ATL: GONZALO - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#141 Postby Gustywind » Sun Oct 12, 2014 10:03 am

Msbee be aware looks like this feature could impact nicely your area too. Keep us informed if anything happens here.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10163
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#142 Postby SFLcane » Sun Oct 12, 2014 10:07 am

cycloneye wrote:
SFLcane wrote:Who would have thought we'd see something you normally in the central atlantic in mid august on oct 12. What a season



MDR finally!


I guess lol...could come close to you but should follow fay out to sea.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: Re:

#143 Postby Gustywind » Sun Oct 12, 2014 10:07 am

msbee wrote:
Gustywind wrote::uarrow: Here we are... with at least a TD or even a TS Gonzalo in the making! Islanders, let's monitor more than carefully the situation.

Yes we must monitor this closely. As you know Gusty even a tropical wave can cause serious flooding and problems in our islands.

Absolutely, you're right i know that you monitor it serioulsy that's a very good thing. This situation could be problematic if 90L improves it organization and maintains this westerly course. Note that juicy convection is clearly exploiding in the southern part. Hope that authorities is taking this feature seriously...
0 likes   
Top
TARHEELPROGRAMMER

#144 Postby TARHEELPROGRAMMER » Sun Oct 12, 2014 10:13 am

This thing is a tropical storm in my eyes. Looks to be getting a pretty good center too. Just wondering what is taking the NHC so long.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
MGC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5896
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#145 Postby MGC » Sun Oct 12, 2014 10:15 am

Except for the dry air to its north, 90L looks to be in a favorable environment to continue to get better organized. Mid level circulation is well established. Agree with NHC that a TD/TS could be or has formed.......MGC
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145255
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#146 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 12, 2014 10:48 am

Note=For those members who live in the NE Caribbean islands,there is a new thread with a sticky up in this forum so you can post about observations,any local statements from local NWS offices or Government officials so go here.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3379
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:
Contact tropicwatch

ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#147 Postby tropicwatch » Sun Oct 12, 2014 10:51 am

Circulation looking real good.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/nexsat-bin/nexsat.cgi?BASIN=CONUS&SUB_BASIN=focus_regions&REGION=NW_Atlantic&PRODUCT=vis_ir_background&SUB_PRODUCT=goes&SIZE=Full&PATH=NW_Atlantic/Caribbean/vis_ir_background/goes&DIR=/nexsat_data/PUBLIC/CONUS/focus_regions/NW_Atlantic/Caribbean/vis_ir_background/goes&NUM=50&SECTOR=Caribbean&AGE=Latest&&buttonPressed=Animate&ANIM_TYPE=Instant
0 likes   
Tropicwatch


Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Top
User avatar
abajan
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4229
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 5:10 am
Location: Barbados

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#148 Postby abajan » Sun Oct 12, 2014 11:10 am

SFLcane wrote:Who would have thought we'd see something you normally in the central atlantic in mid august on oct 12. What a season
This sort of occurrence is not unheard of. On today's date 234 years ago, the infamous Huracán San Calixto was moving through this general area.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145255
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#149 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 12, 2014 11:13 am

Plane is on route towards 90L so we will know soon if is a TD or more.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#150 Postby Gustywind » Sun Oct 12, 2014 11:23 am

On the latest weather forecast, our Pro Mets of Guadeloupe does not seem too worried saying that this wave could developp and be a probable TD...
0 likes   
Top
Dave C
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 868
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 4:36 pm
Location: Middleboro, Mass.(midway between Cape Cod and Boston)

#151 Postby Dave C » Sun Oct 12, 2014 11:25 am

Large outflow boundry racing out ahead of system but still looks pretty good.
0 likes   
Top
TheStormExpert

#152 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Oct 12, 2014 11:32 am

According to Tropical Tidbits Levi Cowan in his latest Video Discussion: "90L Poised To Develop But Likely To Struggle Until Beyond Puerto Rico"

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/blog/2014/10/12/90l-poised-to-develop-but-likely-to-struggle-until-beyond-puerto-rico/
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hammy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5849
Age: 41
Joined: Fri May 25, 2012 5:25 pm
Contact:
Contact Hammy

#153 Postby Hammy » Sun Oct 12, 2014 12:16 pm

There appeared to be an eye earlier so I'm wondering if this may be stronger than just a depression when the plane gets out there.
0 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
ouragans
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 490
Age: 53
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2011 12:09 pm
Location: Abymes, Guadeloupe F.W.I
Contact:
Contact ouragans

Re:

#154 Postby ouragans » Sun Oct 12, 2014 12:18 pm

Gustywind wrote:On the latest weather forecast, our Pro Mets of Guadeloupe does not seem too worried saying that this wave could developp and be a probable TD...


not really, they said TD or TS conditions to be expected. They're like us, waiting for the Hunter's mission
0 likes   
Personal forecast disclaimer
This post is a personal point of view, not an information. Please refer to official statements for life-threatening decisions.
David '79, Frederic '79, Hugo '89, Iris, Luis & Marilyn '95, Georges '98, Lenny '99, Dean '07, Irma '17, Maria '17, Fiona '22, Philippe '23, Tammy '23
16°13'33.3,"6N -61°36'39.5"W
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: Re:

#155 Postby Gustywind » Sun Oct 12, 2014 12:22 pm

ouragans wrote:
Gustywind wrote:On the latest weather forecast, our Pro Mets of Guadeloupe does not seem too worried saying that this wave could developp and be a probable TD...


not really, they said TD or TS conditions to be expected. They're like us, waiting for the Hunter's mission

I don't read that on the latest 12 AM weather forecast about TS conditions expected... but I tkink that reconnaissance will help them.
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#156 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Oct 12, 2014 12:23 pm

Recon having issues for sure. May need to send a new plane in, and that could take a bit of time.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145255
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: GONZALO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#157 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 12, 2014 12:44 pm

Is TS Gonzalo!!
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
Fego
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 767
Age: 65
Joined: Sun Apr 18, 2004 7:58 pm
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Contact:
Contact Fego

Re: ATL: GONZALO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#158 Postby Fego » Sun Oct 12, 2014 12:45 pm

cycloneye wrote:Is TS Gonzalo!!

Info? Link?
0 likes   
Go Giants! Go Niners! Go Warriors!
Top
User avatar
pgoss11
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 702
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 3:55 pm

Re: ATL: GONZALO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#159 Postby pgoss11 » Sun Oct 12, 2014 12:46 pm

cycloneye wrote:Is TS Gonzalo!!

Wow!! Skipped the depression category! It's possible Bermuda might have to watch out for this one too later in the week. Not a forecast.
0 likes   
Top
TARHEELPROGRAMMER

#160 Postby TARHEELPROGRAMMER » Sun Oct 12, 2014 12:50 pm

Is there any way that the recon data changes the forecast path here or is that front or trough just too strong to change it's path?
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2014”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests