ATL: ANDREA - Post-Tropical

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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Watches/Warnings/Advisories

#1181 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 06, 2013 6:56 am

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANDREA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013
700 AM CDT THU JUN 06 2013

...ANDREA MOVING CLOSER TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...
...POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA
DURING THE MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.7N 85.1W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO INDIAN PASS
* FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.1 WEST. ANDREA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANDREA
WILL REACH THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA LATER TODAY AND
THEN MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA BY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE THE
CENTER REACHES THE COAST LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND
IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD TO APALACHICOLA...2 TO 5 FT
FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY...1 TO 2 FT
FLAGLER BEACH NORTH TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...1 TO 2 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA LANDFALL LOCATION. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING
DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...
AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC
TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...EASTERN PARTS OF
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY...MAKING
OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/BEVEN
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1182 Postby artist » Thu Jun 06, 2013 6:57 am

GCANE wrote:Palm Beach County, FL. Emerg. Crews reporting roofs missing and vehicles flipped over

Command set up at 76th Rd N. @ 130th (sounds like mult.injuries & bldgs damaged in area) unknown size of area damaged

http://twitter.com/res7cuefox5


Palm Beach County Fire Rescue Live Audio Feed

http://www.broadcastify.com/listen/feed/9219/web


that is near us. Hubby almost left during it, was rain wrapped, convinced him not to. Would have drivin into it.
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1183 Postby jaxfladude » Thu Jun 06, 2013 6:57 am

GCANE wrote:
GCANE wrote:Palm Beach County, FL. Emerg. Crews reporting roofs missing and vehicles flipped over

Command set up at 76th Rd N. @ 130th (sounds like mult.injuries & bldgs damaged in area) unknown size of area damaged

http://twitter.com/res7cuefox5


Palm Beach County Fire Rescue Live Audio Feed

http://www.broadcastify.com/listen/feed/9219/web



Traumatic injuries reported.

:( :eek: :grr: :flag: :double:
It has started the bad news...prayers, hope for the lowest amount of news like the above...
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1184 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 06, 2013 6:57 am

...ANDREA MOVING CLOSER TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...
...POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA
DURING THE MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.7N 85.1W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1185 Postby GCANE » Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:00 am

artist wrote:
GCANE wrote:Palm Beach County, FL. Emerg. Crews reporting roofs missing and vehicles flipped over

Command set up at 76th Rd N. @ 130th (sounds like mult.injuries & bldgs damaged in area) unknown size of area damaged

http://twitter.com/res7cuefox5


Palm Beach County Fire Rescue Live Audio Feed

http://www.broadcastify.com/listen/feed/9219/web


that is near us. Hubby almost left during it, was rain wrapped, convinced him not to. Would have drivin into it.


Stay Safe!
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1186 Postby mutley » Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:00 am



Holy crap! That is one scary image.
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#1187 Postby NDG » Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:01 am

Radar image centered on Andrea's latest position.

Image
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#1188 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:01 am

Yeah, Andrea is a very large storm indeed. Tropical cyclones that originate from monsoonal-type troughs usually are large in size and Andrea is fitting the bill with this example.
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1189 Postby BoudreauxWPB » Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:02 am

GCANE wrote:Palm Beach County, FL. Emerg. Crews reporting roofs missing and vehicles flipped over

Command set up at 76th Rd N. @ 130th (sounds like mult.injuries & bldgs damaged in area) unknown size of area damaged

http://twitter.com/res7cuefox5


Palm Beach County Fire Rescue Live Audio Feed

http://www.broadcastify.com/listen/feed/9219/web


Not too far from me, only about 8 miles from my home in western PBC. I can say, it was wicked this morning when I got up and left for work.
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1190 Postby GCANE » Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:02 am

RADAR: Track for possible tornado moving north from Tarpon Springs

http://pbs.twimg.com/media/BMEz0RsCYAAjWGf.jpg:large
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#1191 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:06 am

Also, radar and satellite imagery still indicates that Andrea's COC is wrapping very well, almost to a point where it appears she is trying to close off an eyewall. I don't think she will make it to hurricane status with the expected interaction with the upper level trough. However, Andrea certainly is doing her best to make up for lost time to organize just before landfall.
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1192 Postby Sanibel » Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:08 am

Classic GOM dry slot should regulate the storm all the way in. Blustery here, no rain. Heavy rain that was forecast missed us to the west and north.
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#1193 Postby psyclone » Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:10 am

mega band is about to move onshore here. this should be cool. andrea has become quite an impressive system. certainly exceeded my expectations
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1194 Postby caneman » Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:12 am

Indeed psyclone. Hunkering down here around Clw. Beach. Hope no Tornadoes.
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1195 Postby tolakram » Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:13 am

saved radar image

Image
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1196 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:15 am

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
758 AM EDT THU JUN 06 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0756 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NE CARRABELLE 29.87N 84.64W
06/06/2013 M4.50 INCH FRANKLIN FL EMERGENCY MNGR

4.5 INCHES OF RAIN IN 5 HRS
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1197 Postby GCANE » Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:15 am

Weakening a little as it hits the coast.

Another one behind it though.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... 060415.jpg
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#1198 Postby gatorcane » Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:17 am

looks like the tornadoes are starting to happen. Was worried about that.
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1199 Postby robbielyn » Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:18 am

Sanibel wrote:Classic GOM dry slot should regulate the storm all the way in. Blustery here, no rain. Heavy rain that was forecast missed us to the west and north.

I remember being in the dry slot in hernando county for gordon and charley
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - Tropical Storm

#1200 Postby psyclone » Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:20 am

robbielyn wrote:
Sanibel wrote:Classic GOM dry slot should regulate the storm all the way in. Blustery here, no rain. Heavy rain that was forecast missed us to the west and north.

I remember being in the dry slot in hernando county for gordon and charley

Gordon (y2k) yes. Charley didn't touch hernando county but you're about to get bombed from this one
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