WPAC: INVEST 99W

[somethingfunny]

There's not much to it yet but hey, it's an Invest.

[ManilaTC]

99W INVEST 140827 0000 16.2N 114.1E WPAC 15 1010

[mrbagyo]

looks like an Atlantic cane, hahaha

[euro6208]

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 18.3N 112.7E,
APPROXIMATELY 122 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN, CHINA. ANIMATED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS FRAGMENTED, ALBEIT FORMATIVE,
BANDING FEEDING IN FROM THE SOUTH INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) THAT HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED. THE LLCC CAN BE
DISCERNED FROM A 271151Z 37GHZ SSMIS MICROWAVE PASS. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS SOUTH AND NORTHEAST OF RIDGE AXES
IN AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE (10-15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
GOOD WESTWARD OUTFLOW. NUMERIC WEATHER PREDICTION MODELS DO NOT
DEVELOP THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1006 MB. DUE TO THE WEAK CONSOLIDATION AND ITS IMMINENT
LANDFALL INTO HAINAN, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

[euro6208]

20140827 1332 18.2 -112.6 T1.0/1.0 99W 99W

[somethingfunny]

1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.3N
112.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 111.6E, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM
SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS INCREASED CONSOLIDATION WITH DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING
INCREASING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A POORLY DEFINED LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION WHILE CONVECTION TO THE NORTH HAS BEEN LIMITED AND
FLARING. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A CONDUCIVE ENVIRONMENT AS THE
SYSTEM IS SOUTH OF THE RIDGE AXES IN AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE (10-
15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN THE REGION ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. DUE TO THE INCREASED
CONSOLIDATION, BUT CLOSE PROXIMITY TO HAINAN ISLAND, WHICH WILL MOST
LIKELY HINDER DEVELOPMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
MEDIUM.

[euro6208]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.7N
111.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 107.4E, APPROXIMATELY 94 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) STREAMING TO THE SOUTHWEST UNDER THE SOUTHEASTERN
QUADRANT OF AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE LOCATED OVER NORTHERN
VIETNAM. THE ANTICYCLONE IS CREATING MODERATE LEVELS OF VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR (15 TO 20 KNOTS). THE TRACK SPEED HAS BEEN INCREASING
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS QUICKLY APPROACHING THE NORTHERN COAST
OF VIETNAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO
20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006
MB. DUE TO THE RAPID APPROACH OF THE LLCC TO THE COAST OF VIETNAM,
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO LOW.