WPAC: HALONG - Post-Tropical

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Equilibrium

HALONG

#101 Postby Equilibrium » Tue Jul 29, 2014 5:09 am

WTPN31 PGTW 290900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 11W (HALONG) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z --- NEAR 12.7N 148.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N 148.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 13.3N 147.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 13.8N 146.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 14.4N 144.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 15.0N 143.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 16.2N 141.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 17.8N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 19.7N 138.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
290900Z POSITION NEAR 12.9N 147.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 11W (HALONG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 191 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
290600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z, 292100Z, 300300Z
AND 300900Z.//
NNNN
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#102 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Tue Jul 29, 2014 5:56 am

TS 1411 (HALONG)
Issued at 09:40 UTC, 29 July 2014

<Analyses at 29/09 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N12°50'(12.8°)
E147°30'(147.5°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 998hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL280km(150NM)

<Forecast for 30/09 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N14°05'(14.1°)
E144°50'(144.8°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)

<Forecast for 31/06 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N14°50'(14.8°)
E142°30'(142.5°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 975hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)
Storm warning area ALL260km(140NM)

<Forecast for 01/06 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N15°55'(15.9°)
E139°40'(139.7°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 955hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(80kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(115kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
Storm warning area ALL390km(210NM)
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Re: WPAC: HALONG - Tropical Storm

#103 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 29, 2014 6:05 am

Eye is 100 percent complete...JTWC should upgrade this to a typhoon next warning...

000
WTPQ61 PGUM 291049 CCA
TCUPQ1

TROPICAL STORM HALONG (11W) TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM WP112014
830 PM CHST TUE JUL 29 2014

CORRECTION TO DISTANCE

...830 PM CHST...0930 UTC...WFO GUAM RADAR POSITION ESTIMATE...

AT 830 PM CHST...1030 UTC...A DEVELOPING EYE OF TROPICAL STORM
HALONG (11W) WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 DEGREES NORTH
AND LONGITUDE 147.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 200 MILES
EAST OF THE GUAM WSR-88D RADAR AT AN ELEVATION OF 28000
FEET. THE APPARENT EYE IS APPROXIMATELY 100% COMPLETE AND
IS 26 MILES IN DIAMETER.

SUMMARY OF 830 PM CHST...1030 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.4N 147.7E
ELEVATION...28000 FEET

ABOUT 200 MILES...95 DEGREES...E OF THE GUAM RADAR.
POSITION CONFIDENCE IN THE CENTER POSITION IS GOOD.

$$

ZIOBRO
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Re: WPAC: HALONG - Tropical Storm

#104 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 29, 2014 6:06 am

000
WTPQ31 PGUM 290922
TCPPQ1

TROPICAL STORM HALONG (11W) ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP112014
800 PM CHST TUE JUL 29 2014

...TROPICAL STORM HALONG CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ROTA. TYPHOON CONDITIONS
INCLUDING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 75 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24
HOURS.


A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...TINIAN AND
SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH
OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.


A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM. TYPHOON CONDITIONS
INCLUDING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 75 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.0N 147.8E

ABOUT 205 MILES EAST OF GUAM
ABOUT 190 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ROTA AND
ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST...310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HALONG WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
147.8 DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL STORM HALONG IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 6
MPH. TROPICAL STORM HALONG IS EXPECTED TO TURN BACK TOWARDS THE
WEST-NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 60 MPH. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL
STORM HALONG IS FORECASTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AND COULD BECOME A TYPHOON WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------

THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM HALONG WILL BE
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 1100 PM...FOLLOWED BY THE
NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WEDNESDAY MORNING AT 200 AM.

$$

M. AYDLETT/GUARD/EDSON
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Re: WPAC: HALONG - Tropical Storm

#105 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 29, 2014 6:08 am

Worse conditions by far. Showers falling more heavily and winds are very strong...
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Re: WPAC: HALONG - Tropical Storm

#106 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Tue Jul 29, 2014 6:12 am

euro6208 wrote:Worse conditions by far. Showers falling more heavily and winds are very strong...

Indeed. Conditions are very dangerous now, winds gusting to 70 km/h and would gust even stronger as the storm approaches. Possibly your place would get gusts of 150 km/h during the closest approach, based on wind radii.
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Re: WPAC: HALONG - Tropical Storm

#107 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 29, 2014 6:29 am

Winds are sustained in the 20's gusting to near 40 mph now as per latest obs, stronger in heavy showers...
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Re: WPAC: HALONG - Tropical Storm

#108 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 29, 2014 6:35 am

Image

Eye is east of Northern Guam...
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Equilibrium

#109 Postby Equilibrium » Tue Jul 29, 2014 6:38 am

Typhoon Warning
Issued by NWS Guam (Guam)

Affected Area: Rota

Tropical Storm Halong Continues To Strengthen

New Information... Guam Has Been Placed In Condition Of Readiness 2

Areas Affected... This Local Statement Provides Information And Recommended Actions For People In The Marianas And Surrounding Waters Out To 40 Nm

Watches/warnings... A Typhoon Warning Is Now In Effect For Rota And Rota Waters. A Tropical Storm Warning And A Typhoon Watch Is Now In Effect For Guam. A Tropical Storm Warning Is Now In Effect For Guam... Tinian... Saipan And The Surrounding Waters. A Flash Flood Watch Is In Effect For All Of The Marianas. Please Listen Closely For Any Flood Warnings That Might Be In Effect For Your Area. Please Check The Latest Public And Marine Forecasts For Detailed Information About Additional Hazards

Storm Information... At 8 PM Chst... The Center Of Tropical Storm Halong (11w) Was Located Near Latitude 13.0n... Longitude 147.8e... Or About 205 Miles East Of Guam. This Was About 210 Miles Southeast Of Garapan Saipan. Storm Motion Was Northwest. Storm Intensity Was 60 MPH

Situation Overview... As Tropical Storm Halong Approaches... Winds And Waves Will Increase. Locally Heavy Rain Will Produce Localized Flooding. If The Waves Are Sufficiently High... Areas Near The Coast Could Be Inundated With Salt Water

Precautionary/preparedness Actions... Next Update... The Next Local Statement Will Be Issued By The National Weather Service In Tiyan Shortly.

Typhoon Warning In Effect...

For Those Under A Warning... Now Is The Time To Rush To Completion Preparations For The Protection Of Life And Property. Head For Stronger Shelter If Directed To Do So By Local Officials... Or If Your Home Is Vulnerable To High Winds Or Flooding. For Boaters At Ports... Docks... And Marinas... Urgently Complete Prescribed Preparations According To Your Emergency Operations Plan For Tropical Cyclones. If You Live On A Boat... Make Final Preparations For Securing Your Craft Before Leaving It. Be Sure To Account For The Possible Closure Of Bridges And Causeways. Small Craft Should Remain In Port And Well Secured If Under A Warning. For Those Under A Watch... Continue With Your Preparations And Listen For Possible Warnings. Small Craft Should Return To Port Or Seek Safe Harbor. Determine The Best Strategy For Securing Your Craft. Closely Monitor Noaa Weather Radio Or Other Local News Outlets For Official Storm Information. Listen For Possible Changes To The Forecast. For Additional Precautionary And Preparedness Information... Please Refer To The Detailed Recommendations Relative To Your Location As Further Described By Your Local National Weather Service Office And Local Emergency Management.


Typhoon Warning was issued on July 29 at 9:09PM ChST until further notice by the National Weather Service in Guam.
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Re: WPAC: HALONG - Tropical Storm

#110 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 29, 2014 6:41 am

Image

Forecast has worse conditions Wednesday night, Thursday Morning...
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Re: WPAC: HALONG - Tropical Storm

#111 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 29, 2014 6:47 am

UPDATE:

GovGuam has moved the island into Condition of Readiness 2. According to a press release from the governor's office, the island could possibly move into COR 1 by 8 a.m. tomorrow.

All non-essential GovGuam agencies are now closed. Shelters will open at 5 a.m., and pregnant women can check into the Guam Memorial Hospital starting at 7 a.m. A list of shelters will be provided by the governor's office later tonight, the release states.

The storm is intensifying and has slowed down, the press release states. It is now expected to come nearest to the island around 11 p.m. tomorrow. Expected wind speed for Guam has increased to 60 mph.


Condition of Readiness 2 means Damaging winds may arrive within 24 hours.

Condition of Readiness 1 means Damaging winds are occurring or expected within 12 hours.
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Re: WPAC: HALONG - Tropical Storm

#112 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 29, 2014 6:54 am

Halong is slowly tighting up. Outflow in the north seems to disappeared with a prominent curved band to the west while the CDO becomes more symmetric with deepening convection...
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Re: WPAC: HALONG - Tropical Storm

#113 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 29, 2014 7:06 am

000
WTPQ61 PGUM 291149
TCUPQ1

TROPICAL STORM HALONG (11W) TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM WP112014
930 PM CHST TUE JUL 29 2014

...930 PM CHST...1130 UTC...WFO GUAM RADAR POSITION ESTIMATE...

AT 930 PM CHST...1130 UTC...A DEVELOPING EYE OF TROPICAL STORM
HALONG (11W) WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 DEGREES NORTH
AND LONGITUDE 147.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 180 MILES
EAST OF THE GUAM WSR-88D RADAR AT AN ELEVATION OF 23500
FEET. THE APPARENT EYE IS APPROXIMATELY 100% COMPLETE AND
IS 16 MILES IN DIAMETER.

SUMMARY OF 930 PM CHST...1130 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...13.6N 147.4E
ELEVATION...23500 FEET

ABOUT 180 MILES...85 DEGREES...E OF THE GUAM RADAR.
POSITION CONFIDENCE IN THE CENTER POSITION IS GOOD.

$$

ZIOBRO
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Re: WPAC: HALONG - Tropical Storm

#114 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 29, 2014 7:58 am

Intense spiral band moving over Rota and headed to Guam...Very heavy rains...
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Re: WPAC: HALONG - Tropical Storm

#115 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 29, 2014 8:03 am

000
WTPQ81 PGUM 291229
HLSPQ1

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM HALONG (11W) LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
1029 PM CHST TUE JUL 29 2014

...TROPICAL STORM HALONG CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...

.NEW INFORMATION...
GUAM HAS BEEN PLACED IN CONDITION OF READINESS 2.
ROTA HAS BEEN PLACED IN TYPHOON CONDITION OF READINESS 2.
SAIPAN AND TINIAN HAVE BEEN PLACED IN TROPICAL STORM CONDITION OF
READINESS 3.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN THE MARIANAS AND SURROUNDING WATERS OUT TO 40 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND ROTA WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
GUAM.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...TINIAN...
SAIPAN AND THE SURROUNDING WATERS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE MARIANAS. PLEASE
LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR
YOUR AREA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM CHST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HALONG (11W) WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0N...LONGITUDE 147.8E...OR ABOUT 205
MILES EAST OF GUAM...OR ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GARAPAN
SAIPAN. STORM MOTION WAS NORTHWEST. STORM INTENSITY WAS 60 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AS TROPICAL STORM HALONG APPROACHES...WINDS AND WAVES WILL
INCREASE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING. IF
THE WAVES ARE SUFFICIENTLY HIGH...AREAS NEAR THE COAST COULD BE
INUNDATED WITH SALT WATER.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. HEAD FOR
STRONGER SHELTER IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF
YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR BOATERS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED IF UNDER A WARNING.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR
SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TIYAN AROUND 3 AM CHST WEDNESDAY...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

GUZ002-PMZ152-291830-
/X.CON.PGUM.TY.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ROTA-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-
1029 PM CHST TUE JUL 29 2014

...TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ROTA HAS BEEN PLACED IN TYPHOON CONDITION OF READINESS 2.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MAKE THE FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RUSH TO
COMPLETION THE HARDENING OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING
SHUTTERS AND BRACING DOORS.

IF SEEKING STRONGER SHELTER...LEAVE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. GUARD
AGAINST BEING STUCK OUT ON ROADWAYS WHEN DANGEROUS WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINS ARRIVE. AGAIN...DO NOT STAY IN A SUBSTANDARD OR WEAK HOME.
PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST OFFICIAL SHELTERS...SO CHECK AHEAD
WITH YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

IF STAYING IN A HOME...TURN THE REFRIGERATOR TO MAXIMUM COLD AND
KEEP IT CLOSED. TURN OFF PROPANE TANKS AND UNPLUG SMALL
APPLIANCES. FILL THE BATHTUB WITH WATER IN CASE THE TAP WATER
BECOMES UNAVAILABLE AFTER THE STORM. THIS IS FOR CLEANING AND
FLUSHING PURPOSES. DO NOT DRINK IT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM HALONG (11W) APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY MORNING AND
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
BE IN THE 65 TO 85 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 110 MPH.

DANGEROUS WINDS WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD DAMAGE...ESPECIALLY TO
WOOD AND TIN ROOFS. AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL CAUSE DAMAGE AND INJURIES.
WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO SHINGLES...SIDING...AND
GUTTERS. WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT IF NOT PROPERLY COVERED. PARTIAL
ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED AT SOME INDUSTRIAL PARKS...ESPECIALLY TO
THOSE BUILDINGS WITH LIGHT WEIGHT STEEL AND ALUMINUM COVERINGS.
SOME LOW RISE APARTMENT BUILDING ROOFS MAY BE TORN OFF...ALONG
WITH SIDING AND SHINGLE DAMAGE. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME
PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY.
EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO POWER LINES AND POLES WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES THAT COULD LAST FROM SEVERAL DAYS TO
WEEKS.

COMBINED SEAS OF 8 TO 10 FEET TONIGHT WILL RISE TO BETWEEN 15 AND
20 FEET BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL THEN DIMINISH TO BETWEEN 11
AND 14 FEET BY FRIDAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
EASTERN SHORES AND REEFS OF ROTA COULD SEE INUNDATION OF 4 TO 7
FEET...ESPECIALLY NEAR HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WHICH IS AROUND
10 PM. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 20 TO 25 FEET ON ALL EXPOSURES IS
POSSIBLE AS HALONG PASSES BY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
ROTA HAS RECEIVED 0.48 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. AN
ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

$$

GUZ001-291830-
/X.CON.PGUM.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/X.CON.PGUM.TY.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GUAM-
1029 PM CHST TUE JUL 29 2014

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
GUAM HAS BEEN PLACED IN CONDITION OF READINESS 2.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE ANY FURTHER. COVER WINDOWS AND
DOORS WITH SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE ALL LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS
INSIDE. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS.

IF YOU LIVE IN A WOOD OR TIN HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER. IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN
A SURGE ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A
DESIGNATED SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM IN THE STURDY HOME OF
FAMILY OR FRIENDS.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM HALONG (11W) APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 45 TO 65 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 80 MPH.

DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED. HOMES OF OLD OR POOR CONSTRUCTION
WILL HAVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WALLS...AND WINDOWS. SOME
HOMES OF FRAME CONSTRUCTION WILL SUSTAIN PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF
FAILURE...AND POSSIBLY BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS
COULD BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE
INJURY. MANY AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE POWER OUTAGES WITH SOME DOWNED
POWER POLES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
EASTERN SHORES AND REEFS OF GUAM COULD SEE INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4
FEET...ESPECIALLY NEAR HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WHICH IS
AROUND 10 PM. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 17 TO 20 FEET ON ALL EXPOSURES IS
POSSIBLE AS HALONG PASSES BY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
GUAM HAS RECEIVED 1.00 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. AN
ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.


$$

PMZ151-291830-
/X.CON.PGUM.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GUAM COASTAL WATERS-
1029 PM CHST TUE JUL 29 2014

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM HALONG (11W) APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 55 KNOTS RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS.

COMBINED SEAS OF 9 TO 11 FEET TONIGHT WILL BUILD TO BETWEEN 14 AND
17 FEET BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL THEN DIMINISH TO BETWEEN 12
AND 15 FEET BY THURSDAY NIGHT.

$$

GUZ003-004-PMZ153-154-291830-
/X.CON.PGUM.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
1029 PM CHST TUE JUL 29 2014

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TINIAN AND SAIPAN HAVE BEEN PLACED IN TROPICAL STORM CONDITION OF
READINESS 3.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE
BEFORE THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS WHICH CAN CAUSE
OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH. HOWEVER...AS TROPICAL STORM HALONG (11W)
APPROACHES...STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO
CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE
READY TO ACT.

DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY. HOMES MAY HAVE DAMAGE TO SHINGLES...
SIDING...GUTTERS AND WINDOWS...ESPECIALLY IF THESE ITEMS ARE NOT
PROPERLY SECURED. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS COULD BECOME AIRBORNE...
CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. SOME POWER LINES
WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN BY FALLING TREES...RESULTING IN SCATTERED
POWER OUTAGES.

COMBINED SEAS OF 8 TO 10 FEET TONIGHT WILL BUILD TO 12 TO 16 FEET
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SEAS WILL THEN SUBSIDE TO BETWEEN 11 AND 14
FEET BY THURSDAY NIGHT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
EASTERN SHORES AND REEFS OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN COULD SEE
INUNDATION OF 1 TO 3 FEET...ESPECIALLY NEAR HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WHICH IS AROUND 10 PM. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 15 TO 18 FEET ON
ALL EXPOSURES IS POSSIBLE AS HALONG PASSES NEAR.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
TINIAN HAS RECEIVED 0.56 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...
AND SAIPAN HAS RECEIVED 0.81 INCHES. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES
IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

$$
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xtyphooncyclonex
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#116 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Tue Jul 29, 2014 8:05 am

Oh boy, this is getting dangerous! :eek:

11W HALONG 140729 1200 13.6N 147.2E WPAC 55 982
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Re:

#117 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 29, 2014 8:08 am

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Oh boy, this is getting dangerous! :eek:

11W HALONG 140729 1200 13.6N 147.2E WPAC 55 982


I'm thinking maybe typhoon in 2 hours...
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Equilibrium

#118 Postby Equilibrium » Tue Jul 29, 2014 8:09 am

Image
Winding up now eye's smaller. Big RI on the way by the looks of it now.

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Last edited by Equilibrium on Tue Jul 29, 2014 8:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Re:

#119 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Tue Jul 29, 2014 8:10 am

euro6208 wrote:
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Oh boy, this is getting dangerous! :eek:

11W HALONG 140729 1200 13.6N 147.2E WPAC 55 982


I'm thinking maybe typhoon in 2 hours...

It is intensifying way faster than forecast. Maybe a typhoon upgrade from the JTWC is likely soon.
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Re: WPAC: HALONG - Tropical Storm

#120 Postby euro6208 » Tue Jul 29, 2014 8:12 am

Heavy rains and very strong winds now. Easily gale force winds...
Last edited by euro6208 on Tue Jul 29, 2014 8:15 am, edited 1 time in total.
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