WPAC: HAIYAN - Post-Tropical
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ManilaTC
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Typhoon
Looks like it has resumed WNW/280 deg movement...
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Typhoon
What a beast!
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Georges '98, Irene '99, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Matthew '16, Florence '18, Michael '18, Ian '22
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Extratropical94
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Meow
90kt per JMA, expecting a violent typhoon overland.
TY 1330 (HAIYAN)
Issued at 06:50 UTC, 6 November 2013
<Analyses at 06/06 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Very Strong
Center position N7°35'(7.6°)
E138°00'(138.0°)
Direction and speed of movement W 30km/h(16kt)
Central pressure 940hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(90kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 65m/s(130kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL280km(150NM)
<Forecast for 06/18 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N8°35'(8.6°)
E134°55'(134.9°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 30km/h(16kt)
Central pressure 930hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(95kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(135kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL280km(150NM)
<Forecast for 07/06 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N9°40'(9.7°)
E131°30'(131.5°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 35km/h(18kt)
Central pressure 925hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(100kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(140kt)
Radius of probability circle 140km(75NM)
Storm warning area ALL330km(180NM)
<Forecast for 08/06 UTC>
Intensity Violent
Center position of probability circle N11°40'(11.7°)
E124°25'(124.4°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 35km/h(18kt)
Central pressure 920hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(105kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 75m/s(150kt)
Radius of probability circle 260km(140NM)
Storm warning area ALL460km(250NM)
<Forecast for 09/06 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N13°20'(13.3°)
E116°20'(116.3°)
Direction and speed of movement W 35km/h(20kt)
Central pressure 930hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(95kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(135kt)
Radius of probability circle 390km(210NM)
Storm warning area ALL560km(300NM)
TY 1330 (HAIYAN)
Issued at 06:50 UTC, 6 November 2013
<Analyses at 06/06 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Very Strong
Center position N7°35'(7.6°)
E138°00'(138.0°)
Direction and speed of movement W 30km/h(16kt)
Central pressure 940hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(90kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 65m/s(130kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL280km(150NM)
<Forecast for 06/18 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N8°35'(8.6°)
E134°55'(134.9°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 30km/h(16kt)
Central pressure 930hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(95kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(135kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL280km(150NM)
<Forecast for 07/06 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N9°40'(9.7°)
E131°30'(131.5°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 35km/h(18kt)
Central pressure 925hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(100kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(140kt)
Radius of probability circle 140km(75NM)
Storm warning area ALL330km(180NM)
<Forecast for 08/06 UTC>
Intensity Violent
Center position of probability circle N11°40'(11.7°)
E124°25'(124.4°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 35km/h(18kt)
Central pressure 920hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(105kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 75m/s(150kt)
Radius of probability circle 260km(140NM)
Storm warning area ALL460km(250NM)
<Forecast for 09/06 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N13°20'(13.3°)
E116°20'(116.3°)
Direction and speed of movement W 35km/h(20kt)
Central pressure 930hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(95kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(135kt)
Radius of probability circle 390km(210NM)
Storm warning area ALL560km(300NM)
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Thats old news JMA has been about 12 hours behind all the other agencies.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Typhoon
GFS has this making landfall over Southern Leyte. 
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xtyphooncyclonex
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Bopha Part II?
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dexterlabio
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Typhoon
Bopha was too far south. I'm thinking a lot stronger version of 2006 Typhoon Utor. The bulk of the models are now pointing towards a hit near Boracay Islands. I wonder if James is considering a trip going to Boracay or go straight to Guian Samar.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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dexterlabio
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I'm seeing a dry spot surrounding the pinhole eye. I have a feeling if that clears out and a larger round eye appears, DT numbers will skyrocket.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re:
dexterlabio wrote:I'm seeing a dry spot surrounding the pinhole eye. I have a feeling if that clears out and a larger round eye appears, DT numbers will skyrocket.
Spot on .
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Typhoon
dexterlabio wrote:Bopha was too far south. I'm thinking a lot stronger version of 2006 Typhoon Utor. The bulk of the models are now pointing towards a hit near Boracay Islands. I wonder if James is considering a trip going to Boracay or go straight to Guian Samar.
Mary
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xtyphooncyclonex
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Re:
stormkite wrote:I was thinking lower peninsula of Samar few days ago your track is a little south.
BTW xtyphooncyclonex what facilities are in place for the safety of the people
Also, it was not my track, it was of the GFS.
Last edited by xtyphooncyclonex on Wed Nov 06, 2013 6:08 am, edited 1 time in total.
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hurricanes1234
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Typhoon
I've never seen a perfect ring of cloudtops this cold surrounding the eye. Amazing.
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dexterlabio
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Typhoon
LOL I was wrong in saying DT's will skyrocket because they already did. Now up to 7.0 from JTWC.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Meow
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Typhoon
It looks like the eye will pass just north of Palau.
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RobWESTPACWX
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Re: WPAC: HAIYAN - Typhoon
Some storm footage out of Yap, max winds recorded here up to 106kph.
[youtube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gze2LBl8uQ0[/youtube]
[youtube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gze2LBl8uQ0[/youtube]
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xtyphooncyclonex
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Really worried about this! Strongest storm ever to hit Visayas!
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