ATL: BERTHA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[TheStormExpert]

1015-1016 mb center? that doesn't look like the center but maybe the trough axis

yeah it had cleary opened up interacting with the islands.. however nothing inhibiting it from organizing again.

What are the coordinates of the new center?

[ozonepete]

1015-1016 mb center? that doesn't look like the center but maybe the trough axis

Hey there Sandy! Yeah where the trough is curved the most, lol. Not a big deal. As Aric said it's clearly reorganizing. Can't see much to stop it.

[Aric Dunn]

1015-1016 mb center? that doesn't look like the center but maybe the trough axis

yeah it had cleary opened up interacting with the islands.. however nothing inhibiting it from organizing again.

What are the coordinates of the new center?

coordinates..how about nowhere but all over.. lol

its in the process of reorganizing and though there is a general area of wind shift its not technically definable.. give it another 6 to 8 hours

[Sanibel]

Unless it's coincidence the shape looks like it is starting to curl-up quickly.

[ozonepete]

Unless it's coincidence the shape looks like it is starting to curl-up quickly.

you're seeing it right.

[Hammy]

Little by little the shear is letting up, if you watch the high clouds north of Haiti, they stopped moving east and are just sort of sitting in the same place at the end of the IR loop.

[ozonepete]

Little by little the shear is letting up, if you watch the high clouds north of Haiti, they stopped moving east and are just sort of sitting in the same place at the end of the IR loop.

You are a really good observer. It's the last thing we can do that the models can't do yet. t takes waaaaaay too long for them to ingest that data and act on it.

[Equilibrium]

Same llcc just not over land now estimate its about 19.77N 68.14W.


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS product

[bahamaswx]

Looks so much better now than even 4 hours ago. Pulling together quickly.

[Aric Dunn]

recon could be finding the center having reformed a good bit to the wnw,,,

[Aric Dunn]

looks like they were not allowed to fly any closer to the coast... not a full pass of anything.. have to wait till tomorrow

[Equilibrium]

dont need recon its visible.


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[Aric Dunn]

They are old... we will always need recon until we have global net of observations even over the water.

[Equilibrium]

They are old... we will always need recon until we have global net of observations even over the water.

latest radar puts it about there as well


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[Aric Dunn]

They are old... we will always need recon until we have global net of observations even over the water.

latest radar puts it about there as well


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

you are looking at over 30k feet .. no even close to the surface..

[Hammy]

Are there any surface obs we can find from the Dominican Republic? There appears to be a curl forming on satellite about 19.5/70.0 and the storms over SW DR are developing in a northeastward direction which could be reestablishment of westerly inflow.

[HURAKAN]

1015-1016 mb center? that doesn't look like the center but maybe the trough axis

Hey there Sandy! Yeah where the trough is curved the most, lol. Not a big deal. As Aric said it's clearly reorganizing. Can't see much to stop it.

I'm always here, mostly lurking!

[bahamaswx]

Looks less organized than a couple hours ago. No super deep convection either.

[NDG]

Looks like weak COC with Bertha this morning is north of the coast of northern Haiti, close to the Turks and Caicos Islands, recon on its way this morning.

[NDG]

First Vis from this morning.