ATL: ANDREA - Post-Tropical

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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L

#201 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 03, 2013 7:58 pm

00z Best Track

AL, 91, 2013060400, , BEST, 0, 228N, 876W, 25, 1007, DB

ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inves ... 013.invest
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Models

#202 Postby stephen23 » Mon Jun 03, 2013 8:09 pm

Good evening,

Can someone please refresh me where to look at the models at. I have just finished up my work from sandy and am back on here. It has been a long year and I can not remember where to find the gfs models at
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Models

#203 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 03, 2013 8:11 pm

stephen23 wrote:Good evening,

Can someone please refresh me where to look at the models at. I have just finished up my work from sandy and am back on here. It has been a long year and I can not remember where to find the gfs models at


Here is the NCEP (GFS site)

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/?prevpage=inde ... L+GUIDANCE
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Re:

#204 Postby micktooth » Mon Jun 03, 2013 8:32 pm




Great write up! Thanks for the information. I look forward to your future write ups this season...thanks!
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Re:

#205 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Jun 03, 2013 8:37 pm



Jon, thanks for the writeup, I think we are going to see something similar to what you wrote here, and as you said we cant get into particulars until this forms a uniform center which it looks like maybe taking shape 25 miles north of the Yucatan
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#206 Postby greenkat » Mon Jun 03, 2013 9:22 pm

Hmm... In Supercane's pic, you can clearly see the cloud swirl near the COC. I think we'll get to see TD One by Tues afternoon, and maybe TS Andrea (yay) by Wed. PM/Thurs. AM. Either way, I'm sure Florida will get soaked, just what the doctor ordered :)

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Hope this helped ;)
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#207 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jun 03, 2013 9:23 pm

You can clearly see the cyclonic turning just north of the Yucatan using this shortwave IR loop:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-ir2.html
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#208 Postby Riptide » Mon Jun 03, 2013 10:02 pm

gatorcane wrote:You can clearly see the cyclonic turning just north of the Yucatan using this shortwave IR loop:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-ir2.html

Looks promising, too bad about the shear. I believe this system has fundamental implications for the east coast next week, should dump some serious rainfall up to New England, where some areas are still dry.
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#209 Postby bamajammer4eva » Mon Jun 03, 2013 10:14 pm

That Pic :uarrow: w/the swirl was from Barry on 6/1/07 not today or tonight.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L

#210 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Jun 03, 2013 10:27 pm

I spy (with my untrained eyes of course) a low level vortex around 23.5N 87.5W anyone else see what i see over there?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L

#211 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jun 03, 2013 10:30 pm

Hurricane Alexis wrote:I don't see how this can bring too much rain for SFL. This looks similar to Alberto from '06 which dumped a little bit of rain over here.


I posted earlier just what ur thinking.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L

#212 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jun 03, 2013 10:40 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:I spy (with my untrained eyes of course) a low level vortex around 23.5N 87.5W anyone else see what i see over there?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif


yeah we have all been watching that today though it now appears to be another vort rotating around. ... however I spy something more interesting farther se just east of cozumel. and convection firing.. shear lower too.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html
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floridasun78
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L

#213 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Jun 03, 2013 11:10 pm

i see dry air pulling east that could make south fl dry next few days
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L

#214 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Jun 03, 2013 11:12 pm

floridasun78 wrote:i see dry air pulling east that could make south fl dry next few days

Can you please post a link to this image that is showing you this?
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#215 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Jun 03, 2013 11:18 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... short.html look at gulf dry air
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L

#216 Postby boca » Mon Jun 03, 2013 11:19 pm

I persoanally see a lot of rain heading north out of the Keys heading into S Fl.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L

#217 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Jun 03, 2013 11:22 pm

boca wrote:I persoanally see a lot of rain heading north out of the Keys heading into S Fl.

but rain may last only one day and be gone past fl quick this may never see be td
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#218 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jun 03, 2013 11:27 pm

It looks like a wet weekend for the entire East Coast with that consensus...I don't see a wind threat, but this could be a flood threat...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L

#219 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Jun 03, 2013 11:30 pm

SFL will be getting tons of rain from 91L from tomorrow through Thursday. You don't need to worry about not getting rain down here.
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#220 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Jun 03, 2013 11:31 pm

00z gfs slopgyre storm with winds just around 40-45 mph
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