ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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bonjourno
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5541 Postby bonjourno » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:32 pm

Hello all. I'm a long-time lurker from around Gainesville, FL who just decided to register. Eagerly awaiting the latest on this perplexing storm.

Not terribly surprisingly, haven't really felt anything from Isaac around here. Sun gave way to clouds around 5pm here and a couple of tiny bands of showers have passed but that's about it. I think the wind's struggled to even break 15mph :cheesy:
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5542 Postby Sanibel » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:32 pm

CDO is sprouting its own outflow.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5543 Postby wjs3 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:33 pm

ozonepete wrote:
wjs3 wrote:LOL! Three of us in Lauderdale. This is quite definitely the worst so far! It's been bad since nightfall, huh?


Wow, yeah, some really impressive band going through your area. Hang in there!



Thanks, Bud. For reference, I am JUST to the north of the little plus sign (marking Fort Lauderdale) on the KAMX radar if you go through the Miami NWSFO.

Hopefully it slacks off now.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5544 Postby Hurricaneman » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:34 pm

SoupBone wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:Why is no one on TV weather talking about the trough that is/was supposed to have such an influence on Isaac's landfall point? Anyone know?


I've asked about this once or twice with no answers. Aric linked the WV loop but I can't decipher where it was supposed to be.


Its on the southern end of the convection, but with the way the MLC looks, I would maybe look for relocation under the CDO

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5545 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:34 pm

Getting slammed with heavy, heavy rain and wind in Port St. Lucie. The rain was gone for a while but has come back with a vengeance. Stay safe fellow South Floridians...It's getting ugly out there and we are seeing what Isaac can do when he decides to flex his muscle. On the lookout for twisters here in PSL.

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5546 Postby wjs3 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:35 pm

jinftl wrote:Worst squall line of the day for sure....easily seen sustained t.s. winds with gusts over 50 mph for last 15 or 20 minutes non-stop

JPmia wrote:
Bocadude85 wrote:we lost a small tree in the backyard with the last squall and I see the one in Ft. Lauderdale is moving our way


Watch out Bocadude.. that was a nasty one with thuder and lightening added.


Completely agree-we must be close to each other. Wish I hadn't been so lazy. I have a weather station in the garage I haven't set up!
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5547 Postby Cyclenall » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:35 pm

What Issac looks like now is what I expected it to look like 24 hours ago. Its shape is what I expected however with a tight core of convection with a much boarder outside bands that are disconnected from it. It does appear to be spinning up quickly now...finally. The other big thing is the movement is slower.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5548 Postby Bocadude85 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:35 pm

JPmia wrote:
Bocadude85 wrote:we lost a small tree in the backyard with the last squall and I see the one in Ft. Lauderdale is moving our way


Watch out Bocadude.. that was a nasty one with thuder and lightening added.



Were getting hammered right now.. windows are shaking
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#5549 Postby Hammy » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:36 pm

rapidscan and radar are both still showing the center is on the extreme southern edge of the convection, and the ULL thats causing the shear doesnt seem to be moving at all, so this is probably close to as strong as its going to get by the looks of it

-personal opinion and not official forecast-
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#5550 Postby galaxy401 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:37 pm

I heard that the center maybe reforming in the convection. Is that true or is it still on the south side?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5551 Postby LSU2001 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:37 pm

Not really worth much but I thought this was a pretty image of Isaac.
Tim

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5552 Postby ozonepete » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:38 pm

SoupBone wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:Why is no one on TV weather talking about the trough that is/was supposed to have such an influence on Isaac's landfall point? Anyone know?


I've asked about this once or twice with no answers. Aric linked the WV loop but I can't decipher where it was supposed to be.


It (the upper level trough) is passing well to the north and weakening so it is having much less effect than was originally thought. Instead the Bermuda high is strengthening and expanding westward which is preventing Isaac from turning as much north as originally thought. That is why the models have been shifting the track westward.
Last edited by ozonepete on Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#5553 Postby Fyzn94 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:38 pm

HurricaneWarning92 wrote:The good news i would think is that Isaac is not forecast to reach major status. Maybe not even cat 2. So thats good for sure.

Well.....I've known the gulf to be a haven for the unexpected.....and I'm not saying we WILL see something beyond our expectations, I'm just saying that I, personally, still don't know what to expect.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5554 Postby StarmanHDB » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:39 pm

Cyclenall wrote:What Issac looks like now is what I expected it to look like 24 hours ago. Its shape is what I expected however with a tight core of convection with a much boarder outside bands that are disconnected from it. It does appear to be spinning up quickly now...finally. The other big thing is the movement is slower.


Now that the storm has entered the Gulf, Isaac definitely does appear more together with some major convection firing around the center, but it still doesn't look quite stacked....YET.
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Re:

#5555 Postby HurrMark » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:40 pm

Hammy wrote:rapidscan and radar are both still showing the center is on the extreme southern edge of the convection, and the ULL thats causing the shear doesnt seem to be moving at all, so this is probably close to as strong as its going to get by the looks of it

-personal opinion and not official forecast-


KYW radar is actually showing the center closer to where the deepest convection is (maybe 10-15 miles south). But this isn't reflected at the surface.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5556 Postby SootyTern » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:40 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
jinftl wrote:Lights keep going on and off...unnerving me! it's scary out there right now

wjs3 wrote:LOL! Three of us in Lauderdale. This is quite definitely the worst so far! It's been bad since nightfall, huh?


it is by far the strongest it has been all day in fort lauderdale, i thought it was peaking a few hours ago...wrong


I thought Isaac was pretty much over and done with, too, earlier. Nope...power flickering here for the first time all day. You folks in Lauderdale must be getting pounded!
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5557 Postby Jevo » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:40 pm

Im in NW broward county.. the white circle.... It's actually getting worse now.. We've seen 4 inches in 30 mins.. before this our total was 4 for the day... Wind is a whipping a lots of lightning..

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5558 Postby HurricaneQueen » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:43 pm

I can't believe how much worse conditions are on the East Coast of Florida. It's as if we are in different states. Perhaps we will get it worse with the back end but that doesn't seem likely as Isaac is moving away from the coast. On the other hand we have been hearing all along that conditions would be worse late tonight and through the early morning hours. So far, today has not been much worse than our normal afternoon showers with slightly more wind. Hopefully, it will stay like that. Thankfully, we have not lost our electricity!!!! :D

Be careful everyone and hopefully, the effects will be minimal.

Lynn
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5559 Postby SoupBone » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:44 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:Why is no one on TV weather talking about the trough that is/was supposed to have such an influence on Isaac's landfall point? Anyone know?


Ok I see it now. When looking at the loop, now I'm wondering how much the midwest high was supposed to dip down. It's still creeping toward the south.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/loop-wv.html
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#5560 Postby galaxy401 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 9:48 pm

65 mph with a pressure of 993. Moving WNW at 14 mph. Track over New Orleans.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.


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