ATL: SANDY - Models

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deltadog03
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#801 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Oct 29, 2012 3:05 pm

Just want to say, its all hail king EURO...NAILED this 7 days out. Landfall location was shown a bit north of where it went in, but much better job than GFS.
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KWT
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#802 Postby KWT » Mon Oct 29, 2012 3:06 pm

In truth Deltadog, both GFS and the ECM did a grand job considering everything, it must be a farly complex situation, so the fact both the models were actually very close 5-7 days out is pretty good going.
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deltadog03
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#803 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Oct 29, 2012 3:15 pm

GFS was horrible in the mid-range though...I guess thats typical GFS, but ya, from day 4 in...it did very good as well.
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CrazyC83
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#804 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Oct 30, 2012 4:12 pm

The ECMWF sure won this one. That model alone probably saved a lot of lives.
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Cyclenall
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King Euro is King

#805 Postby Cyclenall » Tue Oct 30, 2012 4:59 pm

deltadog03 wrote:Just want to say, its all hail king EURO...NAILED this 7 days out. Landfall location was shown a bit north of where it went in, but much better job than GFS.

Yes, the Euro is King and let it be known to all of humanity :lol: . It was probably one of the best model forecasts I've ever seen, 7-8 days out for what it predicted and then the outcome was crazy accurate. Not to mention how unique of a Superstorm Sandy was. On CNN eariler today, they had one of those famous physicists come on and explain the science behind Sandy. Guess what he said? He said none of the models could forecast this new beast well :eek: :lol: . Talk about not knowing the facts!
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CrazyC83
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#806 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 31, 2012 10:23 am

GFS was Global Fail System for the mid-range forecast. But the ECMWF model NAILING it so far out - give a lot of accolades to the Europeans for saving lives.
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