ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

[cycloneye]

AL, 97, 2014110418, , BEST, 0, 184N, 657W, 25, 1012, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 180, 60, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2014110500, , BEST, 0, 190N, 662W, 25, 1012, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 180, 60, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2014110506, , BEST, 0, 196N, 665W, 25, 1012, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 180, 60, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2014110512, , BEST, 0, 203N, 667W, 25, 1012, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 180, 60, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2014110518, , BEST, 0, 209N, 670W, 25, 1011, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 180, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0,

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST WED NOV 5 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A low pressure system has developed a couple of hundred miles north
of Puerto Rico. This disturbance is interacting with an upper-level
low and is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized
shower and thunderstorm activity. There is some potential for the
low to briefly acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics
during the next day or so while it moves northwestward or
north-northwestward. After that time, development is not expected
when the system moves north-northeastward and merges with a frontal
zone. Regardless of formation, locally heavy rainfall and possible
flooding should continue across Puerto Rico and the Dominican
Republic through tonight. For additional information on the heavy
rainfall threat, please consult products issued by your national
meteorological service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Stewart


Thread at Talking Tropics forum that was the topic for this area.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=116933&p=2426002#p2426002

[Sanibel]

Naked spiral.

[cycloneye]

As expected it was a brief Invest.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST THU NOV 6 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite imagery indicates that the low pressure area several
hundred miles southwest of Bermuda has weakened to a trough, and
that the associated shower activity has become less organized.
Significant development of this system is unlikely before it is
absorbed into a developing non-tropical low over the western
Atlantic on Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST THU NOV 6 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart