ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical

[Bocadude85]

Looks like Beryl has just about completed her cyclonic loop.. looks to be starting to move towards the SW again...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/02L/java-vis-long.html

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 261929
AF307 0102A BERYL HDOB 09 20120526
192100 3030N 08238W 3759 08037 0417 -225 -481 029019 020 /// /// 03
192130 3030N 08234W 3759 08035 0417 -225 -484 029020 021 /// /// 03
192200 3030N 08231W 3759 08035 0415 -225 -487 028021 021 /// /// 03
192230 3030N 08228W 3758 08039 0416 -225 -488 031021 022 /// /// 03
192300 3030N 08225W 3759 08034 0414 -225 -486 031021 022 /// /// 03
192330 3030N 08222W 3760 08033 0414 -228 -482 033023 023 /// /// 03
192400 3029N 08219W 3761 08031 0414 -223 -479 030023 023 /// /// 03
192430 3029N 08216W 3761 08031 0413 -225 -479 031024 024 /// /// 03
192500 3029N 08213W 3759 08031 0412 -229 -472 034025 027 /// /// 03
192530 3029N 08210W 3759 08030 0412 -228 -454 033025 026 /// /// 03
192600 3029N 08207W 3761 08028 0411 -222 -448 032025 025 /// /// 03
192630 3029N 08204W 3758 08031 0410 -225 -458 032026 026 /// /// 03
192700 3028N 08201W 3758 08031 0410 -221 -467 031025 026 /// /// 03
192730 3028N 08157W 3758 08030 0409 -223 -469 030026 026 /// /// 03
192800 3028N 08154W 3758 08031 0408 -223 -464 032026 026 /// /// 03
192830 3028N 08151W 3758 08030 0409 -228 -459 033028 029 /// /// 03
192900 3028N 08148W 3759 08029 0409 -230 -446 031029 029 /// /// 03
192930 3028N 08148W 3759 08029 0408 -228 -432 031029 029 /// /// 03
193000 3028N 08142W 3759 08026 0407 -225 -436 032029 030 /// /// 03
193030 3028N 08139W 3759 08025 0406 -225 -451 032030 030 /// /// 03
$$
;

[bg1]

Looks like Beryl has just about completed her cyclonic loop.. looks to be starting to move towards the SW again...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/02L/java-vis-long.html

Also, it looks like it's cutting off the large outflow boundary (I think that's what it's called) to the right. Shouldn't be long before it transitions.

[Hurricane Andrew]

TA's HDOB hasn't updated in 23minutes. Dave, can you take it from here? I have to go soon anyway.

[Dave]

TA's HDOB hasn't updated in 23minutes. Dave, can you take it from here? I have to go soon anyway.

I can take it for awhile, no problem.

[Hurricane Andrew]

I should be back within 2 hours from when I leave.

[Aric Dunn]

For those who dont know. the nasa site offers 15 min updates vs 45... and sometimes rapid fire mode. creates a much smoother loop and better detail. convection wrapping almost all the way around now. thought limited to very near the center. still a sign things are transitioning.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

[Dave]

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 261939
AF307 0102A BERYL HDOB 10 20120526
193100 3028N 08136W 3759 08025 0405 -225 -458 032031 031 /// /// 03
193130 3028N 08133W 3759 08024 0405 -229 -451 030031 032 /// /// 03
193200 3028N 08130W 3758 08025 0404 -230 -442 029032 033 /// /// 03
193230 3027N 08127W 3759 08023 0403 -227 -441 030033 033 /// /// 03
193300 3027N 08124W 3758 08024 0402 -230 -447 031034 034 /// /// 03
193330 3027N 08121W 3760 08018 0400 -230 -449 032033 034 /// /// 03
193400 3027N 08118W 3758 08020 0400 -228 -453 031034 034 /// /// 03
193430 3027N 08115W 3759 08019 0399 -228 -457 030034 034 /// /// 03
193500 3027N 08112W 3758 08019 0399 -230 -459 031034 034 000 000 03
193530 3027N 08109W 3759 08018 0398 -230 -461 032034 034 007 000 03
193600 3027N 08106W 3759 08018 0398 -230 -463 033035 035 008 000 00
193630 3027N 08103W 3759 08016 0397 -230 -464 032035 035 008 000 03
193700 3027N 08100W 3759 08014 0395 -230 -464 031036 036 009 000 00
193730 3027N 08057W 3758 08016 0395 -230 -462 033036 036 008 000 03
193800 3027N 08054W 3759 08014 0394 -227 -462 032037 037 006 000 00
193830 3027N 08051W 3759 08013 0393 -225 -465 033037 037 003 000 00
193900 3027N 08048W 3758 08013 0392 -225 -467 032037 037 007 000 03
193930 3026N 08045W 3759 08011 0391 -225 -469 033037 038 005 000 00
194000 3026N 08042W 3759 08009 0391 -225 -470 033038 038 004 000 00
194030 3025N 08039W 3758 08011 0390 -225 -469 035038 038 002 000 00
$$
;

[Hurricane Andrew]

Is there anouther site with that? That one is acting up for me ATM.

[Dave]

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 261949
AF307 0102A BERYL HDOB 11 20120526
194100 3025N 08036W 3761 08007 0389 -225 -470 035037 037 004 000 00
194130 3024N 08033W 3759 08008 0388 -224 -472 036038 038 008 000 00
194200 3024N 08030W 3758 08009 0387 -223 -475 035039 040 007 001 00
194230 3023N 08027W 3759 08005 0386 -220 -476 034037 038 005 000 00
194300 3023N 08024W 3759 08005 0384 -220 -480 035038 039 011 000 03
194330 3022N 08021W 3759 08003 0384 -220 -484 035039 040 014 000 03
194400 3022N 08018W 3758 08003 0383 -220 -487 034040 040 011 001 00
194430 3022N 08015W 3759 08002 0382 -220 -486 035039 040 009 000 00
194500 3021N 08012W 3759 08001 0381 -220 -487 035039 040 013 001 00
194530 3021N 08009W 3759 07998 0379 -220 -489 034040 041 011 000 03
194600 3020N 08006W 3759 07998 0378 -220 -490 034041 041 011 000 00
194630 3020N 08003W 3758 07998 0378 -220 -492 035042 042 015 000 00
194700 3019N 08000W 3761 07995 0377 -220 -491 034042 042 012 000 00
194730 3019N 07957W 3759 07996 0375 -220 -489 033042 042 007 000 00
194800 3018N 07954W 3758 07996 0375 -220 -488 032041 042 012 000 00
194830 3018N 07951W 3759 07994 0373 -220 -487 031039 040 011 000 03
194900 3017N 07948W 3759 07992 0372 -220 -485 030037 038 012 000 00
194930 3017N 07945W 3760 07990 0371 -219 -482 029036 037 006 000 03
195000 3016N 07942W 3758 07992 0370 -220 -482 028037 038 007 000 03
195030 3016N 07939W 3759 07989 0370 -219 -487 026034 034 010 000 00
$$
;

[cycloneye]

More convection building. It looks like transition to Tropical is well underway.

[crimi481]

So far - its been a BAREYL of Laughs?
Between a SUV and a compact. Gas or Solar? An up hill -downhill journey

[Dave]

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 261959
AF307 0102A BERYL HDOB 12 20120526
195100 3015N 07936W 3759 07991 0371 -219 -474 023032 033 011 000 03
195130 3015N 07933W 3758 07994 0370 -219 -398 019030 030 012 000 00
195200 3014N 07930W 3758 07994 0370 -220 -378 019030 031 016 000 03
195230 3014N 07927W 3758 07991 0369 -220 -370 017029 029 011 000 00
195300 3013N 07924W 3758 07991 0370 -220 -356 017029 029 015 001 00
195330 3013N 07921W 3759 07989 0370 -220 -351 017029 029 016 000 03
195400 3012N 07918W 3759 07989 0369 -220 -344 016029 029 017 000 03
195430 3012N 07915W 3775 07959 0368 -220 -342 016030 031 014 000 00
195500 3011N 07912W 3742 08021 0369 -222 -338 017031 031 016 000 03
195530 3011N 07909W 3780 07958 0375 -217 -337 014030 031 011 000 00
195600 3010N 07905W 3931 07669 0362 -196 -310 015030 031 011 000 00
195630 3010N 07902W 4030 07481 0350 -183 -245 020030 030 013 000 00
195700 3009N 07859W 4101 07349 0341 -176 -261 026030 030 008 000 03
195730 3009N 07856W 4177 07208 0331 -167 -220 026028 029 /// /// 03
195800 3008N 07853W 4249 07082 0326 -158 -231 018028 028 /// /// 03
195830 3008N 07850W 4406 06807 0312 -134 -231 017029 030 /// /// 03
195900 3007N 07847W 4582 06506 0294 -115 -212 012028 030 /// /// 03
195930 3007N 07845W 4776 06186 0277 -104 -140 004026 027 /// /// 03
200000 3006N 07842W 4918 05943 0252 -093 -101 002028 029 /// /// 03
200030 3006N 07839W 4933 05919 0246 -094 -110 001029 031 /// /// 03
$$
;

[cycloneye]

Plane is decending to operational altitude.

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 262009
AF307 0102A BERYL HDOB 13 20120526
200100 3005N 07837W 4940 05914 0247 -089 -100 004031 031 029 000 03
200130 3005N 07834W 5139 05605 0235 -071 -083 003032 033 032 003 00
200200 3004N 07832W 5418 05194 0218 -053 -055 359036 038 /// /// 03
200230 3004N 07829W 5716 04774 0104 -033 //// 356032 034 /// /// 05
200300 3003N 07826W 6003 04388 0117 -009 -018 355032 034 /// /// 03
200330 3003N 07826W 6003 04388 0122 +011 +002 345030 032 /// /// 03
200400 3002N 07821W 6578 03650 0122 +033 +032 333029 031 /// /// 03
200430 3002N 07818W 6886 03276 0133 +048 +046 337033 034 /// /// 03
200500 3002N 07816W 7189 02921 0135 +067 //// 326030 031 /// /// 05
200530 3001N 07813W 7523 02546 0135 +090 +084 317028 030 /// /// 03
200600 3001N 07810W 7846 02193 0134 +112 +101 317028 030 /// /// 03
200630 3000N 07808W 8170 01853 0136 +130 +108 323023 025 /// /// 03
200700 3000N 07805W 8494 01523 0138 +144 +128 324022 022 /// /// 03
200730 2959N 07803W 8840 01184 0138 +161 +150 324024 025 /// /// 03
200800 2959N 07800W 9200 00836 0132 +186 +168 320025 026 /// /// 03
200830 2958N 07758W 9554 00500 0129 +199 +194 315028 029 019 000 05
200900 2958N 07755W 9604 00446 //// +203 //// 314029 029 019 000 01
200930 2958N 07753W 9582 00465 //// +203 //// 311030 031 019 001 01
201000 2957N 07751W 9591 00458 0108 +202 //// 312031 031 019 000 01
201030 2957N 07749W 9592 00456 0107 +200 //// 312031 032 022 001 05
$$
;

At operational altitude

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 262019
AF307 0102A BERYL HDOB 14 20120526
201100 2956N 07746W 9593 00453 0106 +205 +200 313031 032 023 000 00
201130 2956N 07744W 9594 00454 0107 +207 +195 311030 031 022 000 03
201200 2957N 07743W 9588 00455 0103 +209 +193 311026 027 017 000 03
201230 2959N 07742W 9593 00454 0106 +205 +201 312027 028 018 000 03
201300 3000N 07741W 9592 00455 0107 +207 +202 313027 027 015 001 00
201330 3002N 07740W 9590 00455 0106 +204 //// 313027 028 015 000 01
201400 3003N 07739W 9593 00454 0106 +206 +201 315026 026 014 000 00
201430 3005N 07738W 9590 00456 0106 +205 //// 311026 026 015 000 01
201500 3006N 07738W 9593 00452 0104 +205 +205 311027 028 017 001 00
201530 3008N 07737W 9589 00455 0104 +209 +199 319026 027 016 000 00
201600 3010N 07736W 9592 00451 0101 +210 +200 317027 027 012 001 00
201630 3011N 07735W 9592 00450 0100 +214 +197 319026 027 013 000 00
201700 3013N 07733W 9589 00450 0098 +215 +195 316027 027 019 000 03
201730 3014N 07732W 9592 00448 0097 +211 +201 314028 029 016 001 03
201800 3015N 07730W 9589 00449 0097 +210 +207 312029 029 018 000 00
201830 3016N 07729W 9588 00449 0096 +208 //// 310028 029 008 001 01
201900 3017N 07727W 9592 00446 0095 +210 +207 312025 026 008 000 03
201930 3018N 07725W 9592 00445 0094 +210 +204 316027 028 010 000 03
202000 3020N 07724W 9591 00444 0093 +210 +203 313027 028 010 000 03
202030 3021N 07723W 9591 00444 0092 +210 +198 308026 027 014 008 00
$$
;

[ozonepete]

It appears the upper level cold low is beginning to cooperate is it is no longer elongated and completely stacked with the 500 mb, 700 mb, 850 mb, and surface heights.

But remember that we don't want a low stacked all the way up to 200-300mb. That indicates a subtropical system. We want the ULL to move away and/or weaken and an upper level anticyclone to develop over it. Otherwise it will never get good outflow and will never transition to purely tropical.