hurricanes1234 wrote:Unusually southerly, isn't it? Also looks slightly subtropical in my opinion. What a cute little invest!
Subtropical Depression 13WTIO30 FMEE 280031
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 3/13/20132014
1.A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 13
2.A POSITION 2014/02/28 AT 0000 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 33.3 S / 37.3 E
(THIRTY THREE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN
DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT : WEST 3 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: NIL
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 996 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 35 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) :33 KM
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 80 SE: 440 SW: 310 NW: 170
34 KT NE: 0 SE: 0 SW: 120 NW: 80
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1009 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2014/02/28 12 UTC: 34.4 S / 37.9 E, MAX WIND=030 KT, SUBTROPICAL
DEPRESSION
24H: 2014/03/01 00 UTC: 37.0 S / 38.5 E, MAX WIND=030 KT,
EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM
36H: 2014/03/01 12 UTC: 40.5 S / 42.0 E, MAX WIND=030 KT, LOW
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK :
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:
MAKING A SLOW RIGHT-HAND LOOP , THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY SINCE
18Z.
SINCE 19Z, SYSTEM IS SHOWING A WELL DEFINED "EYE" ON MSG SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THIS NO-RAINY CENTRAL AREA IS SURROUNDED BY RATHER WARM
CONVECTIVE BANDS AS USUAL FOR THIS KIND OF HYBRID LOW OVER MARGINAL
SST IN THE 24-25AOC RANGE.
THE SYSTEM KEEPS HYBRID CHARACTERISTICS WITH BOTH LATENT HEAT RELEASE
AND BAROCLINIC PROCESS INVOLVED FOR SUSTAINING ITS STRENGTH.
WITHIN THE NEXT 2 DAYS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO ROUND THE LOW
TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL HIGHS LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH-EAST THAT TEND TO
MOVE EASTWARDS.
THE SYSTEM SHOULD ACCELERATE SOUTH-SOUTH-EASTWARDS AND MERGE WITHIN
THE MID-LAT WESTERLIES SATURDAY NIGHT.
THIS SYSTEM SHOULD STILL BE WITHIN A WEAK VERTICAL SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTER-THAT , NORTH-WESTERLY SHEAR
IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN.=