geo. feet)
- Wind: 190° (from the S) at 49 knots (56 mph)

Part B: Data For Significant Levels...

Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels...

Level: Air Temp. / Dew Point
1005mb (Surface): 24.4°C (75.9°F) / 23.8°C (74.8°F)
850mb: 17.8°C (64.0°F) / 17.5°C (63.5°F)
710mb: 12.8°C (55.0°F) / 12.4°C (54.3°F)
697mb: 10.4°C (50.7°F) / 10.4°C (50.7°F)

Significant Wind Levels...

Level: Wind Direction / Wind Speed
1005mb (Surface): 195° (from the SSW) / 40 knots (46 mph)
1001mb: 195° (from the SSW) / 48 knots (55 mph)
964mb: 200° (from the SSW) / 58 knots (67 mph)
952mb: 200° (from the SSW) / 54 knots (62 mph)
940mb: 205° (from the SSW) / 58 knots (67 mph)
925mb: 205° (from the SSW) / 53 knots (61 mph)
919mb: 210° (from the SSW) / 57 knots (66 mph)
903mb: 205° (from the SSW) / 53 knots (61 mph)
897mb: 205° (from the SSW) / 49 knots (56 mph)
888mb: 205° (from the SSW) / 52 knots (60 mph)
875mb: 215° (from the SW) / 44 knots (51 mph)
850mb: 220° (from the SW) / 50 knots (58 mph)
818mb: 230° (from the SW) / 56 knots (64 mph)
771mb: 235° (from the SW) / 32 knots (37 mph)
697mb: 215° (from the SW) / 41 knots (47 mph)

---

Original Undecoded Observation:

UZPN13 KNHC 251711
XXAA 75177 99183 71050 04785 99005 24406 19540 00048 24006 19048
92730 21002 20553 85461 17803 22050 70114 11001 21542 88999 77999
31313 09608 81656
61616 AF302 0202E BUD OB 12
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 1832N10492W 1700 MBL WND 19553 AEV 20802 DLM W
ND 21546 005697 WL150 19049 080 REL 1827N10496W 165610 SPG 1832N1
0492W 170054 =
XXBB 75178 99183 71050 04785 00005 24406 11850 17803 22710 12804
33697 10400
21212 00005 19540 11001 19548 22964 20058 33952 20054 44940 20558
55925 20553 66919 21057 77903 20553 88897 20549 99888 20552 11875
21544 22850 22050 33818 23056 44771 23532 55697 21541
31313 09608 81656
61616 AF302 0202E BUD OB 12
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 1832N10492W 1700 MBL WND 19553 AEV 20802 DLM W
ND 21546 005697 WL150 19049 080 REL 1827N10496W 165610 SPG 1832N1
0492W 170054 =
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

#531 Postby gotoman38 » Fri May 25, 2012 12:23 pm

Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZPN13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 25th day of the month at 17:18Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 302)
Storm Number: 02
Storm Name: Bud (flight in the Northeast Pacific basin)
Mission Number: 2
Observation Number: 15

Part A...

Date: Near the closest hour of 17Z on the 25th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 700mb
Coordinates: 18.9N 105.5W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... lon=-105.5
Location: 123 miles (197 km) to the S (189°) from Puerto Vallarta, Jalisco, México.

Level: Geo. Height / Air Temp. / Dew Point / Wind Direction / Wind Speed
994mb (29.35 inHg): Sea Level (Surface) / 25.4°C (77.7°F) / 24.9°C (76.8°F) / 80° (from the E) / 32 knots (37 mph)
1000mb: -53m (-174 ft) / This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
925mb: 634m (2,080 ft) / 23.0°C (73.4°F) / 22.6°C (72.7°F) / 90° (from the E) / 28 knots (32 mph)
850mb: 1,372m (4,501 ft) / 20.2°C (68.4°F) / 19.5°C (67.1°F) / 105° (from the ESE) / 30 knots (35 mph)
700mb: 3,051m (10,010 ft) / 21.4°C (70.5°F) / Approximately 4°C (39°F) / 150° (from the SSE) / 10 knots (12 mph)

Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 17:10Z

Remarks Section...

Splash Location: 18.94N 105.48W
Splash Time: 17:14Z

Release Location: 18.93N 105.45W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... on=-105.45
Release Time: 17:10:02Z

Splash Location: 18.93N 105.48W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... on=-105.48
Splash Time: 17:14:19Z

Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters):
- Wind: 90° (from the E) at 33 knots (38 mph)

Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth):
- Wind: 105° (from the ESE) at 25 knots (29 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 697mb to 993mb

Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm):
- Lowest 150m: 159 gpm - 9 gpm (522 geo. feet - 30 geo. feet)
- Wind: 85° (from the E) at 34 knots (39 mph)

Part B: Data For Significant Levels...

Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels...

Level: Air Temp. / Dew Point
994mb (Surface): 25.4°C (77.7°F) / 24.9°C (76.8°F)
850mb: 20.2°C (68.4°F) / 19.5°C (67.1°F)
780mb: 17.0°C (62.6°F) / 15.3°C (59.5°F)
740mb: 21.6°C (70.9°F) / Approximately 9°C (48°F)
724mb: 22.8°C (73.0°F) / Approximately 7°C (45°F)
697mb: 21.0°C (69.8°F) / Approximately 5°C (41°F)

Significant Wind Levels...

Level: Wind Direction / Wind Speed
994mb (Surface): 80° (from the E) / 32 knots (37 mph)
983mb: 90° (from the E) / 35 knots (40 mph)
924mb: 95° (from the E) / 28 knots (32 mph)
850mb: 105° (from the ESE) / 30 knots (35 mph)
783mb: 125° (from the SE) / 27 knots (31 mph)
768mb: 105° (from the ESE) / 20 knots (23 mph)
750mb: 130° (from the SE) / 28 knots (32 mph)
697mb: 145° (from the SE) / 10 knots (12 mph)

---

Original Undecoded Observation:

UZPN13 KNHC 251718
XXAA 75177 99189 71055 04785 99994 25405 08032 00553 ///// /////
92634 23004 09028 85372 20207 10530 70051 21467 15010 88999 77999
31313 09608 81710
61616 AF302 0202E BUD OB 15
62626 SPL 1894N10548W 1714 MBL WND 09033 AEV 20802 DLM WND 10525
993697 WL150 08534 084 REL 1893N10545W 171002 SPG 1893N10548W 171
419 =
XXBB 75178 99189 71055 04785 00994 25405 11850 20207 22780 17017
33740 21663 44724 22866 55697 21066
21212 00994 08032 11983 09035 22924 09528 33850 10530 44783 12527
55768 10520 66750 13028 77697 14510
31313 09608 81710
61616 AF302 0202E BUD OB 15
62626 SPL 1894N10548W 1714 MBL WND 09033 AEV 20802 DLM WND 10525
993697 WL150 08534 084 REL 1893N10545W 171002 SPG 1893N10548W 171
419 =
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

#532 Postby gotoman38 » Fri May 25, 2012 12:28 pm

URPN15 KNHC 251722
AF302 0202E BUD HDOB 34 20120525
171400 1907N 10537W 6967 03097 9954 +115 //// 095037 037 /// /// 05
171430 1908N 10538W 6968 03102 9960 +115 //// 084034 035 /// /// 05
171500 1910N 10540W 6965 03111 9966 +115 //// 081035 037 /// /// 05
171530 1911N 10541W 6965 03114 9971 +114 //// 085036 039 /// /// 05
171600 1912N 10543W 6971 03110 //// +104 //// 086041 042 /// /// 05
171630 1914N 10545W 6963 03121 //// +105 //// 091042 043 /// /// 05
171700 1915N 10546W 6979 03104 //// +101 //// 089043 044 /// /// 05
171730 1916N 10548W 6962 03130 9990 +106 //// 088045 046 /// /// 05
171800 1918N 10549W 6964 03129 //// +094 //// 087047 049 /// /// 05
171830 1919N 10551W 6967 03129 //// +085 //// 087050 053 /// /// 05
171900 1921N 10553W 6967 03126 //// +078 //// 085054 059 /// /// 05
171930 1922N 10554W 6963 03130 //// +084 //// 090059 061 /// /// 05
172000 1923N 10556W 6974 03121 //// +089 //// 089057 059 /// /// 05
172030 1925N 10557W 6969 03126 //// +095 //// 097060 062 /// /// 05
172100 1926N 10559W 6968 03129 //// +101 //// 098060 062 /// /// 05
172130 1928N 10601W 6964 03133 //// +096 //// 100058 059 /// /// 05
172200 1929N 10603W 6967 03131 //// +096 //// 099061 063 /// /// 05
172230 1931N 10604W 6962 03140 //// +101 //// 099057 058 /// /// 05
172300 1932N 10606W 6967 03136 //// +096 //// 099056 057 /// /// 05
172330 1934N 10608W 6967 03136 0021 +099 //// 098057 058 /// /// 05
$$

Higher winds in NW quad - still no hurricane force winds at FL

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

#533 Postby gotoman38 » Fri May 25, 2012 12:32 pm

Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZPN13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 25th day of the month at 17:27Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 302)
Storm Number: 02
Storm Name: Bud (flight in the Northeast Pacific basin)
Mission Number: 2
Observation Number: 16

Part A...

Date: Near the closest hour of 17Z on the 25th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 700mb
Coordinates: 19.4N 105.9W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... lon=-105.9
Location: 97 miles (157 km) to the SSW (207°) from Puerto Vallarta, Jalisco, México.

Level: Geo. Height / Air Temp. / Dew Point / Wind Direction / Wind Speed
1003mb (29.62 inHg): Sea Level (Surface) / 26.0°C (78.8°F) / 24.9°C (76.8°F) / 345° (from the NNW) / 29 knots (33 mph)
1000mb: 30m (98 ft) / 25.8°C (78.4°F) / 24.8°C (76.6°F) / 350° (from the N) / 31 knots (36 mph)
925mb: 715m (2,346 ft) / 21.2°C (70.2°F) / 20.6°C (69.1°F) / 20° (from the NNE) / 41 knots (47 mph)
850mb: 1,446m (4,744 ft) / 18.0°C (64.4°F) / 17.8°C (64.0°F) / 60° (from the ENE) / 43 knots (49 mph)
700mb: 3,096m (10,157 ft) / 10.0°C (50.0°F) / 9.9°C (49.8°F) / 100° (from the E) / 57 knots (66 mph)

Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 17:20Z

Remarks Section...

Dropsonde Location: Dropped in maximum wind band.

Splash Location: 19.38N 105.99W
Splash Time: 17:25Z

Release Location: 19.41N 105.95W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... on=-105.95
Release Time: 17:20:19Z

Splash Location: 19.38N 105.99W
Map this location: http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... on=-105.99
Splash Time: 17:25:01Z

Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters):
- Wind: 345° (from the NNW) at 38 knots (44 mph)

Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth):
- Wind: 55° (from the NE) at 36 knots (41 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 696mb to 1003mb

Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm):
- Lowest 150m: 159 gpm - 9 gpm (522 geo. feet - 30 geo. feet)
- Wind: 345° (from the NNW) at 34 knots (39 mph)

Part B: Data For Significant Levels...

Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels...

Level: Air Temp. / Dew Point
1003mb (Surface): 26.0°C (78.8°F) / 24.9°C (76.8°F)
850mb: 18.0°C (64.4°F) / 17.8°C (64.0°F)
708mb: 12.2°C (54.0°F) / 11.9°C (53.4°F)
696mb: 9.0°C (48.2°F) / 9.0°C (48.2°F)

Significant Wind Levels...

Level: Wind Direction / Wind Speed
1003mb (Surface): 345° (from the NNW) / 29 knots (33 mph)
988mb: 340° (from the NNW) / 37 knots (43 mph)
979mb: 345° (from the NNW) / 36 knots (41 mph)
973mb: 340° (from the NNW) / 42 knots (48 mph)
956mb: 350° (from the N) / 40 knots (46 mph)
939mb: 10° (from the N) / 47 knots (54 mph)
926mb: 20° (from the NNE) / 41 knots (47 mph)
903mb: 30° (from the NNE) / 39 knots (45 mph)
880mb: 50° (from the NE) / 45 knots (52 mph)
872mb: 50° (from the NE) / 40 knots (46 mph)
850mb: 60° (from the ENE) / 43 knots (49 mph)
830mb: 65° (from the ENE) / 35 knots (40 mph)
809mb: 60° (from the ENE) / 46 knots (53 mph)
773mb: 80° (from the E) / 56 knots (64 mph)
696mb: 100° (from the E) / 58 knots (67 mph)

---

Original Undecoded Observation:

UZPN13 KNHC 251727
XXAA 75177 99194 71059 04795 99003 26011 34529 00030 25810 35031
92715 21206 02041 85446 18002 06043 70096 10001 10057 88999 77999
31313 09608 81720
61616 AF302 0202E BUD OB 16
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 1938N10599W 1725 MBL WND 34538 AEV 20802 DLM W
ND 05536 003696 WL150 34534 084 REL 1941N10595W 172019 SPG 1938N1
0599W 172501 =
XXBB 75178 99194 71059 04795 00003 26011 11850 18002 22708 12203
33696 09000
21212 00003 34529 11988 34037 22979 34536 33973 34042 44956 35040
55939 01047 66926 02041 77903 03039 88880 05045 99872 05040 11850
06043 22830 06535 33809 06046 44773 08056 55696 10058
31313 09608 81720
61616 AF302 0202E BUD OB 16
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 1938N10599W 1725 MBL WND 34538 AEV 20802 DLM W
ND 05536 003696 WL150 34534 084 REL 1941N10595W 172019 SPG 1938N1
0599W 172501 =
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

#534 Postby gotoman38 » Fri May 25, 2012 12:35 pm

URPN15 KNHC 251732
AF302 0202E BUD HDOB 35 20120525
172400 1935N 10609W 6967 03142 0024 +099 //// 097056 056 /// /// 05
172430 1936N 10611W 6968 03141 //// +096 //// 100052 053 /// /// 05
172500 1938N 10613W 6969 03140 0019 +104 //// 102051 051 /// /// 05
172530 1939N 10614W 6964 03147 0026 +098 //// 103052 054 /// /// 05
172600 1941N 10616W 6966 03144 //// +092 //// 100052 053 /// /// 05
172630 1942N 10618W 6966 03144 //// +088 //// 096053 053 /// /// 05
172700 1944N 10619W 6967 03146 //// +079 //// 090051 053 /// /// 05
172730 1945N 10621W 6971 03143 //// +075 //// 093045 046 /// /// 05
172800 1946N 10623W 6958 03161 //// +072 //// 099041 046 /// /// 05
172830 1948N 10624W 6970 03149 //// +073 //// 100031 032 /// /// 05
172900 1949N 10626W 6967 03154 //// +080 //// 098029 029 /// /// 05
172930 1950N 10627W 6966 03158 //// +085 //// 096030 031 /// /// 05
173000 1952N 10629W 6967 03155 //// +083 //// 092032 032 /// /// 05
173030 1953N 10630W 6968 03155 0056 +090 //// 092033 033 /// /// 05
173100 1954N 10632W 6967 03158 0051 +095 //// 097030 032 /// /// 05
173130 1956N 10634W 6968 03158 0052 +095 //// 101029 030 /// /// 05
173200 1957N 10635W 6967 03160 0059 +090 //// 097031 031 /// /// 05
173230 1958N 10637W 6969 03158 0066 +086 //// 095032 033 /// /// 05
173300 1958N 10637W 6969 03158 0068 +084 //// 093034 035 /// /// 05
173330 2001N 10640W 6967 03164 //// +080 //// 095033 033 /// /// 05
$$

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

#535 Postby gotoman38 » Fri May 25, 2012 12:44 pm

URPN12 KNHC 251739
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE EP022012
A. 25/17:09:10Z
B. 18 deg 52 min N
105 deg 28 min W
C. 700 mb 3037 m
D. NA
E. NA
F. 201 deg 52 kt
G. 142 deg 30 nm
H. EXTRAP 990 mb
I. 10 C / 3050 m
J. 22 C / 3047 m
K. 3 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF302 0202E BUD OB 14
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 63 KT NW QUAD 17:22:10Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

#536 Postby gotoman38 » Fri May 25, 2012 12:45 pm

URPN15 KNHC 251742
AF302 0202E BUD HDOB 36 20120525
173400 2002N 10641W 6967 03161 //// +080 //// 096033 034 /// /// 05
173430 2004N 10643W 6967 03172 //// +080 //// 103033 033 /// /// 05
173500 2005N 10645W 6969 03174 //// +077 //// 104033 033 /// /// 05
173530 2006N 10646W 6967 03176 //// +077 //// 096030 031 /// /// 05
173600 2008N 10648W 6968 03176 //// +080 //// 091029 030 /// /// 05
173630 2009N 10649W 6967 03180 0096 +079 //// 090026 026 /// /// 05
173700 2010N 10651W 6959 03189 //// +071 //// 088024 025 /// /// 05
173730 2009N 10652W 6970 03175 //// +074 //// 091025 026 /// /// 05
173800 2007N 10652W 6976 03168 //// +075 //// 086024 025 /// /// 05
173830 2007N 10652W 6976 03168 //// +077 //// 077022 024 /// /// 05
173900 2003N 10652W 7204 02893 //// +086 //// 067021 023 /// /// 05
173930 2002N 10652W 7323 02759 //// +087 //// 056020 022 /// /// 05
174000 2000N 10652W 7446 02620 0097 +102 //// 059019 019 /// /// 05
174030 1958N 10652W 7564 02483 //// +097 //// 038019 019 /// /// 05
174100 1956N 10652W 7692 02343 0095 +117 //// 031018 018 /// /// 05
174130 1954N 10652W 7818 02204 0089 +127 //// 024018 019 /// /// 05
174200 1952N 10651W 7938 02070 0091 +132 //// 014019 019 /// /// 05
174230 1951N 10651W 8068 01932 0090 +142 +135 006020 020 /// /// 03
174300 1949N 10651W 8196 01800 0092 +148 +139 009019 020 /// /// 03
174330 1947N 10651W 8323 01667 0089 +157 +143 016020 020 /// /// 03
$$

Headed S to set up the next run
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

#537 Postby gotoman38 » Fri May 25, 2012 12:56 pm

URPN15 KNHC 251752
AF302 0202E BUD HDOB 37 20120525
174400 1945N 10651W 8389 01596 0085 +160 +145 014020 021 /// /// 03
174430 1943N 10651W 8420 01562 0087 +155 +152 013022 022 /// /// 03
174500 1941N 10651W 8433 01551 0084 +159 +148 012022 023 /// /// 03
174530 1940N 10651W 8429 01555 0083 +160 +141 011022 023 /// /// 03
174600 1938N 10651W 8428 01555 0083 +161 +141 011023 024 /// /// 03
174630 1936N 10651W 8429 01551 0083 +160 +145 006024 025 /// /// 03
174700 1934N 10651W 8432 01549 0084 +160 +135 005026 027 /// /// 03
174730 1932N 10651W 8427 01554 0082 +160 +144 001026 027 /// /// 03
174800 1930N 10650W 8426 01554 0082 +160 +148 359025 026 /// /// 03
174830 1928N 10650W 8426 01556 0082 +160 +147 356026 026 /// /// 03
174900 1926N 10650W 8426 01555 0083 +160 +147 351027 028 /// /// 03
174930 1924N 10650W 8432 01551 0084 +160 +148 352029 030 /// /// 03
175000 1922N 10650W 8432 01549 0081 +160 +150 353028 029 /// /// 03
175030 1920N 10650W 8429 01551 0082 +160 +152 350028 029 /// /// 03
175100 1918N 10650W 8429 01550 0082 +160 +150 347029 030 /// /// 03
175130 1916N 10650W 8430 01548 0080 +160 +148 347029 030 /// /// 03
175200 1914N 10650W 8422 01557 0081 +159 +149 348030 030 /// /// 03
175230 1912N 10650W 8430 01551 0081 +160 +147 345030 031 /// /// 03
175300 1910N 10650W 8430 01550 0080 +160 +145 345032 033 /// /// 03
175330 1907N 10649W 8432 01549 0080 +159 +148 344031 032 /// /// 03
$$
0 likes   

User avatar
bg1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 408
Joined: Fri May 13, 2011 11:14 am
Location: near Santee, SC

Re: EPAC: BUD - Hurricane

#538 Postby bg1 » Fri May 25, 2012 1:07 pm

NHC wrote:...HURRICANE HUNTER FINDS THAT BUD CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.9N 105.5W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 33393
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#539 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri May 25, 2012 1:08 pm

It's May and the storm is near the continental landmass. That is a perfect setup for rapid filling.
0 likes   

User avatar
gotoman38
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1395
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 1:15 pm
Location: near Durham, NC

#540 Postby gotoman38 » Fri May 25, 2012 1:08 pm

URPN15 KNHC 251802
AF302 0202E BUD HDOB 38 20120525
175400 1905N 10649W 8431 01548 0082 +155 +148 343031 032 /// /// 03
175430 1903N 10649W 8429 01550 0080 +160 +147 342032 033 /// /// 03
175500 1901N 10649W 8429 01550 0080 +160 +149 337031 031 /// /// 03
175530 1859N 10649W 8429 01550 0080 +160 +149 338031 031 /// /// 03
175600 1857N 10649W 8429 01551 0079 +161 +150 338031 032 /// /// 03
175630 1854N 10649W 8429 01550 0076 +165 +151 338030 031 /// /// 03
175700 1852N 10649W 8429 01549 0076 +165 +149 336031 031 /// /// 03
175730 1850N 10649W 8429 01550 0076 +166 +147 334032 033 /// /// 03
175800 1848N 10649W 8430 01550 0075 +168 +141 332033 034 /// /// 03
175830 1846N 10649W 8429 01550 0075 +170 +141 333034 034 /// /// 03
175900 1844N 10648W 8439 01543 0075 +174 +139 332034 034 /// /// 03
175930 1842N 10648W 8436 01543 0073 +172 +141 331033 033 /// /// 03
180000 1840N 10648W 8430 01550 0075 +167 +144 328032 033 /// /// 03
180030 1838N 10648W 8430 01548 0074 +170 +139 327033 033 /// /// 03
180100 1836N 10648W 8430 01551 0078 +158 +145 329032 033 /// /// 03
180130 1834N 10648W 8424 01555 0086 +144 //// 325032 033 /// /// 05
180200 1832N 10648W 8426 01559 0087 +160 +160 324031 032 /// /// 03
180230 1830N 10648W 8426 01561 0084 +166 +155 327030 032 /// /// 03
180300 1828N 10648W 8426 01562 0083 +171 +146 327032 032 /// /// 03
180330 1826N 10648W 8428 01565 0088 +172 +146 324032 032 /// /// 03
$$
0 likes   


Return to “2012”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests