ATL: CHANTAL - Post-Tropical

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Dave
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#1101 Postby Dave » Mon Jul 08, 2013 4:56 pm

URNT15 KNHC 082147
AF302 0103A CHANTAL HDOB 21 20130708
213800 1120N 05432W 9668 00395 0117 +210 +203 267006 007 048 021 00
213830 1119N 05433W 9669 00394 0117 +207 +199 243006 007 036 011 00
213900 1118N 05434W 9657 00405 0117 +211 //// 271003 005 037 009 01
213930 1117N 05436W 9669 00394 0116 +220 +215 312004 004 022 005 00
214000 1115N 05437W 9666 00398 0117 +224 +214 317003 004 019 002 00
214030 1114N 05438W 9666 00399 0117 +224 +213 329003 004 017 002 00
214100 1113N 05439W 9664 00401 0118 +225 +207 318002 003 017 002 00
214130 1112N 05440W 9666 00399 0118 +225 +203 339002 002 014 002 00
214200 1111N 05441W 9667 00399 0118 +226 +199 316000 001 013 003 00
214230 1110N 05443W 9668 00398 0118 +226 +198 261001 002 012 000 00
214300 1109N 05444W 9664 00402 0117 +228 +197 280000 001 012 000 00
214330 1108N 05445W 9667 00399 0118 +226 +199 282001 002 013 000 00
214400 1107N 05446W 9663 00402 0118 +225 +198 302002 002 011 000 00
214430 1106N 05447W 9664 00402 0118 +229 +195 045000 002 012 001 00
214500 1105N 05449W 9665 00402 0119 +227 +197 184001 002 010 001 00
214530 1104N 05450W 9666 00401 0119 +225 +201 226002 003 012 001 00
214600 1103N 05451W 9665 00402 0119 +225 +200 259001 002 015 000 00
214630 1102N 05452W 9663 00404 0120 +225 +198 319002 002 011 002 00
214700 1101N 05453W 9666 00402 0121 +225 +198 330003 004 014 001 00
214730 1100N 05454W 9666 00403 0122 +222 +202 326003 004 019 002 00
$$
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Re:

#1102 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Jul 08, 2013 4:56 pm

NDG wrote:Recon is doing some crazy things, I guess they are trying to verify that it has a closed circulation which it verified.


Is there anyone still doubting that this has a closed circulation? Looks pretty darn closed to me:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif

Looks like they are setting up for a SW to NE pass over the center...
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#1103 Postby pgoss11 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 4:57 pm

Looks beat up after crossing DR..
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Re: Re:

#1104 Postby NDG » Mon Jul 08, 2013 4:58 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:
NDG wrote:Recon is doing some crazy things, I guess they are trying to verify that it has a closed circulation which it verified.


Is there anyone still doubting that this has a closed circulation? Looks pretty darn closed to me:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif

Looks like they are setting up for a SW to NE pass over the center...



I don't know, I still want to see more proof of west winds, lol :wink: :lol: :lol:
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#1105 Postby Jevo » Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:00 pm

18z GFS MSLP +90

Image
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#1106 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:00 pm

Out to 90 hours turning north over East-Central Bahamas and slowing down...

500MB steering flow, huge weakness over Florida and the SE United States:

Image
Last edited by gatorcane on Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:03 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1107 Postby Blown Away » Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:01 pm

On the 12z GFS, Chantal go stronger again @110 hours...
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#1108 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:04 pm

we all knew the sw quad was going to be weak .. they will likely find more substantial west winds he closer they get to the center they are trying to get a wind profile.
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#1109 Postby petit_bois » Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:04 pm

looking very "fishy"
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1110 Postby torrea40 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:04 pm

Blown Away wrote:On the 12z GFS, Chantal go stronger again @110 hours...


On 24 hours Chantel become a Cat .1. Brouuuuuuuuuuu...
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#1111 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:05 pm

Image
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#1112 Postby Jevo » Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:05 pm

18z GFS 850mb +105

Image
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1113 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:06 pm

18Z NAVGEM rolling in..only out 36hrs but under PR...

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Models

#1114 Postby Blown Away » Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:07 pm

ROCK wrote:18Z NAVGEM rolling in..only out 36hrs but under PR...

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical


Your funny...
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Re:

#1115 Postby meriland23 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:07 pm

Jevo wrote:18z GFS 850mb +105

Image



Also starting to show up on the mean sea level pressure maps.. which it did not do before..
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#1116 Postby Jevo » Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:08 pm

18z GFS +114 MSLP

Image
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Re: ATL: CHANTAL - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1117 Postby somethingfunny » Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:09 pm

It looks like the center is partially exposed, this frame shows it clearly:

Image
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#1118 Postby Dave » Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:10 pm

HDOBS 22 is missing...

URNT15 KNHC 082206
AF302 0103A CHANTAL HDOB 23 20130708
215800 1100N 05428W 9666 00404 0123 +227 +191 188014 015 008 000 00
215830 1100N 05426W 9668 00403 0123 +225 +194 183015 016 009 001 00
215900 1100N 05424W 9663 00407 0124 +221 +204 174014 014 011 000 00
215930 1100N 05423W 9664 00406 0125 +218 +206 175014 015 010 001 00
220000 1101N 05421W 9666 00406 0125 +222 +195 181017 017 016 000 00
220030 1101N 05420W 9668 00403 0126 +213 +204 180015 017 020 007 00
220100 1101N 05420W 9668 00403 0127 +215 +207 182014 015 016 005 00
220130 1102N 05417W 9664 00408 0127 +215 +207 186015 016 017 005 00
220200 1102N 05415W 9667 00406 0127 +215 +201 185017 019 022 006 00
220230 1102N 05413W 9667 00405 0127 +215 +198 185019 019 022 006 00
220300 1102N 05412W 9664 00409 0128 +215 +203 189018 019 019 005 00
220330 1103N 05410W 9665 00409 0130 +210 +207 184017 019 025 008 00
220400 1103N 05409W 9662 00411 0129 +208 +207 187020 020 025 007 00
220430 1103N 05407W 9664 00408 0128 +212 +208 185020 021 023 005 00
220500 1104N 05405W 9670 00404 0129 +212 +209 176020 021 025 011 00
220530 1104N 05404W 9666 00407 0128 +216 +202 178020 021 020 003 00
220600 1104N 05402W 9665 00409 0128 +215 +199 177020 021 016 000 00
220630 1105N 05401W 9667 00408 0129 +217 +198 176020 020 016 001 00
220700 1105N 05359W 9667 00407 0129 +216 +200 173020 020 018 002 00
220730 1105N 05357W 9667 00408 0129 +217 +193 170021 021 015 003 00
$$
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#1119 Postby meriland23 » Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:11 pm

looks like it has a friend behind it..

Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
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#1120 Postby Jevo » Mon Jul 08, 2013 5:12 pm

18z GFS +132

Image
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